Holger Rune and Roberto Carballes Baena will clash against each other in the 2nd round of Wimbledon for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on Court 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.052
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 9.7

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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Roberto Carballes Baena

This will be the 2nd time that Holger Rune and Roberto Carballes Baena square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Carballes Baena (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.

The last time that they competed against each other, Carballes Baena won 6-2 6-4 in the 1st round in Cordoba back in 2022.

Holger Rune

Holger Rune

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
15
High
4
LWWLWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-22 20-10 10-6 4-4 2-2 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 6 (career-high), Rune reached the 2nd round after defeating George Loffhagen 7-64 6-3 6-2.

In the 1st round, Holger had a good straight sets win against Loffhagen (7-64 6-3 6-2). During the match, Rune scored 105 points vs Loffhagen’s 84. Rune was extremely aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rune bagged 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Holger Rune was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 81% (46/57) of his 1st serve and 69% (20/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Dane broke Loffhagen 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Rune has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 68% of his matches (196-94). 4-1 on grass in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Rune has a composed4-4 match record in the last 6 years on grass.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Munich where he overcame Botic Van De Zandschulp in the final 6-4 1-6 7-6(3).

The Dane has a compiled 34-12 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Wimbledon
Rune's Record

Roberto Carballes Baena

Roberto Carballes Baena

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
133
High
49
LLWLWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-24 7-10 11-12 1-1 0-1 0-0
2024 37-31 10-12 24-13 2-4 1-2 0-0
2023 25-29 3-8 19-14 1-4 2-3 0-0
2022 46-33 3-8 41-23 2-1 0-1 0-0
2021 41-30 3-5 33-20 3-3 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 57, Carballes Baena reached the 2nd round after beating Matteo Arnaldi 6-70 6-3 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round against Arnaldi, The Spaniard recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-70 6-3 6-4 6-4). During the match Carballes Baena scored 128 points vs Arnaldi’s 115. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 53 winners.

Talking about serving, Carballes Baena blasted 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Roberto Carballes Baena was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (53/70) of his 1st serve and 59% (34/58) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Spaniard broke Arnaldi 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Marrakech where he defeated Alexandre Muller in the final 4-6 7-6(3) 6-2.

The Spaniard has an aggregate 16-16 win-loss record in 2023, 2-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2018, 2019, 2021 and 2022. See his history.

Wimbledon
Carballes Baena's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

H.Rune
R.Carballes Baena
2h:09
2h:09
Time on court​
2h:57
2h:57
!
2h:09
2h:09
Last match​
!
2h:57
2h:57
1
1
Match played
1
1
30
30
Games Played​
42
42
3
3
Set played​​
4
4
105
105
Total points​
128
128
105
105
Avg point​
128
128
46
46
Winners
53
53
46
46
Avg Winners​
53
53
44%
44%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
2
2
7
7
Avg Aces
2
2
2
2
Double Faults
5
5
2
2
Avg Double Faults
5
5
46/57
46/57
1st won total​
53/70
53/70
!
81%
81%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
20/29
20/29
2nd won total​
34/58
34/58
!
69%
69%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
3/11
3/11
BP won
5/8
5/8
3/11
3/11
Avg BP won
5/8
5/8
!
27%
27%
Won
!
63%
63%
5
5
Conceded
7
7
5
5
Avg Conceded
7
7
0
0
Broken
2
2
!
0
0
Avg Broken
2
2
5
5
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rune Carballes Baena
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 4
Tot Games 30 42
Pts 105-84 128-115
Total Points 189 243
Winners 46 53
%Winners 44% 41%

Both Rune and Carballes Baena played 1 match. At the moment, Roberto Carballes Baena surrendered 1 set while Holger Rune hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rune has played 1 set(s) less than Carballes Baena (3 vs 4). Therefore, Rune played 12 games less than Carballes Baena. Rune scored 46 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard bagged 53 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rune Carballes Baena
Aces 7 2
Avg per match 7 2
1st in 57/86 70/128
%1st in 66% 55%
1st pts 46/57 53/70
%1st pts 81% 76%
2nd pts 20/29 34/58
%2nd pts 69% 59%

Rune fired 7 aces . Carballes Baena made 2 aces . Rune won 81% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Carballes Baena won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rune Carballes Baena
Won 3 5
Converted 3/11 5/8
% Converted 27% 63%
Conceded 5 7
Saved 5 5
% Saved 100% 71%
Times Broken 0 2

Holger broke his opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. Holger had a solid display on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 5 break points. Roberto broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Carballes Baena conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Rune
R1
Loffhagen
Total
Score 7-64 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 30
pts 105-84 105-84
Total points 189 189
Winners 46 46
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 57/86 57/86
% 1st in 66% 66%
1st pts 46/57 46/57
% 1st pts 81% 81%
2nd pts 20/29 20/29
% 2nd pts 69% 69%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/11 3/11
Converted % 27% 27%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 5/5 5
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Carballes Baena
R1
Arnaldi
Total
Score 6-70 6-3 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 42 42
pts 128-115 128-115
Total points 243 243
Winners 53 53
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 70/128 70/128
% 1st in 55% 55%
1st pts 53/70 53/70
% 1st pts 76% 76%
2nd pts 34/58 34/58
% 2nd pts 59% 59%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/8 5/8
Converted % 63% 63%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 5/7 5
Saved % 71% 71%
Times Broken 2 2

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

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