Holger Rune and Roberto Carballes Baena will clash against each other in the 2nd round of Wimbledon for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on Court 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 3 sets.
Holger Rune -> 1.052
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 9.7
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Roberto Carballes Baena
This will be the 2nd time that Holger Rune and Roberto Carballes Baena square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Carballes Baena (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they competed against each other, Carballes Baena won 6-2 6-4 in the 1st round in Cordoba back in 2022.
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-22 | 20-10 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-24 | 21-12 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6 (career-high), Rune reached the 2nd round after defeating George Loffhagen 7-64 6-3 6-2.
In the 1st round, Holger had a good straight sets win against Loffhagen (7-64 6-3 6-2). During the match, Rune scored 105 points vs Loffhagen’s 84. Rune was extremely aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rune bagged 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Holger Rune was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 81% (46/57) of his 1st serve and 69% (20/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Dane broke Loffhagen 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Rune has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 68% of his matches (196-94). 4-1 on grass in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Rune has a composed4-4 match record in the last 6 years on grass.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Munich where he overcame Botic Van De Zandschulp in the final 6-4 1-6 7-6(3).
The Dane has a compiled 34-12 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Roberto Carballes Baena
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-24 | 7-10 | 11-12 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-31 | 10-12 | 24-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-29 | 3-8 | 19-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-33 | 3-8 | 41-23 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-30 | 3-5 | 33-20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 57, Carballes Baena reached the 2nd round after beating Matteo Arnaldi 6-70 6-3 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round against Arnaldi, The Spaniard recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-70 6-3 6-4 6-4). During the match Carballes Baena scored 128 points vs Arnaldi’s 115. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Talking about serving, Carballes Baena blasted 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Roberto Carballes Baena was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (53/70) of his 1st serve and 59% (34/58) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Spaniard broke Arnaldi 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Marrakech where he defeated Alexandre Muller in the final 4-6 7-6(3) 6-2.
The Spaniard has an aggregate 16-16 win-loss record in 2023, 2-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2018, 2019, 2021 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Carballes Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 42 |
| Pts | 105-84 | 128-115 |
| Total Points | 189 | 243 |
| Winners | 46 | 53 |
| %Winners | 44% | 41% |
Both Rune and Carballes Baena played 1 match. At the moment, Roberto Carballes Baena surrendered 1 set while Holger Rune hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rune has played 1 set(s) less than Carballes Baena (3 vs 4). Therefore, Rune played 12 games less than Carballes Baena. Rune scored 46 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard bagged 53 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Carballes Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 2 |
| 1st in | 57/86 | 70/128 |
| %1st in | 66% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 46/57 | 53/70 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 20/29 | 34/58 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 59% |
Rune fired 7 aces . Carballes Baena made 2 aces . Rune won 81% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Carballes Baena won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Carballes Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/11 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 27% | 63% |
| Conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Saved | 5 | 5 |
| % Saved | 100% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Holger broke his opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. Holger had a solid display on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 5 break points. Roberto broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Carballes Baena conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | |||
| R1 Loffhagen | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 105-84 | 105-84 | |
| Total points | 189 | 189 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 57/86 | 57/86 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 46/57 | 46/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/29 | 20/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 3/11 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Carballes Baena | |||
| R1 Arnaldi | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-70 6-3 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 42 | 42 | |
| pts | 128-115 | 128-115 | |
| Total points | 243 | 243 | |
| Winners | 53 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 70/128 | 70/128 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 53/70 | 53/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 34/58 | 34/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Dominic StrickerStricker (7-611 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrey RublevRublev – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (6-74 6-3 6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 4-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mikael YmerYmer – Taylor FritzFritz (3-6 2-6 6-3 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Quentin HalysHalys – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-3 6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tommy PaulPaul – Milos RaonicRaonic (6-4 7-64 6-74 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (6-4 6-4 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Corentin MoutetMoutet (7-5 6-3 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (6-3 6-4 7-67) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander BublikBublik – Jeff WolfWolf (6-3 7-65 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Liam BroadyBroady – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maximilian MartererMarterer – Michael MmohMmoh (7-5 7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Oscar OtteOtte (6-3 3-6 6-3 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-4 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Guido PellaPella – Harold MayotMayot (2-6 6-3 7-63 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-2 6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-3 7-64 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman (7-5 6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andy MurrayMurray – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-22) – H2H and prediction
- Guido PellaPella – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Nicolas JarryJarry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Maximilian MartererMarterer (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Jiri VeselyVesely (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Mikael YmerYmer (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Christopher EubanksEubanks (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera – David GoffinGoffin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Liam BroadyBroady (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Quentin HalysHalys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Tommy PaulPaul (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-0) – H2H and prediction