Varvara Gracheva and Lucia Bronzetti will clash against each other in the quarter of the Bad Homburg Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 12:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Varvara Gracheva who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Varvara Gracheva is the pick to win this match.
Varvara Gracheva -> 1.666
Lucia Bronzetti -> 2.21

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Prediction and head to head Varvara Gracheva vs. Lucia Bronzetti

This will be the 2nd time that Varvara Gracheva and Lucia Bronzetti clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Bronzetti (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.

The last time that they fought against each other, Bronzetti won 3-6 6-2 6-3 in the 1st round in at the Australian Open back in 2022.

Highlights Lucia Bronzetti vs Varvara Gracheva – Australian Open 17-January-2022

Varvara Gracheva

Varvara Gracheva

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
76
High
39
LWWWLWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-28 20-14 9-8 1-3 4-3 0-0
2024 29-28 13-15 15-10 0-1 1-2 0-0
2023 36-30 23-18 7-6 3-3 3-3 0-0
2022 29-32 7-11 12-14 10-7 0-0 0-0
2021 27-31 11-10 7-10 9-9 0-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 43, the French player reached the quarter after beating Jaqueline Cristian 6-2 6-1 and Sara Errani 6-2 7-5.

In the 2nd round, Varvara had a good straight sets win against Errani (6-2 7-5). During the match, Gracheva scored 74 points vs Errani’s 59. Varvara was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Gracheva was unable to score even 1 ace during the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Varvara Gracheva lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Gracheva put 65% of her first serves in, winning 73% (29/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (9/22) on the 2nd serve. Varvara broke Errani 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Varvara hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 60% of the points she played.

Gracheva has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 60% of her matches (229-151). 2-1 on grass in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Gracheva has a composed2-3 record in the last 8 years on grass.

The French player best result of the current season was reaching the final in Austin.

Varvara has a composed 30-18 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Bad Homburg

Bad Homburg
Gracheva's Record

Lucia Bronzetti

Lucia Bronzetti

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
108
High
46
LLLWLLLLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 21-32 11-17 4-7 5-5 1-3 0-0
2024 31-34 17-22 9-8 3-1 2-3 0-0
2023 32-30 15-17 10-9 4-2 3-2 0-0
2022 36-26 18-10 13-10 3-3 2-3 0-0
2021 53-23 14-4 38-14 1-5 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 65, Lucia reached the quarter after beating Julia Grabher 6-4 6-1 and Mayar Sherif 1-6 7-62 6-3.

In the 2nd round against Sherif, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-62 6-3). During the match Bronzetti scored 117 points vs Sherif’s 111. Bronzetti was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.

About the serving games, Bronzetti blasted 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Lucia Bronzetti lost the serve 3 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Bronzetti put 62% of her first serves in, winning 69% (40/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (19/35) on the 2nd serve. Lucia broke Sherif 3 times after converting 17% of her break points (3/18).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bronzetti has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Rabat where she overcame Julia Grabher in the final 6-4 5-7 7-5.

Lucia has an aggregate 19-17 win-loss record in 2023, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously in Bad Homburg

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See her history.

Bad Homburg
Bronzetti's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

V.Gracheva
L.Bronzetti
2h:28
2h:28
Time on court​
!
4h:07
4h:07
1h:33
1h:33
Last match​
!
2h:51
2h:51
2
2
Match played
2
2
35
35
Games Played​
46
46
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
129
129
Total points​
188
188
64.5
64.5
Avg point​
94
94
50
50
Winners
67
67
25
25
Avg Winners​
33.5
33.5
39%
39%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
5
5
1.5
1.5
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
5
5
Double Faults
3
3
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
50/67
50/67
1st won total​
67/91
67/91
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
18/36
18/36
2nd won total​
30/54
30/54
50%
50%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
10/17
10/17
BP won
7/24
7/24
5/8.5
5/8.5
Avg BP won
3.5/12
3.5/12
!
59%
59%
Won
!
29%
29%
5
5
Conceded
14
14
2.5
2.5
Avg Conceded
7
7
3
3
Broken
3
3
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
2
2
Saved
11
11
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Gracheva Bronzetti
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 35 46
Pts 129-86 188-156
Total Points 215 344
Winners 50 67
%Winners 39% 36%

Both Gracheva and Bronzetti played 2 matches. At the moment, Lucia Bronzetti conceded 1 set while Varvara Gracheva hasn’t conceded a set so far. Gracheva has played 1 set(s) less than Bronzetti (4 vs 5). Therefore, Gracheva played 11 games less than Bronzetti. The French player scored 50 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Lucia recorded 67 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Gracheva Bronzetti
Aces 3 5
Avg per match 1.5 2.5
1st in 67/103 91/145
%1st in 65% 63%
1st pts 50/67 67/91
%1st pts 75% 74%
2nd pts 18/36 30/54
%2nd pts 50% 56%

Gracheva recorded 3 aces (1.5 per match). Bronzetti struck 5 aces (2.5 per match). Gracheva won 75% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Bronzetti won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Gracheva Bronzetti
Won 10 7
Converted 10/17 7/24
% Converted 59% 29%
Conceded 5 14
Saved 2 11
% Saved 40% 79%
Times Broken 3 3

The French player broke her opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. Gracheva lost her serve 3 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded. Bronzetti broke her opponents 7 times with a 29% conversion rate. Bronzetti conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 79% of the break points that she conceded.

Gracheva
R1
Cristian		 R2
Errani		 Total
Score 6-2 6-1 6-2 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 15 20 35
pts 55-27 74-59 129-86
Total points 82 133 215
Winners 21 29 50
%Winners 38% 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 3 0 3
Double Faults 2 3 5
1st in 27/41 40/62 67/103
% 1st in 66% 65% 65%
1st pts 21/27 29/40 50/67
% 1st pts 78% 73% 75%
2nd pts 9/14 9/22 18/36
% 2nd pts 64% 41% 50%
Breaks
Won 5 5 10
Converted 5/8 5/9 10/17
Converted % 63% 56% 59%
Conceded 1 4 5
Saved 0/1 2/4 2
Saved % 0% 50% 25%
Times Broken 1 2 3
Bronzetti
R1
Grabher		 R2
Sherif		 Total
Score 6-4 6-1 1-6 7-62 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 17 29 46
pts 71-45 117-111 188-156
Total points 116 228 344
Winners 27 40 67
%Winners 38% 34% 36%
SERVE
Aces 2 3 5
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 33/52 58/93 91/145
% 1st in 63% 62% 63%
1st pts 27/33 40/58 67/91
% 1st pts 82% 69% 74%
2nd pts 11/19 19/35 30/54
% 2nd pts 58% 54% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 3 7
Converted 4/6 3/18 7/24
Converted % 67% 17% 29%
Conceded 2 12 14
Saved 2/2 9/12 11
Saved % 100% 75% 88%
Times Broken 0 3 3

Tennis Scores in Bad Homburg

Upcoming matches in the draw

Gracheva
More Stats
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Bronzetti

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