Andrey Rublev and Alexander Bublik will clash against each other in the final of the Terra Wortmann Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on OWL ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.71
Alexander Bublik -> 2.14
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Alexander Bublik
This will be the 5th time that Andrey Rublev and Alexander Bublik play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they squared off, Rublev won 7-5 6-3 in the 2nd round in Rotterdam back in 2020.
Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Alexander Bublik – Rotterdam 13-February-2020
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Andrey got to the final after beating Yibing Wu 6-4 6-75 6-2, Yannick Hanfmann 7-66 6-3, Tallon Griekspoor 3-6 6-3 6-4 and Roberto Bautista Agut 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, Andrey had a good straight sets win against Bautista-Agut (6-3 6-4). During the match, Rublev scored 76 points vs Bautista-Agut’s 64. Rublev was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rublev bagged 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Andrey Rublev lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 58% of his first serves in, winning 80% (33/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (12/30) on the 2nd serve. Rublev broke Bautista-Agut 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has dropped 2 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (393-217). 4-0 on grass in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has an aggregate 21-11 record in the last years on grass.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Carlo where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 5-7 6-2 7-5.
Rublev has a compiled 31-12 win-loss record in 2023, 4-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Halle
Alexander Bublik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-17 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 48, Bublik got to the final after defeating Borna Coric 6-3 6-1, Jan-Lennard Struff 6-3 6-74 6-3, Jannik Sinner 7-5 2-0 ret. and Alexander Zverev 6-3 7-5.
In the semifinal, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Zverev (6-3 7-5). During the match Bublik scored 65 points vs Zverev’s 50. The Kazakhstani was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Bublik recorded 14 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Alexander Bublik was very efficient on serve to win 94% (32/34) of his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Bublik broke Zverev twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Kazakhstani has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Bublik’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Marseille and Halle.
Bublik has a composed 16-21 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Halle
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2017. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 100 | 82 |
| Pts | 347-301 | 287-215 |
| Total Points | 648 | 502 |
| Winners | 150 | 127 |
| %Winners | 43% | 44% |
Both Rublev and Bublik played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev conceded 2 sets, while Alexander Bublik dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Rublev and Bublik have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Rublev played 18 games more than Bublik. The Russian scored 150 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Alexander fired 127 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 43 | 58 |
| Avg per match | 10.8 | 14.5 |
| 1st in | 192/321 | 153/251 |
| %1st in | 60% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 150/192 | 127/153 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 60/129 | 53/98 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 54% |
Rublev bagged 43 aces (10.8 per match). Bublik scored 58 aces (14.5 per match). Rublev won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 13 |
| Converted | 16/39 | 13/32 |
| % Converted | 41% | 41% |
| Conceded | 18 | 12 |
| Saved | 10 | 9 |
| % Saved | 56% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 3 |
Andrey broke his opponents 16 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve 8 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Alexander broke his opponents 13 times with a 41% conversion rate. Alexander conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | ||||||
| R1 Wu |
R2 Hanfmann |
1/4 Griekspoor |
1/2 Bautista-Agut |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-75 6-2 | 7-66 6-3 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 22 | 28 | 19 | 100 | |
| pts | 104-90 | 79-68 | 88-79 | 76-64 | 347-301 | |
| Total points | 194 | 147 | 167 | 140 | 648 | |
| Winners | 41 | 34 | 42 | 33 | 150 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 43% | 48% | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 13 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 43 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 51/98 | 46/77 | 54/75 | 41/71 | 192/321 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 60% | 72% | 58% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 41/51 | 34/46 | 42/54 | 33/41 | 150/192 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 74% | 78% | 80% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/47 | 15/31 | 10/21 | 12/30 | 60/129 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 48% | 48% | 40% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 3/6 | 4/10 | 4/12 | 16/39 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 18 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1/3 | 3/6 | 5/6 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | 50% | 83% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | |
| Bublik | ||||||
| R1 Coric |
R2 Struff |
1/4 Sinner |
1/2 Zverev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-3 6-74 6-3 | 7-5 2-0 ret. | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 31 | 14 | 21 | 82 | |
| pts | 61-37 | 117-97 | 44-31 | 65-50 | 287-215 | |
| Total points | 98 | 214 | 75 | 115 | 502 | |
| Winners | 27 | 47 | 21 | 32 | 127 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% | 48% | 49% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 15 | 23 | 6 | 14 | 58 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 37/52 | 56/101 | 26/38 | 34/60 | 153/251 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 55% | 68% | 57% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | 47/56 | 21/26 | 32/34 | 127/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 84% | 81% | 94% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/15 | 22/45 | 6/12 | 14/26 | 53/98 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 49% | 50% | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/14 | 3/3 | 2/5 | 13/32 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 29% | 100% | 40% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4/6 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 0% | 100% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alexander BublikBublik (3-1) – H2H and prediction
