
Lucas Gerch and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez will clash against each other in the 1st round of the Modena Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 9:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lucas Gerch who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lucas Gerch is the pick to win this match.
Lucas Gerch -> 1.46
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez -> 2.57
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Prediction and head to head Lucas Gerch vs. Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
There is no head to head record between Lucas Gerch and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Lucas Gerch
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-17 | 6-4 | 20-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-23 | 0-2 | 35-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 32-20 | 2-2 | 26-14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-29 | 11-3 | 36-20 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-27 | 8-8 | 20-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 332, Lucas reached the 1st round after defeating Gabriele Bosio 6-4 6-4 and Timo Stodder 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, Gerch had a good straight sets win against Stodder (6-4 6-2). During the match, Gerch scored 62 points vs Stodder’s 46. Gerch was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gerch fired 5 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Lucas Gerch was pretty efficient on serve to win 76% (22/29) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Gerch broke Stodder 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Lucas started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.
Gerch has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 61% of his matches (214-139). 12-9 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gerch has an overall134-80 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
Gerch’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Krsko.
Gerch has a composed 15-13 win-loss record in 2023, 12-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Modena Challenger
Gerch has never competed in this tournament before.
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-34 | 8-12 | 18-21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-27 | 22-12 | 12-14 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-15 | 6-6 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 896, Rodrigo will start his run in the Modena Challenger after he played his last match in the Blois Challenger where he lost 7-6(7) 7-5 to Hassan in the 1st round on the 20th of June.
Rodrigo has an overall 3-10 win-loss record in 2023, 2-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
In terms of his career, The Mexican has an overall 6-19 record. He has a negative 4-10 record on clay.
Head 2 Head
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LLLLLLWLLW Tennis Scores in Modena Challenger
- Terence AtmaneAtmane – Hernan CasanovaCasanova (7-64 3-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gianmarco FerrariFerrari – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (6-74 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – Nerman FaticFatic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Renzo OlivoOlivo – Giovanni FonioFonio (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Federico CoriaCoria – Max HoukesHoukes (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elmar EjupovicEjupovic – Emilio NavaNava (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lucas GerchGerch – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Julian OcleppoOcleppo – Salvatore CarusoCaruso (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Remy BertolaBertola – Gianluca MagerMager (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Moez EcharguiEchargui (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pol Martin TiffonMartin Tiffon – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Titouan DroguetDroguet – Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco (1-0) – H2H and prediction









