Roberto Carballes Baena and Matteo Arnaldi will clash against each other in the 1st round of Wimbledon for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 12:30 pm on Court 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 5 sets.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.46
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 2.72
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Prediction and head to head Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Matteo Arnaldi
There is no head to head record between Roberto Carballes Baena and Matteo Arnaldi since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Roberto Carballes Baena
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-24 | 7-10 | 11-12 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-31 | 10-12 | 24-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-29 | 3-8 | 19-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-33 | 3-8 | 41-23 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-30 | 3-5 | 33-20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 57, Roberto will start his run in Wimbledon after he played his last match in Mallorca where he lost 6-3 7-6(4) to Moutet in the 2nd round on the 27th of June.
Carballes Baena has a compiled 15-16 win-loss record in 2023, 1-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the season was winning the title in Marrakech where he overcame Alexandre Muller in the final 4-6 7-6(3) 6-2.
Talking about his overall career, Carballes Baena has an overall 523-356 record. He has a negative 5-13 record on grass.
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2018, 2019, 2021 and 2022. See his history.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-26 | 11-14 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 80, the Italian got to the 1st round after defeating Juncheng Shang 3-6 7-60 7-5, Federico Gaio 7-65 6-4 and Frederico Ferreira Silva 7-5 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Ferreira Silva (7-5 6-4 6-4). During the match Arnaldi scored 91 points vs Ferreira Silva’s 79. Matteo was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Arnaldi blasted 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Matteo Arnaldi was very effective on serve to win 80% (43/54) of his 1st serve and 71% (22/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Ferreira Silva 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he overcame Raul Brancaccio in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Murcia Challenger where he overcame Borna Gojo in the final 6-4 7-6(4) and the Heilbronn Challenger where he overcame Facundo Diaz Acosta in the final 7-6(4) 6-1.
The Italian has an aggregate 32-15 win-loss record in 2023, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2022. See his history.
Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Nuno BorgesBorges (5-7 6-3 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ben SheltonShelton – Taro DanielDaniel (6-4 6-3 3-6 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gregoire BarrereBarrere – Lloyd HarrisHarris (7-5 6-74 7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (4-6 7-5 7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-3 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Holger RuneRune – George LoffhagenLoffhagen (7-64 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tommy PaulPaul – Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki (7-5 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Laslo DjereDjere – Maxime CressyCressy (6-75 7-63 7-68 7-67) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Arthur FeryFery (7-5 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Yibing WuWu (7-64 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcos GironGiron – Hugo DellienDellien (7-62 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (2-6 7-67 6-74 6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Radu AlbotAlbot (5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Federico CoriaCoria (4-6 6-4 6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-4 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Guido PellaPella – Borna CoricCoric (6-3 7-5 4-6 3-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-4 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jiri VeselyVesely – Sebastian KordaKorda (7-67 4-6 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (6-1 6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Harold MayotMayot – Benjamin BonziBonzi (6-3 6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taylor FritzFritz – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (6-4 2-6 4-6 7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Dominic ThiemThiem (3-6 7-61 6-2 6-75 7-68) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dominic StrickerStricker – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (3-6 6-3 6-2 4-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (7-65 1-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Milos RaonicRaonic – Dennis NovakNovak (6-75 6-4 7-65 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (6-75 5-7 6-3 6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andy MurrayMurray – Ryan PenistonPeniston (6-3 6-0 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Quentin HalysHalys – Daniel EvansEvans (6-2 6-3 6-75 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Tomas MachacMachac (6-3 4-6 6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Jeremy ChardyChardy (6-0 6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Oscar OtteOtte – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (7-5 6-3 7-69) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (6-74 6-4 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (6-3 6-1 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maximilian MartererMarterer – Borna GojoGojo (7-5 6-78 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-0 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (6-1 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 7-61 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander BublikBublik – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-73 6-4 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Dusan LajovicLajovic (5-7 7-64 6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrey RublevRublev – Max PurcellPurcell (6-3 7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Michael MmohMmoh – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (7-64 6-74 7-64 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- David GoffinGoffin – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-2 5-7 6-2 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (2-6 2-6 6-4 7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – John IsnerIsner (4-6 6-3 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Laurent LokoliLokoli (6-1 5-7 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (7-5 7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jeff WolfWolf – Enzo CouacaudCouacaud (7-5 6-3 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-4 6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Pedro CachinCachin (6-3 6-3 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Liam BroadyBroady – Constant LestienneLestienne (6-1 6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-2 6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera – Sebastian BaezBaez (7-67 3-6 6-3 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Richard GasquetGasquet (6-3 7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mikael YmerYmer – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-3 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andy MurrayMurray – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Guido PellaPella – Harold MayotMayot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Milos RaonicRaonic – Tommy PaulPaul (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Ugo HumbertHumbert (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Liam BroadyBroady – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Nicolas JarryJarry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maximilian MartererMarterer – Michael MmohMmoh (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Jeff WolfWolf (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Oscar OtteOtte (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Christopher EubanksEubanks (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Quentin HalysHalys (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera – David GoffinGoffin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mikael YmerYmer – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-0) – H2H and prediction