H2H, prediction of Matteo Arnaldi vs Federico Gaio in Wimbledon with odds, preview, pick | 28th June 2023

PREVIEW. London. Arnaldi and Gaio will square off in the qualifications of Wimbledon. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Wednesday the 28th of June

Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Federico Gaio

Matteo Arnaldi and Federico Gaio will clash against each other in the qualifications of Wimbledon for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on Court 15. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.39
Federico Gaio -> 2.88

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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Federico Gaio

This will be the 2nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Federico Gaio fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Arnaldi (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.

The last time that they locked horns, Arnaldi won 6-2 6-0 in the 1st round in the San Marino Challenger back in 2022.

Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi
Matteo Arnaldi

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
43
High
30
LLLWLWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-15 6-6 7-6 2-1 0-2 0-0
2024 29-26 17-13 10-9 1-2 1-2 0-0
2023 51-26 21-15 23-7 4-3 3-1 0-0
2022 50-35 9-3 37-20 4-11 0-1 0-0
2021 56-24 2-1 51-18 3-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 78, the Italian reached the qualifications after defeating Juncheng Shang 3-6 7-60 7-5.

In the qualifications against Shang, Arnaldi recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-60 7-5).During the match, Arnaldi scored less points (6) than Shang. In fact, the world no. 78 won 95 points vs Shang’s. That means that Arnaldi was more focused during the important points. Matteo was quite aggressive to blast 54 winners.

Talking about the service games, Arnaldi fired 8 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 70% of his first serves in, winning 73% (54/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. Arnaldi broke Shang twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Arnaldi has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 63% of his matches (166-97). 1-0 on grass in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Arnaldi has a compiled1-1 win-loss record in the last 6 years on grass.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he overcame Raul Brancaccio in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Murcia Challenger where he defeated Borna Gojo in the final 6-4 7-6(4) and the Heilbronn Challenger where he overcame Facundo Diaz Acosta in the final 7-6(4) 6-1.

Matteo has a composed 30-15 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Arnaldi
Wimbledon
Arnaldi's Record

Federico Gaio

Federico Gaio
Federico Gaio

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
618
High
124
LWWLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 14-17 2-7 12-10 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 43-30 14-12 25-15 3-2 1-1 0-0
2022 18-28 9-9 8-15 0-2 1-2 0-0
2021 36-38 6-8 14-16 13-11 3-3 0-0
2020 17-19 5-4 10-12 2-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 219, the Italian got to the qualifications after beating Daniel Cox 2-6 7-62 7-5.

In the qualifications against Cox, Gaio recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-62 7-5).During the match Gaio scored less points (1) than Cox. In fact, the world no. 78 won 95 points vs Cox’s. That means that Gaio was more focused during the important points. Federico was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about serving, Gaio made 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Federico Gaio lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Gaio put 54% of his first serves in, winning 76% (42/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (22/46) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Cox twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Gaio’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Monastir,M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio and the Turin Challenger.

Gaio has an overall 34-17 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2021. See his history.

Gaio
Wimbledon
Gaio's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Arnaldi
F.Gaio
2h:04
2h:04
Time on court​
1h:59
1h:59
!
2h:04
2h:04
Last match​
1h:59
1h:59
1
1
Match played
1
1
34
34
Games Played​
33
33
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
95
95
Total points​
95
95
95
95
Avg point​
95
95
54
54
Winners
42
42
54
54
Avg Winners​
42
42
57%
57%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
11
11
8
8
Avg Aces
!
11
11
6
6
Double Faults
3
3
!
6
6
Avg Double Faults
3
3
54/74
54/74
1st won total​
42/55
42/55
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
15/32
15/32
2nd won total​
22/46
22/46
47%
47%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
2/5
2/5
BP won
2/3
2/3
2/5
2/5
Avg BP won
2/3
2/3
40%
40%
Won
!
67%
67%
7
7
Conceded
8
8
7
7
Avg Conceded
8
8
3
3
Broken
4
4
3
3
Avg Broken
4
4
4
4
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Arnaldi Gaio
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 34 33
Pts 95-101 95-96
Total Points 196 191
Winners 54 42
%Winners 57% 44%

Both Arnaldi and Gaio played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Arnaldi dropped 1 set, while Federico Gaio surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Arnaldi and Gaio have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Arnaldi played 1 game more than Gaio. The Italian scored 54 winners (57% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian recorded 42 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Arnaldi Gaio
Aces 8 11
Avg per match 8 11
1st in 74/106 55/101
%1st in 70% 54%
1st pts 54/74 42/55
%1st pts 73% 76%
2nd pts 15/32 22/46
%2nd pts 47% 48%

Arnaldi blasted 8 aces . Gaio scored 11 aces . Arnaldi won 73% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Gaio won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Arnaldi Gaio
Won 2 2
Converted 2/5 2/3
% Converted 40% 67%
Conceded 7 8
Saved 4 4
% Saved 57% 50%
Times Broken 3 4

Matteo broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Federico broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. Gaio conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Arnaldi
Q1
Shang
Total
Score 3-6 7-60 7-5
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 34 34
pts 95-101 95-101
Total points 196 196
Winners 54 54
%Winners 57% 57%
SERVE
Aces 8 8
Double Faults 6 6
1st in 74/106 74/106
% 1st in 70% 70%
1st pts 54/74 54/74
% 1st pts 73% 73%
2nd pts 15/32 15/32
% 2nd pts 47% 47%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/5 2/5
Converted % 40% 40%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 4/7 4
Saved % 57% 57%
Times Broken 3 3
Gaio
Q1
Cox
Total
Score 2-6 7-62 7-5
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 33 33
pts 95-96 95-96
Total points 191 191
Winners 42 42
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 11 11
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 55/101 55/101
% 1st in 54% 54%
1st pts 42/55 42/55
% 1st pts 76% 76%
2nd pts 22/46 22/46
% 2nd pts 48% 48%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/3 2/3
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 4/8 4
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 4 4

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Arnaldi
LLLWLWWLLW
Gaio
2025 2024 2023
15 - 15
0 - 0
6-6
Hard
0-0
2-1
I Hard
0-0
7-6
Clay
0-0

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

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