Alibek Kachmazov and Marius Copil will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Modena Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:00 am on COURT 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alibek Kachmazov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alibek Kachmazov is the pick to win this match.
Alibek Kachmazov -> 1.55
Marius Copil -> 2.34
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Prediction and head to head Alibek Kachmazov vs. Marius Copil
There is no head to head record between Alibek Kachmazov and Marius Copil since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Alibek Kachmazov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-24 | 17-13 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-31 | 24-14 | 9-6 | 14-10 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2022 | 49-21 | 18-11 | 9-5 | 22-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 6-8 | 3-6 | 27-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-11 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 299, Alibek got to the qualifications after defeating Giovanni Oradini 6-3 6-73 7-5.
In the qualifications, The Russian defeated Oradini (6-3 6-73 7-5). During the match, Kachmazov scored 114 points vs Oradini’s 104. Alibek was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kachmazov scored 2 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Alibek Kachmazov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kachmazov put 51% of his first serves in, winning 69% (42/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (35/59) on the 2nd serve. Kachmazov broke Oradini 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Kachmazov has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 63% of his matches (134-78). 8-5 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kachmazov has an aggregate20-18 match record in the last 5 years on clay.
The Russian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Sharm ElSheikh,M25 Tbilisi and M25 La Nucia.
The Russian has a compiled 30-17 win-loss record in 2023, 8-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Modena Challenger
Kachmazov has never competed in this tournament before.
Marius Copil
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 17-11 | 9-5 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 2022 | 28-27 | 5-0 | 9-13 | 11-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-19 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 9-4 | 8-3 | 1-2 |
| 2020 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 358, Marius got to the qualifications after defeating Luca Parenti 6-2 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Romanian had a good straight sets win against Parenti (6-2 6-4). During the match Copil scored 67 points vs Parenti’s 49. Copil was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Copil made 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Marius Copil was very effective on serve to win 84% (26/31) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Romanian broke Parenti 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
The Romanian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Biel Challenger.
Marius has an aggregate 24-12 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kachmazov | Copil |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 18 |
| Pts | 114-104 | 67-49 |
| Total Points | 218 | 116 |
| Winners | 42 | 26 |
| %Winners | 37% | 39% |
Both Kachmazov and Copil played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Alibek Kachmazov dropped 1 set while Marius Copil hasn’t dropped a set so far. Kachmazov has played 1 set more than Copil (3 vs 2). Therefore, Kachmazov played 16 games more than Copil. The Russian scored 42 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Copil fired 26 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kachmazov | Copil |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 5 |
| 1st in | 61/120 | 31/51 |
| %1st in | 51% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 42/61 | 26/31 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 35/59 | 13/20 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 65% |
Kachmazov scored 2 aces . Copil struck 5 aces . Kachmazov won 69% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Copil won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kachmazov | Copil |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/6 | 3/6 |
| % Converted | 83% | 50% |
| Conceded | 8 | 1 |
| Saved | 5 | 1 |
| % Saved | 63% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
The Russian broke his opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. Alibek surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The Romanian broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Marius was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.
| Kachmazov | |||
| Q1 Oradini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-73 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 114-104 | 114-104 | |
| Total points | 218 | 218 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 61/120 | 61/120 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 42/61 | 42/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 35/59 | 35/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Copil | |||
| Q1 Parenti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 67-49 | 67-49 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 31/51 | 31/51 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 26/31 | 26/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 13/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWLLW
LLLLLLLLLW 
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