Alexander Zverev and Matteo Berrettini will play each other in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 6:00 pm on Court 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.52
Matteo Berrettini -> 2.53
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Matteo Berrettini
This will be the 6th time that Alexander Zverev and Matteo Berrettini face off. The head to head is 4-1 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they locked horns, Zverev won 7-6(7) 1-0 ret. in the R in Nitto atp finals back in 2021.
Highlights Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Berrettini – Nitto atp finals 14-November-2021
Alexander Zverev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-14 | 11-4 | 18-7 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 69-21 | 29-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, the German reached the 3rd round after defeating Gijs Brouwer 6-4 7-64 7-65 and Yosuke Watanuki 6-4 5-7 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Zverev defeated Watanuki (6-4 5-7 6-2 6-2). During the match, Zverev scored 116 points vs Watanuki’s 99. The German was exceptionally aggressive to blast 57 winners.
Regarding the service games, Zverev struck 13 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Alexander Zverev was very effective on serve to win 84% (57/68) of his 1st serve and 59% (19/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alexander broke Watanuki 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexander has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Zverev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 68% of his matches (418-199). 5-1 on grass in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Zverev has a compiled 33-17 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
Alexander’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Dubai, Geneva,at the French Open and Halle.
The German has a compiled 26-16 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Matteo Berrettini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-11 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 8-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 38, the Italian got to the 3rd round after beating Lorenzo Sonego 6-75 6-3 7-67 6-3 and Alex De Minaur 6-3 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (6-3 6-4 6-4). During the match Berrettini scored 105 points vs De Minaur’s 82. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about serving, Berrettini fired 13 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Matteo Berrettini was extremely efficient on serve to win 88% (50/57) of his 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Berrettini broke De Minaur 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matteo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Italian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Australia.
Matteo has an overall 11-8 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zverev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 74 | 73 |
| Pts | 231-204 | 236-202 |
| Total Points | 435 | 438 |
| Winners | 117 | 120 |
| %Winners | 51% | 51% |
Both Zverev and Berrettini played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Zverev surrendered 1 set, while Matteo Berrettini lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Zverev and Berrettini have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Zverev played 1 game more than Berrettini. The German scored 117 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian scored 120 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zverev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 33 | 30 |
| Avg per match | 16.5 | 15 |
| 1st in | 144/211 | 140/223 |
| %1st in | 68% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 117/144 | 120/140 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 86% |
| 2nd pts | 41/67 | 49/83 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 59% |
Zverev managed to score 33 aces (16.5 per match). Berrettini fired 30 aces (15 per match). Zverev won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zverev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/15 | 5/14 |
| % Converted | 40% | 36% |
| Conceded | 9 | 5 |
| Saved | 8 | 5 |
| % Saved | 89% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The German broke his opponents 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. Zverev dropped his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Italian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.
| Zverev | ||||
| R1 Brouwer |
R2 Watanuki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-64 7-65 | 6-4 5-7 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 36 | 38 | 74 | |
| pts | 115-105 | 116-99 | 231-204 | |
| Total points | 220 | 215 | 435 | |
| Winners | 60 | 57 | 117 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 49% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 20 | 13 | 33 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 76/111 | 68/100 | 144/211 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 60/76 | 57/68 | 117/144 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 84% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/35 | 19/32 | 41/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 59% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Converted | 1/2 | 5/13 | 6/15 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 38% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 80% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Berrettini | ||||
| R1 Sonego |
R2 De Minaur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-3 7-67 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 44 | 29 | 73 | |
| pts | 131-120 | 105-82 | 236-202 | |
| Total points | 251 | 187 | 438 | |
| Winners | 70 | 50 | 120 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 48% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 17 | 13 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 83/134 | 57/89 | 140/223 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 64% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 70/83 | 50/57 | 120/140 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 88% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 32/51 | 17/32 | 49/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 53% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 3/8 | 5/14 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 38% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 3/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWLWWWL
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Nicolas JarryJarry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Tommy PaulPaul (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Laslo DjereDjere – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alexander BublikBublik (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-5) – H2H and prediction
