Aryna Sabalenka and Varvara Gracheva will fight against each other in the 2nd round of Wimbledon for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on Court 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.084
Varvara Gracheva -> 7.7

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Varvara Gracheva

There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Varvara Gracheva since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0

Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the Belarussian got to the 2nd round after defeating Panna Udvardy 6-3 6-1.

In the 1st round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Udvardy (6-3 6-1). During the match, Sabalenka scored 62 points vs Udvardy’s 37. Aryna was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sabalenka fired 8 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 81% (21/26) of her 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Belarussian broke Udvardy 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (299-147). 2-1 on grass in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a compiled29-17 record in the last 8 years on grass.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Adelaide where she overcame Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she beat Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where she defeated Iga Swiatek in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3.

The Belarussian has a compiled 36-7 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Wimbledon
Sabalenka's Record

Varvara Gracheva

Varvara Gracheva

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
77
High
39
LWWWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-28 20-14 9-8 1-3 4-3 0-0
2024 29-28 13-15 15-10 0-1 1-2 0-0
2023 36-30 23-18 7-6 3-3 3-3 0-0
2022 29-32 7-11 12-14 10-7 0-0 0-0
2021 27-31 11-10 7-10 9-9 0-2 0-0

Ranked no. 41 (career-high), Gracheva reached the 2nd round after defeating Camila Giorgi 6-2 6-4.

In the 1st round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Giorgi (6-2 6-4). During the match Gracheva scored 76 points vs Giorgi’s 56. Varvara was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Gracheva blasted 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Varvara Gracheva was very efficient on serve to win 75% (27/36) of her 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Varvara broke Giorgi 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).

Gracheva’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Austin.

Gracheva has an aggregate 31-19 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Wimbledon
Gracheva's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Sabalenka
V.Gracheva
1h:02
1h:02
Time on court​
1h:26
1h:26
1h:02
1h:02
Last match​
1h:26
1h:26
1
1
Match played
1
1
16
16
Games Played​
18
18
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
62
62
Total points​
76
76
62
62
Avg point​
76
76
21
21
Winners
27
27
21
21
Avg Winners​
27
27
34%
34%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
5
5
8
8
Avg Aces
5
5
2
2
Double Faults
1
1
2
2
Avg Double Faults
1
1
21/26
21/26
1st won total​
27/36
27/36
!
81%
81%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
12/17
12/17
2nd won total​
16/28
16/28
!
71%
71%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
4/7
4/7
BP won
4/12
4/12
4/7
4/7
Avg BP won
4/12
4/12
!
57%
57%
Won
33%
33%
2
2
Conceded
6
6
2
2
Avg Conceded
6
6
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1
1
2
2
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Gracheva
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 18
Pts 62-37 76-56
Total Points 99 132
Winners 21 27
%Winners 34% 36%

Both Sabalenka and Gracheva played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Gracheva have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Sabalenka played 2 games less than Gracheva. The Belarussian scored 21 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Varvara bagged 27 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Gracheva
Aces 8 5
Avg per match 8 5
1st in 26/43 36/64
%1st in 60% 56%
1st pts 21/26 27/36
%1st pts 81% 75%
2nd pts 12/17 16/28
%2nd pts 71% 57%

Sabalenka managed to score 8 aces . Gracheva fired 5 aces . Sabalenka won 81% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Gracheva won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Gracheva
Won 4 4
Converted 4/7 4/12
% Converted 57% 33%
Conceded 2 6
Saved 2 5
% Saved 100% 83%
Times Broken 0 1

The Belarussian broke her opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Sabalenka very solid her serve as she has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. The French player broke her opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The French player conceded her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
R1
Udvardy
Total
Score 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 62-37 62-37
Total points 99 99
Winners 21 21
%Winners 34% 34%
SERVE
Aces 8 8
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 26/43 26/43
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 21/26 21/26
% 1st pts 81% 81%
2nd pts 12/17 12/17
% 2nd pts 71% 71%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/7 4/7
Converted % 57% 57%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2/2 2
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Gracheva
R1
Giorgi
Total
Score 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 76-56 76-56
Total points 132 132
Winners 27 27
%Winners 36% 36%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 36/64 36/64
% 1st in 56% 56%
1st pts 27/36 27/36
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 16/28 16/28
% 2nd pts 57% 57%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/12 4/12
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 5/6 5
Saved % 83% 83%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

Upcoming matches in the draw