Lorenzo Musetti and Hubert Hurkacz will play each other in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on Court 12. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hubert Hurkacz who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Hubert Hurkacz is the pick to win this match.
Hubert Hurkacz -> 1.615
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.31

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Hubert Hurkacz

This will be the 4th time that Lorenzo Musetti and Hubert Hurkacz face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), but Hurkacz leads 1-0 on grass.

The last time that they locked horns, Musetti won 6-3 5-7 6-3 in the 2nd round in Rotterdam back in 2022.

Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz – Rotterdam 09-February-2022

Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
8
High
6
LWLLWWWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 45-22 18-11 19-4 8-6 0-1 0-0
2024 46-30 13-12 18-10 3-5 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 16, the Italian reached the 3rd round after defeating Juan Pablo Varillas 6-3 6-1 7-5 and Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-4 6-3 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Musetti had a good straight sets win against Munar Clar (6-4 6-3 6-1). During the match, Musetti scored 112 points vs Munar Clar’s 86. Musetti was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Regarding the service games, Musetti scored 6 aces and he was not very solid on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 59% of his first serves in, winning 75% (46/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (21/43) on the 2nd serve. Lorenzo broke Munar Clar 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lorenzo hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.

Musetti has a winning win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 58% of his matches (164-117). 6-2 on grass in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Musetti has a composed6-6 win-loss record in the last 6 years on grass.

Lorenzo’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Australia.

The Italian has an overall 22-15 win-loss record in 2023, 6-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Wimbledon
Musetti's Record

Hubert Hurkacz

Hubert Hurkacz

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
73
High
6
WLLWWWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-11 4-5 7-4 3-2 1-0 0-0
2024 40-19 17-10 14-4 4-3 5-2 0-0
2023 47-24 23-11 5-5 13-5 6-3 0-0
2022 41-21 18-9 9-4 9-6 5-2 0-0
2021 36-23 22-9 1-4 8-7 5-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 18, Hurkacz reached the 3rd round after defeating Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-1 6-4 6-4 and Jan Choinski 6-4 6-4 7-63.

In the 2nd round, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Choinski (6-4 6-4 7-63). During the match Hurkacz scored 116 points vs Choinski’s 94. Hubert was exceptionally aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Talking about serving, Hurkacz made 18 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Hubert Hurkacz was exceptionally effective on serve to win 85% (50/59) of his 1st serve and 66% (19/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Hurkacz broke Choinski twice after converting 15% of his break points (2/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Hurkacz hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Marseille where he overcame Benjamin Bonzi in the final 6-3 7-6(4).

Hurkacz has a composed 24-14 win-loss record in 2023, 5-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See his history.

Wimbledon
Hurkacz's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Musetti
H.Hurkacz
4h:19
4h:19
Time on court​
3h:46
3h:46
!
2h:17
2h:17
Last match​
!
2h:06
2h:06
2
2
Match played
2
2
54
54
Games Played​
60
60
6
6
Set played​​
6
6
211
211
Total points​
210
210
105.5
105.5
Avg point​
105
105
93
93
Winners
95
95
46.5
46.5
Avg Winners​
47.5
47.5
44%
44%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
11
11
Aces
33
33
5.5
5.5
Avg Aces
!
16.5
16.5
14
14
Double Faults
2
2
!
7
7
Avg Double Faults
1
1
93/120
93/120
1st won total​
95/113
95/113
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
84%
84%
36/72
36/72
2nd won total​
34/55
34/55
50%
50%
2nd won %
!
62%
62%
-- Break Points --
11/26
11/26
BP won
6/20
6/20
5.5/13
5.5/13
Avg BP won
3/10
3/10
42%
42%
Won
30%
30%
9
9
Conceded
7
7
4.5
4.5
Avg Conceded
3.5
3.5
1
1
Broken
0
0
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
!
0
0
8
8
Saved
7
7
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Musetti Hurkacz
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 6 6
Tot Games 54 60
Pts 211-159 210-160
Total Points 370 370
Winners 93 95
%Winners 44% 45%

Both Musetti and Hurkacz played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Musetti and Hurkacz have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Musetti played 6 games less than Hurkacz. The Italian scored 93 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Pole struck 95 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Musetti Hurkacz
Aces 11 33
Avg per match 5.5 16.5
1st in 120/192 113/168
%1st in 63% 67%
1st pts 93/120 95/113
%1st pts 78% 84%
2nd pts 36/72 34/55
%2nd pts 50% 62%

Musetti bagged 11 aces (5.5 per match). Hurkacz blasted 33 aces (16.5 per match). Musetti won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Hurkacz won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Musetti Hurkacz
Won 11 6
Converted 11/26 6/20
% Converted 42% 30%
Conceded 9 7
Saved 8 7
% Saved 89% 100%
Times Broken 1 0

The Italian broke his opponents 11 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. The Pole broke his opponents 6 times with a 30% conversion rate. The Pole was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 7 break points.

Musetti
R1
Pablo Patino-Samudio		 R2
Munar Clar		 Total
Score 6-3 6-1 7-5 6-4 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 28 26 54
pts 99-73 112-86 211-159
Total points 172 198 370
Winners 47 46 93
%Winners 47% 41% 44%
SERVE
Aces 5 6 11
Double Faults 4 10 14
1st in 59/88 61/104 120/192
% 1st in 67% 59% 63%
1st pts 47/59 46/61 93/120
% 1st pts 80% 75% 78%
2nd pts 15/29 21/43 36/72
% 2nd pts 52% 49% 50%
Breaks
Won 6 5 11
Converted 6/12 5/14 11/26
Converted % 50% 36% 42%
Conceded 4 5 9
Saved 3/4 5/5 8
Saved % 75% 100% 88%
Times Broken 1 0 1
Hurkacz
R1
Ramos-Vinolas		 R2
Choinski		 Total
Score 6-1 6-4 6-4 6-4 6-4 7-63
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 27 33 60
pts 94-66 116-94 210-160
Total points 160 210 370
Winners 45 50 95
%Winners 48% 43% 45%
SERVE
Aces 15 18 33
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 54/80 59/88 113/168
% 1st in 68% 67% 67%
1st pts 45/54 50/59 95/113
% 1st pts 83% 85% 84%
2nd pts 15/26 19/29 34/55
% 2nd pts 58% 66% 62%
Breaks
Won 4 2 6
Converted 4/7 2/13 6/20
Converted % 57% 15% 30%
Conceded 4 3 7
Saved 4/4 3/3 7
Saved % 100% 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0 0

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

Upcoming matches in the draw

Musetti
More Stats
Click here
Hurkacz

Click for FULL STATS