Aryna Sabalenka and Varvara Gracheva will fight against each other in the 2nd round of Wimbledon for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on Court 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.084
Varvara Gracheva -> 7.7
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Varvara Gracheva
There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Varvara Gracheva since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 63-12 | 35-6 | 17-3 | 4-1 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the Belarussian got to the 2nd round after defeating Panna Udvardy 6-3 6-1.
In the 1st round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Udvardy (6-3 6-1). During the match, Sabalenka scored 62 points vs Udvardy’s 37. Aryna was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka fired 8 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 81% (21/26) of her 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Belarussian broke Udvardy 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (299-147). 2-1 on grass in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a compiled29-17 record in the last 8 years on grass.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Adelaide where she overcame Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she beat Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where she defeated Iga Swiatek in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3.
The Belarussian has a compiled 36-7 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Varvara Gracheva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-28 | 20-14 | 9-8 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-28 | 13-15 | 15-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-30 | 23-18 | 7-6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-32 | 7-11 | 12-14 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 11-10 | 7-10 | 9-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 41 (career-high), Gracheva reached the 2nd round after defeating Camila Giorgi 6-2 6-4.
In the 1st round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Giorgi (6-2 6-4). During the match Gracheva scored 76 points vs Giorgi’s 56. Varvara was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Gracheva blasted 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Varvara Gracheva was very efficient on serve to win 75% (27/36) of her 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Varvara broke Giorgi 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).
Gracheva’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Austin.
Gracheva has an aggregate 31-19 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 18 |
| Pts | 62-37 | 76-56 |
| Total Points | 99 | 132 |
| Winners | 21 | 27 |
| %Winners | 34% | 36% |
Both Sabalenka and Gracheva played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Gracheva have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Sabalenka played 2 games less than Gracheva. The Belarussian scored 21 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Varvara bagged 27 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 5 |
| 1st in | 26/43 | 36/64 |
| %1st in | 60% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 27/36 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 12/17 | 16/28 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 57% |
Sabalenka managed to score 8 aces . Gracheva fired 5 aces . Sabalenka won 81% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Gracheva won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/12 |
| % Converted | 57% | 33% |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 |
| Saved | 2 | 5 |
| % Saved | 100% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
The Belarussian broke her opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Sabalenka very solid her serve as she has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. The French player broke her opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The French player conceded her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||
| R1 Udvardy | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 62-37 | 62-37 | |
| Total points | 99 | 99 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 26/43 | 26/43 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 21/26 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/17 | 12/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Gracheva | |||
| R1 Giorgi | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 76-56 | 76-56 | |
| Total points | 132 | 132 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 36/64 | 36/64 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 27/36 | 27/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 16/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ana BogdanBogdan – Alycia ParksParks (1-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Petra MarticMartic – Diane ParryParry (4-6 6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sofia KeninKenin – Xinyu WangWang (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Elise MertensMertens (6-1 1-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Jodie Anna BurrageAnna Burrage (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (6-2 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Facundo ArguelloArguello – Facundo JuarezJuarez (4-6 6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Franco Emanuel EgeaEmanuel Egea – Jose PereiraPereira (6-2 1-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mariano KestelboimKestelboim – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (4-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hugo DellienDellien – Carlos Eduardo SeverinoEduardo Severino (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Ignacio GalarzaIgnacio Galarza – Gonzalo LamaLama (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva – Maximiliano EstevezEstevez (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Ignacio AmealIgnacio Ameal – Hernan CasanovaCasanova (4-6 7-62 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Martin CuevasCuevas – Ignacio MonzonMonzon (6-3 5-7 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marie BouzkovaMarie – Anett KontaveitAnett (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaMirra – Barbora KrejcikovaBarbora (6-3 4-0 ret.) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Magda LinetteLinette – Barbora StrycovaStrycova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Belinda BencicBencic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Cristina BucsaBucsa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Donna VekicVekic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Caroline GarciaGarcia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Natalija KosticKostic – Tamara KorpatschKorpatsch (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Petra KvitovaKvitova (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Jaqueline CristianCristian (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Viktoriya TomovaTomova – Katie BoulterBoulter (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alize CornetCornet – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Madison KeysKeys (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Kaja JuvanJuvan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jule NiemeierNiemeier – Dalma GalfiGalfi (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison BrengleBrengle – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Petra MarticMartic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Sofia KeninKenin (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Ana BogdanBogdan (1-0) – H2H and prediction