Daria Kasatkina and Madison Keys will clash against each other in the final of the Rothesay International for the 11th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 12:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.89
Madison Keys -> 1.909
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Madison Keys
This will be the 11th time that Daria Kasatkina and Madison Keys fight against each other. The head to head is 8-2 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they played each other, Kasatkina won 6-7(5) 6-4 6-2 in the quarter in Charleston back in April 2023.
Highlights Daria Kasatkina vs Madison Keys – Charleston 07-April-2023
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, the Russian got to the final after defeating Anhelina Kalinina 6-3 6-1, Karolina Pliskova 3-6 6-3 6-3, Caroline Garcia 6-2 2-1 ret. and Camila Giorgi 6-2 7-5.
In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Giorgi (6-2 7-5). During the match, Kasatkina scored 71 points vs Giorgi’s 50. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace throughout the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 76% of her first serves in, winning 62% (29/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (5/15) on the 2nd serve. Darya was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Giorgi 7 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Darya has lost 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points she played.
Kasatkina has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (321-181). 4-1 on grass in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Kasatkina has a compiled 25-14 match record in the last years on grass.
Kasatkina’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Adelaide.
Kasatkina has an overall 19-14 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Eastbourne
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-1 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, the American reached the final after defeating Tereza Martincova 7-64 6-4, Xiyu Wang 6-2 7-63, Petra Martic 6-4 6-1 and Cori Gauff 6-3 6-3.
In the semifinal, Keys had a good straight sets win against Gauff (6-3 6-3). During the match Keys scored 67 points vs Gauff’s 52. Madison was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Keys recorded 4 aces and she was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Madison Keys lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 74% of her first serves in, winning 73% (29/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Gauff 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Keys hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Australia where she defeated Lucia Bronzetti in the final 6-3 6-2.
The American has an aggregate 20-8 win-loss record in 2023, 4-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Eastbourne
Previously, she won this tournament once in 2014. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 74 | 79 |
| Pts | 278-219 | 286-230 |
| Total Points | 497 | 516 |
| Winners | 130 | 136 |
| %Winners | 47% | 48% |
Both Kasatkina and Keys played 4 matches. At the moment, Daria Kasatkina lost 1 set while Madison Keys hasn’t dropped a set so far. Kasatkina has played 2 sets more than Keys (10 vs 8). However, it’s interesting to notice that Kasatkina played 5 games less than Keys. The Russian scored 130 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 136 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 190/245 | 178/255 |
| %1st in | 78% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 130/190 | 136/178 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 22/55 | 33/77 |
| %2nd pts | 40% | 43% |
Kasatkina managed to score 9 aces (2.3 per match). Keys struck 20 aces (5 per match). Kasatkina won 68% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Keys won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 15 |
| Converted | 19/29 | 15/25 |
| % Converted | 66% | 60% |
| Conceded | 25 | 19 |
| Saved | 18 | 13 |
| % Saved | 72% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 6 |
The Russian broke her opponents 19 times with a 66% conversion rate. Kasatkina conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 72% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 15 times with a 60% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | ||||||
| R1 Kalinina |
R2 Pliskova |
1/4 Garcia |
1/2 Giorgi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 3-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 2-1 ret. | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 27 | 11 | 20 | 74 | |
| pts | 64-44 | 96-93 | 47-32 | 71-50 | 278-219 | |
| Total points | 108 | 189 | 79 | 121 | 497 | |
| Winners | 30 | 51 | 20 | 29 | 130 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 53% | 43% | 41% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 43/52 | 74/97 | 26/34 | 47/62 | 190/245 | |
| % 1st in | 83% | 76% | 76% | 76% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 30/43 | 51/74 | 20/26 | 29/47 | 130/190 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 69% | 77% | 62% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/9 | 9/23 | 4/8 | 5/15 | 22/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 39% | 50% | 33% | 40% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 4/8 | 3/7 | 7/7 | 19/29 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 50% | 43% | 100% | 66% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 25 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 10/12 | 1/1 | 4/8 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 83% | 100% | 50% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | |
| Keys | ||||||
| R1 Martincova |
R2 Wang |
1/4 Martic |
1/2 Gauff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-4 | 6-2 7-63 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 21 | 17 | 18 | 79 | |
| pts | 78-69 | 77-62 | 64-47 | 67-52 | 286-230 | |
| Total points | 147 | 139 | 111 | 119 | 516 | |
| Winners | 34 | 43 | 30 | 29 | 136 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 56% | 47% | 43% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 46/74 | 53/78 | 39/49 | 40/54 | 178/255 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 68% | 80% | 74% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 34/46 | 43/53 | 30/39 | 29/40 | 136/178 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 81% | 77% | 73% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/28 | 8/25 | 4/10 | 7/14 | 33/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 32% | 40% | 50% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/4 | 4/5 | 4/7 | 15/25 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 75% | 80% | 57% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 7/8 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 88% | 0% | 67% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLW
WWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Eastbourne
- Federico GaioGaio – Jay ClarkeClarke (6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Madison KeysKeys – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (8-2) – H2H and prediction
