Lucio Carnevalle and Francesco Forti will square off in the qualifications of the Milan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:30 pm on GRAND STAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Forti who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Francesco Forti is the pick to win this match.
Francesco Forti -> 1.141
Lucio Carnevalle -> 5.1
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Prediction and head to head Lucio Carnevalle vs. Francesco Forti
There is no head to head record between Lucio Carnevalle and Francesco Forti since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Lucio Carnevalle
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15-10 | 1-2 | 14-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-20 | 0-0 | 29-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-18 | 0-0 | 28-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-17 | 5-6 | 14-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently unranked, Lucio got to the qualifications after defeating Robert Strombachs 7-5 7-66.
In the qualifications, Lucio had a good straight sets win against Strombachs (7-5 7-66). During the match, Carnevalle scored 96 points vs Strombachs’s 86. The Argentine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about the service games, Carnevalle managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Lucio Carnevalle lost the serve 3 times and he saved 14 break points. Furthermore, Carnevalle put 61% of his first serves in, winning 69% (46/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (18/43) on the 2nd serve. Carnevalle broke Strombachs 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Carnevalle has a winning win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 58% of his matches (70-51). 20-12 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Carnevalle has an aggregate65-45 win-loss record in the last 5 years on clay.
The Argentine has a compiled 20-12 win-loss record in 2023, 20-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Milan Challenger
Lucio has never competed in this tournament before.
Francesco Forti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 53-33 | 20-8 | 26-21 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2022 | 31-22 | 1-1 | 29-18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-29 | 1-1 | 35-20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-13 | 8-4 | 4-5 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 339, Francesco got to the qualifications after beating Jacopo Gianno 6-0 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Gianno (6-0 6-2). During the match Forti scored 54 points vs Gianno’s 28. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Talking about serving, Forti blasted 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Francesco Forti was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 89% (17/19) of his 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Francesco broke Gianno 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Francesco’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Monastir.
Forti has a compiled 28-18 win-loss record in 2023, 14-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carnevalle | Forti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 25 | 14 |
| Pts | 96-86 | 54-28 |
| Total Points | 182 | 82 |
| Winners | 46 | 17 |
| %Winners | 48% | 31% |
Both Carnevalle and Forti played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Carnevalle and Forti have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Carnevalle played 11 games more than Forti. Lucio scored 46 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Francesco managed to score 17 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carnevalle | Forti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 67/110 | 19/36 |
| %1st in | 61% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 46/67 | 17/19 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 89% |
| 2nd pts | 18/43 | 12/17 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 71% |
Carnevalle fired 3 aces . Forti made 4 aces . Carnevalle won 69% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Forti won 89% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 71% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carnevalle | Forti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 5/10 |
| % Converted | 57% | 50% |
| Conceded | 17 | 0 |
| Saved | 14 | 0 |
| % Saved | 82% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
The Argentine broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Argentine dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Forti broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Forti was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Carnevalle | |||
| Q1 Strombachs |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 96-86 | 96-86 | |
| Total points | 182 | 182 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 67/110 | 67/110 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 46/67 | 46/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/43 | 18/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 17 | 17 | |
| Saved | 14/17 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 82% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Forti | |||
| Q1 Gianno |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 54-28 | 54-28 | |
| Total points | 82 | 82 | |
| Winners | 17 | 17 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 19/36 | 19/36 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 17/19 | 17/19 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/17 | 12/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLWWW
LLWLWW 
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