Pavel Kotov and Li Tu will face off in the 1st round of the Mallorca Championships for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:00 pm on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pavel Kotov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pavel Kotov is the pick to win this match.
Pavel Kotov -> 1.61
Li Tu -> 2.32
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Prediction and head to head Pavel Kotov vs. Li Tu
This will be the 2nd time that Pavel Kotov and Li Tu clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Tu (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on grass.
The last time that they competed against each other, Tu won 7-6(5) 6-2 in the qualifications in Mallorca back in June 2023.
Pavel Kotov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 116, the Russian got to the 1st round after defeating Fernando Verdasco 6-1 7-65.
Kotov has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (230-148). 1-3 on grass in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kotov has an aggregate1-3 match record in the last 8 years on grass.
Pavel’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Marrakech and the Troisdorf Challenger.
Pavel has a compiled 23-20 win-loss record in 2023, 1-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Mallorca
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Li Tu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-15 | 14-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-32 | 29-19 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-25 | 34-16 | 15-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-7 | 28-4 | 0-0 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 247, Li reached the 1st round after defeating Steven Diez 6-4 6-3 and Pavel Kotov 7-65 6-2.
In the qualifications, Li had a good straight sets win against Kotov (7-65 6-2). During the match Tu scored 68 points vs Kotov’s 52. Tu was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Tu recorded 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Li Tu was quite efficient on serve to win 97% (35/36) of his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Australian broke Kotov twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tu started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Tu’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Monastir.
Li has an aggregate 16-14 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kotov | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 40 |
| Pts | 67-49 | 128-98 |
| Total Points | 116 | 226 |
| Winners | 30 | 67 |
| %Winners | 45% | 52% |
Kotov played 1 match while Tu competed in 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Kotov has played 2 set(s) less than Tu (2 vs 4). Therefore, Kotov played 20 games less than Tu. The Russian scored 30 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Li managed to score 67 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kotov | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 6 |
| 1st in | 37/52 | 71/104 |
| %1st in | 71% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 30/37 | 67/71 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 94% |
| 2nd pts | 12/15 | 19/33 |
| %2nd pts | 80% | 58% |
Kotov fired 5 aces . Tu recorded 12 aces (6 per match). Kotov won 81% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 80% of the points. On the other side, Tu won 94% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kotov | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/8 |
| % Converted | 43% | 50% |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 |
| Saved | 0 | 0 |
| % Saved | 0% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Pavel broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Kotov pretty solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Tu broke his opponents 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Li was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Kotov | ||||
| Q1 Verdasco |
Q3 Tu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-65 | 7-65 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 21 | 41 | |
| pts | 67-49 | – | 67-49 | |
| Total points | 116 | 0 | 116 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | ||
| %Winners | 45% | 0% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | ||
| 1st in | 37/52 | / | 37/52 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 0% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 30/37 | / | 30/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 0% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/15 | / | 12/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 0% | 80% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | ||
| Converted | 3/7 | / | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 0% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | ||
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/ | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | ||
| Tu | ||||
| Q1 Diez |
Q3 Kotov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-65 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 21 | 40 | |
| pts | 60-46 | 68-52 | 128-98 | |
| Total points | 106 | 120 | 226 | |
| Winners | 32 | 35 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 51% | 52% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 35/52 | 36/52 | 71/104 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 69% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 32/35 | 35/36 | 67/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 97% | 94% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 10/16 | 19/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 63% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLWLW
LWLLWLLWLW Tennis Scores in Mallorca
- Guido PellaPella – Marcos GironGiron (3-6 6-2 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Feliciano LopezLopez – Max PurcellPurcell (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Guido PellaPella (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Pedro CachinCachin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Constant LestienneLestienne – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Richard GasquetGasquet (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Lloyd HarrisHarris (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – Li TuTu (0-1) – H2H and prediction
