Denis Shapovalov and Gregoire Barrere will square off in the 2nd round of Wimbledon for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on Court 8. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.62
Gregoire Barrere -> 2.3
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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Gregoire Barrere
This will be the 2nd time that Denis Shapovalov and Gregoire Barrere face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Shapovalov (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they competed against each other, Shapovalov won 6-4 6-1 in the 2nd round in the Granby Challenger back in 2016.
Denis Shapovalov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-6 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-25 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 16-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, Shapovalov got to the 2nd round after beating Radu Albot 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round against Albot, Denis recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2). During the match, Shapovalov scored 128 points vs Albot’s 101. Shapovalov was very aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Regarding the service games, Shapovalov recorded 13 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Denis Shapovalov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Shapovalov put 57% of his first serves in, winning 85% (51/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (22/45) on the 2nd serve. Denis broke Albot 7 times after converting 44% of his break points (7/16).
Shapovalov has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 60% of his matches (274-181). 2-2 on grass in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shapovalov has an overall19-20 record in the last 9 years on grass.
The Canadian has a compiled 11-12 win-loss record in 2023, 2-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Gregoire Barrere
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-6 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-32 | 1-4 | 16-12 | 11-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-31 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 17-8 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-29 | 10-7 | 8-10 | 25-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-23 | 7-4 | 3-6 | 11-10 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 49 (career-high), the French player got to the 2nd round after defeating Lloyd Harris 7-5 6-74 7-5 6-3.
In the 1st round, The French player defeated Lloyd (7-5 6-74 7-5 6-3). During the match Barrere scored 167 points vs Lloyd’s 149. Gregoire was very aggressive to blast 66 winners.
About the serving games, Barrere scored 11 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Gregoire Barrere lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Barrere put 61% of his first serves in, winning 69% (66/95) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (38/60) on the 2nd serve. Gregoire broke Lloyd 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Quimper Challenger where he defeated Arthur Fils in the final 6-1 6-4.
Gregoire has an overall 26-19 win-loss record in 2023, 5-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shapovalov | Barrere |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 38 | 46 |
| Pts | 128-101 | 167-149 |
| Total Points | 229 | 316 |
| Winners | 51 | 66 |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% |
Both Shapovalov and Barrere played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Denis Shapovalov surrendered 1 set, while Gregoire Barrere lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Shapovalov and Barrere have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Shapovalov played 8 games less than Barrere. Denis scored 51 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Barrere scored 66 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shapovalov | Barrere |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 11 |
| 1st in | 60/105 | 95/155 |
| %1st in | 57% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 51/60 | 66/95 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 22/45 | 38/60 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 63% |
Shapovalov struck 13 aces . Barrere struck 11 aces . Shapovalov won 85% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Barrere won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shapovalov | Barrere |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 6 |
| Converted | 7/16 | 6/13 |
| % Converted | 44% | 46% |
| Conceded | 7 | 10 |
| Saved | 4 | 8 |
| % Saved | 57% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Shapovalov broke his opponent 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Shapovalov conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Gregoire broke his opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Barrere conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shapovalov | |||
| R1 Albot |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 38 | 38 | |
| pts | 128-101 | 128-101 | |
| Total points | 229 | 229 | |
| Winners | 51 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 13 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 60/105 | 60/105 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 51/60 | 51/60 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/45 | 22/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/16 | 7/16 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Barrere | |||
| R1 Lloyd |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-74 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 46 | 46 | |
| pts | 167-149 | 167-149 | |
| Total points | 316 | 316 | |
| Winners | 66 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 95/155 | 95/155 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 66/95 | 66/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 38/60 | 38/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 8/10 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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