Roberto Carballes Baena and Matteo Arnaldi will clash against each other in the 1st round of Wimbledon for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 12:30 pm on Court 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.46
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 2.72
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Prediction and head to head Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Matteo Arnaldi
There is no head to head record between Roberto Carballes Baena and Matteo Arnaldi since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Roberto Carballes Baena
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-15 | 5-6 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-31 | 10-12 | 24-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-29 | 3-8 | 19-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-33 | 3-8 | 41-23 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-30 | 3-5 | 33-20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 57, Roberto will start his run in Wimbledon after he played his last match in Mallorca where he lost 6-3 7-6(4) to Moutet in the 2nd round on the 27th of June.
Carballes Baena has a compiled 15-16 win-loss record in 2023, 1-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the season was winning the title in Marrakech where he overcame Alexandre Muller in the final 4-6 7-6(3) 6-2.
Talking about his overall career, Carballes Baena has an overall 523-356 record. He has a negative 5-13 record on grass.
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2018, 2019, 2021 and 2022. See his history.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-15 | 6-6 | 7-6 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 80, the Italian got to the 1st round after defeating Juncheng Shang 3-6 7-60 7-5, Federico Gaio 7-65 6-4 and Frederico Ferreira Silva 7-5 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Ferreira Silva (7-5 6-4 6-4). During the match Arnaldi scored 91 points vs Ferreira Silva’s 79. Matteo was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Arnaldi blasted 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Matteo Arnaldi was very effective on serve to win 80% (43/54) of his 1st serve and 71% (22/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Ferreira Silva 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he overcame Raul Brancaccio in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Murcia Challenger where he overcame Borna Gojo in the final 6-4 7-6(4) and the Heilbronn Challenger where he overcame Facundo Diaz Acosta in the final 7-6(4) 6-1.
The Italian has an aggregate 32-15 win-loss record in 2023, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2022. See his history.
Head 2 Head
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WLLLWLWWLL Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
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- Alexandre MullerMuller – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (7-65 1-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Milos RaonicRaonic – Dennis NovakNovak (6-75 6-4 7-65 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (6-75 5-7 6-3 6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
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- Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-0 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
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- Alexander BublikBublik – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-73 6-4 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Dusan LajovicLajovic (5-7 7-64 6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
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- Casper RuudRuud – Laurent LokoliLokoli (6-1 5-7 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
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- Jeff WolfWolf – Enzo CouacaudCouacaud (7-5 6-3 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
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- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Richard GasquetGasquet (6-3 7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andy MurrayMurray – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-1) – H2H and prediction
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- Alexander BublikBublik – Jeff WolfWolf (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-0) – H2H and prediction
