
Matteo Arnaldi and Federico Gaio will clash against each other in the qualifications of Wimbledon for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on Court 15. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.39
Federico Gaio -> 2.88
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Federico Gaio
This will be the 2nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Federico Gaio fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Arnaldi (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they locked horns, Arnaldi won 6-2 6-0 in the 1st round in the San Marino Challenger back in 2022.
Matteo Arnaldi
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 15-15 | 6-6 | 7-6 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 78, the Italian reached the qualifications after defeating Juncheng Shang 3-6 7-60 7-5.
In the qualifications against Shang, Arnaldi recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-60 7-5).During the match, Arnaldi scored less points (6) than Shang. In fact, the world no. 78 won 95 points vs Shang’s. That means that Arnaldi was more focused during the important points. Matteo was quite aggressive to blast 54 winners.
Talking about the service games, Arnaldi fired 8 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 70% of his first serves in, winning 73% (54/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. Arnaldi broke Shang twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Arnaldi has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 63% of his matches (166-97). 1-0 on grass in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Arnaldi has a compiled1-1 win-loss record in the last 6 years on grass.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he overcame Raul Brancaccio in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Murcia Challenger where he defeated Borna Gojo in the final 6-4 7-6(4) and the Heilbronn Challenger where he overcame Facundo Diaz Acosta in the final 7-6(4) 6-1.
Matteo has a composed 30-15 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Federico Gaio
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 14-17 | 2-7 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2023 | 43-30 | 14-12 | 25-15 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 18-28 | 9-9 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 36-38 | 6-8 | 14-16 | 13-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
2020 | 17-19 | 5-4 | 10-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 219, the Italian got to the qualifications after beating Daniel Cox 2-6 7-62 7-5.
In the qualifications against Cox, Gaio recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-62 7-5).During the match Gaio scored less points (1) than Cox. In fact, the world no. 78 won 95 points vs Cox’s. That means that Gaio was more focused during the important points. Federico was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Gaio made 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Federico Gaio lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Gaio put 54% of his first serves in, winning 76% (42/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (22/46) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Cox twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Gaio’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Monastir,M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio and the Turin Challenger.
Gaio has an overall 34-17 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Arnaldi | Gaio |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 1 |
Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
Tot Games | 34 | 33 |
Pts | 95-101 | 95-96 |
Total Points | 196 | 191 |
Winners | 54 | 42 |
%Winners | 57% | 44% |
Both Arnaldi and Gaio played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Arnaldi dropped 1 set, while Federico Gaio surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Arnaldi and Gaio have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Arnaldi played 1 game more than Gaio. The Italian scored 54 winners (57% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian recorded 42 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Arnaldi | Gaio |
---|---|---|
Aces | 8 | 11 |
Avg per match | 8 | 11 |
1st in | 74/106 | 55/101 |
%1st in | 70% | 54% |
1st pts | 54/74 | 42/55 |
%1st pts | 73% | 76% |
2nd pts | 15/32 | 22/46 |
%2nd pts | 47% | 48% |
Arnaldi blasted 8 aces . Gaio scored 11 aces . Arnaldi won 73% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Gaio won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Arnaldi | Gaio |
---|---|---|
Won | 2 | 2 |
Converted | 2/5 | 2/3 |
% Converted | 40% | 67% |
Conceded | 7 | 8 |
Saved | 4 | 4 |
% Saved | 57% | 50% |
Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Matteo broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Federico broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. Gaio conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
Arnaldi | |||
Q1 Shang |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 3-6 7-60 7-5 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
pts | 95-101 | 95-101 | |
Total points | 196 | 196 | |
Winners | 54 | 54 | |
%Winners | 57% | 57% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 8 | 8 | |
Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
1st in | 74/106 | 74/106 | |
% 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
1st pts | 54/74 | 54/74 | |
% 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
2nd pts | 15/32 | 15/32 | |
% 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 2 | 2 | |
Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
Saved | 4/7 | 4 | |
Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Gaio | |||
Q1 Cox |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 2-6 7-62 7-5 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
pts | 95-96 | 95-96 | |
Total points | 191 | 191 | |
Winners | 42 | 42 | |
%Winners | 44% | 44% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 11 | 11 | |
Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
1st in | 55/101 | 55/101 | |
% 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
1st pts | 42/55 | 42/55 | |
% 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
2nd pts | 22/46 | 22/46 | |
% 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 2 | 2 | |
Converted | 2/3 | 2/3 | |
Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
Saved | 4/8 | 4 | |
Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
Head 2 Head



Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Dragos Nicolae MadarasNicolae Madaras – Dane SweenySweeny (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Maximilian MartererMarterer – Luciano DarderiDarderi (5-7 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Cem IlkelIlkel (6-3 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Jelle SelsSels (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Mattia BellucciBellucci – Ivan GakhovGakhov (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Gauthier OnclinOnclin – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Denis KudlaKudla – Francesco PassaroPassaro (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Otto VirtanenVirtanen – Henri LaaksonenLaaksonen (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Dominic StrickerStricker – Steve JohnsonJohnson (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Oscar OtteOtte – Benoit PairePaire (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Marc PolmansPolmans – Andrea VavassoriVavassori (7-63 7-5) – See score progression
- Zsombor PirosPiros – Joris De LooreDe Loore (7-67 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Maximilian NeuchristNeuchrist (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Gijs BrouwerBrouwer – Luca PowPow (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Zachary SvajdaSvajda – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (6-1 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Lucas PouillePouille – Zdenek KolarKolar (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-77 6-4 7-611) – See score progression
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Alex BoltBolt (7-62 7-69) – See score progression
- Luca NardiNardi – Jozef KovalikKovalik (6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Arthur CazauxCazaux (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Zizou BergsBergs – Brandon HoltHolt (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (6-75 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Radu AlbotAlbot – Nick HardtHardt (6-2 7-62) – See score progression
- Leandro RiediRiedi – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Taro DanielDaniel – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Lukas KleinKlein – Vit KoprivaKopriva (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Seong Chan HongChan Hong (7-64 7-67) – See score progression
- Kaichi UchidaUchida – Franco AgamenoneAgamenone (4-6 7-62 6-2) – See score progression
- Raphael CollignonCollignon – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (7-65 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Dennis NovakNovak – Filip MisolicMisolic (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Timofey SkatovSkatov (6-73 6-4 7-611) – See score progression
- Elias YmerYmer – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Federico GaioGaio – Daniel CoxCox (2-6 7-62 7-5) – See score progression
- Pablo CuevasCuevas – Egor GerasimovGerasimov (6-4 6-78 7-62) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (7-67 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera – Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Enzo CouacaudCouacaud – Raul BrancaccioBrancaccio (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Matteo GiganteGigante – Harry WendelkenWendelken (6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Hugo GrenierGrenier (6-2 7-63) – See score progression
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Stuart ParkerParker (4-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Ricardas BerankisBerankis – Mariano NavoneNavone (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Hugo GastonGaston – Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Altug CelikbilekCelikbilek – Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina (6-0 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Emilio GomezGomez – Riccardo BonadioBonadio (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Harold MayotMayot – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Laurent LokoliLokoli – Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel (6-1 7-67) – See score progression
- Johannus MondayMonday – Mili PoljicakPoljicak (3-6 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Oleksii KrutykhKrutykh (6-1 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Toby SamuelSamuel – Antoine BellierBellier (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Michael MmohMmoh – Adrian AndreevAndreev (6-4 3-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Charles BroomBroom – Alessandro GiannessiGiannessi (6-4 6-74 6-3) – See score progression
- Hyeon ChungChung – Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Juncheng ShangShang (3-6 7-60 7-5) – See score progression
- Billy HarrisHarris – Alexander RitschardRitschard (5-7 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Aziz DougazDougaz (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves – Vasek PospisilPospisil (6-2 7-62) – See score progression
- Norbert GombosGombos – Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran (6-2 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Tung-Lin WuWu – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Andrea CollariniCollarini (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pablo CuevasCuevas – Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Radu AlbotAlbot – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Harold MayotMayot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lucas PouillePouille – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Emilio GomezGomez (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taro DanielDaniel – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Laurent LokoliLokoli – Norbert GombosGombos (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maximilian MartererMarterer – Gauthier OnclinOnclin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hyeon ChungChung – Enzo CouacaudCouacaud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Michael MmohMmoh – Dragos Nicolae MadarasNicolae Madaras (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Billy HarrisHarris – Hugo GastonGaston (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tung-Lin WuWu – Denis KudlaKudla (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Altug CelikbilekCelikbilek (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lukas KleinKlein – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Jesper De JongDe Jong (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Charles BroomBroom – Dennis NovakNovak (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zsombor PirosPiros – Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Elias YmerYmer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – Kaichi UchidaUchida (0-0) – H2H and prediction