Denis Shapovalov and Roman Safiullin will face off in the 4th round of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on Court 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.727
Roman Safiullin -> 2.11
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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Roman Safiullin
This will be the 3rd time that Denis Shapovalov and Roman Safiullin face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Shapovalov (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they played each other, Shapovalov won 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in Adelaide back in January 2023.
Highlights Denis Shapovalov vs Roman Safiullin – Adelaide 05-January-2023
Denis Shapovalov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-13 | 7-6 | 2-5 | 5-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-25 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 16-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, Denis got to the 4th round after beating Radu Albot 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2, Gregoire Barrere 6-3 6-4 7-67 and Liam Broady 4-6 6-2 7-5 7-5.
In the 3rd round against Broady, Shapovalov recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 7-5 7-5). During the match, Shapovalov scored 147 points vs Broady’s 128. Shapovalov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 57 winners.
Talking about the service games, Shapovalov blasted 14 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 14 double faults. Denis Shapovalov lost the serve 5 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Shapovalov put 55% of his first serves in, winning 71% (57/80) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (31/65) on the 2nd serve. Denis broke Broady 8 times after converting 53% of his break points (8/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Shapovalov has dropped 2 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Shapovalov has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 60% of his matches (276-181). 4-2 on grass in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Shapovalov has a compiled21-20 record in the last 9 years on grass.
Shapovalov has a compiled 13-12 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Roman Safiullin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-14 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-28 | 18-14 | 5-8 | 6-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-25 | 13-12 | 8-4 | 11-5 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-18 | 16-6 | 6-2 | 14-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-21 | 7-5 | 5-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 92, the Russian got to the 4th round after beating Roberto Bautista Agut 2-6 7-67 6-74 6-4 7-5, Corentin Moutet 7-5 6-3 7-64 and Guido Pella 7-61 6-4 6-0.
In the 3rd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Pella (7-61 6-4 6-0). During the match Safiullin scored 103 points vs Pella’s 67. Roman was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.
About the serving games, Safiullin struck 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Roman Safiullin was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (45/57) of his 1st serve and 72% (18/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Roman broke Pella 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Koblenz Challenger where he beat Vasek Pospisil in the final 6-2 7-5.
Safiullin has an overall 28-16 win-loss record in 2023, 8-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shapovalov | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 112 | 119 |
| Pts | 383-318 | 407-345 |
| Total Points | 701 | 752 |
| Winners | 167 | 176 |
| %Winners | 44% | 43% |
Both Shapovalov and Safiullin played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Denis Shapovalov lost 2 sets, while Roman Safiullin lost 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Shapovalov and Safiullin have played the same amount of sets 11. However, Shapovalov played 7 games less than Safiullin. Shapovalov scored 167 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian scored 176 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shapovalov | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 45 | 33 |
| Avg per match | 15 | 11 |
| 1st in | 211/348 | 230/358 |
| %1st in | 61% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 167/211 | 176/230 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 69/137 | 71/128 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 55% |
Shapovalov bagged 45 aces (15 per match). Safiullin made 33 aces (11 per match). Shapovalov won 79% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Safiullin won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shapovalov | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 15 |
| Converted | 17/36 | 15/36 |
| % Converted | 47% | 42% |
| Conceded | 25 | 21 |
| Saved | 17 | 12 |
| % Saved | 68% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 9 |
The Canadian broke his opponents 17 times with a 47% conversion rate. Denis surrendered his serve 8 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. Roman broke his opponents 15 times with a 42% conversion rate. Safiullin conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shapovalov | |||||
| R1 Albot |
R2 Barrere |
R3 Broady |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 7-67 | 4-6 6-2 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 38 | 32 | 42 | 112 | |
| pts | 128-101 | 108-89 | 147-128 | 383-318 | |
| Total points | 229 | 197 | 275 | 701 | |
| Winners | 51 | 59 | 57 | 167 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 55% | 39% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 13 | 18 | 14 | 45 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 3 | 14 | 24 | |
| 1st in | 60/105 | 71/98 | 80/145 | 211/348 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 72% | 55% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 51/60 | 59/71 | 57/80 | 167/211 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 83% | 71% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/45 | 16/27 | 31/65 | 69/137 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 59% | 48% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 2 | 8 | 17 | |
| Converted | 7/16 | 2/5 | 8/15 | 17/36 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 40% | 53% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 1 | 17 | 25 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 1/1 | 12/17 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 100% | 71% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | |
| Safiullin | |||||
| R1 Bautista-Agut |
R2 Moutet |
R3 Pella |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 7-67 6-74 6-4 7-5 | 7-5 6-3 7-64 | 7-61 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 56 | 34 | 29 | 119 | |
| pts | 180-174 | 124-104 | 103-67 | 407-345 | |
| Total points | 354 | 228 | 170 | 752 | |
| Winners | 81 | 50 | 45 | 176 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 40% | 44% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 17 | 5 | 11 | 33 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 8 | 1 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 110/170 | 63/106 | 57/82 | 230/358 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 59% | 70% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 81/110 | 50/63 | 45/57 | 176/230 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 79% | 79% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 33/60 | 20/43 | 18/25 | 71/128 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 47% | 72% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 6/15 | 5/8 | 15/36 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 40% | 63% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 5/9 | 2/3 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 56% | 67% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWLLWLL
LLLLLLWWWL Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (4-6 6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-3 7-64 7-65) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-3 4-6 3-6 6-4 7-68) – See score progression
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (7-65 7-63 7-62) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Laslo DjereDjere (6-4 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-3 6-76 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Tommy PaulPaul (6-2 7-62 6-75 6-79 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Quentin HalysHalys (3-6 6-2 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Guido PellaPella (7-61 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Maximilian MartererMarterer (6-4 6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Mikael YmerYmer (6-2 6-72 7-65 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 6-76 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (7-64 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-3 6-1 7-65) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Liam BroadyBroady (4-6 6-2 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-5) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alexander BublikBublik (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-1) – H2H and prediction
