Holger Rune and Alex De Minaur will fight against each other in the semifinal of the cinch Championships for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.74
Alex De Minaur -> 2.1
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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 4th time that Holger Rune and Alex De Minaur clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Rune (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they squared off, De Minaur won 3-6 7-5 6-2 in the semifinal in Acapulco back in March 2023.
Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Holger Rune – Acapulco 03-March-2023
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-11 | 9-5 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-24 | 21-12 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6 (career-high), Holger got to the semifinal after beating Maxime Cressy 7-64 7-63, Ryan Peniston 6-3 6-4 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 7-5.
In the quarter, Rune had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-4 7-5). During the match, Rune scored 82 points vs Musetti’s 69. Holger was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rune managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Holger Rune lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Rune put 65% of his first serves in, winning 70% (37/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the 2nd serve. Rune broke Musetti 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Holger hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Rune has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 68% of his matches (195-93). 3-0 on grass in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Rune has an overall3-3 record in the last 6 years on grass.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Munich where he defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp in the final 6-4 1-6 7-6(3).
Rune has an overall 33-11 win-loss record in 2023, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in London
Rune has never competed in this tournament before.
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-10 | 12-5 | 9-4 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, the Australian got to the semifinal after beating Andy Murray 6-3 6-1, Diego Schwartzman 6-2 6-2 and Adrian Mannarino 6-4 4-6 6-4.
In the quarter, Alex defeated Mannarino (6-4 4-6 6-4). During the match De Minaur scored 96 points vs Mannarino’s 88. De Minaur was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, De Minaur made 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 52% of his first serves in, winning 70% (33/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (26/44) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Mannarino 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
De Minaur has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Acapulco where he overcame Tommy Paul in the final 3-6 6-4 6-1.
The Australian has a composed 20-12 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in London
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 67 | 62 |
| Pts | 234-206 | 218-164 |
| Total Points | 440 | 382 |
| Winners | 121 | 73 |
| %Winners | 52% | 33% |
Both Rune and De Minaur played 3 matches. At the moment, Alex De Minaur surrendered 1 set while Holger Rune hasn’t conceded a set so far. Rune has played 1 set(s) less than De Minaur (6 vs 7). However, it’s interesting to notice that Rune played 5 games more than De Minaur. Holger scored 121 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, De Minaur scored 73 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 155/225 | 105/194 |
| %1st in | 69% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 121/155 | 73/105 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 33/70 | 54/89 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 61% |
Rune made 21 aces (7 per match). De Minaur made 5 aces (1.7 per match). Rune won 78% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 14 |
| Converted | 6/13 | 14/27 |
| % Converted | 46% | 52% |
| Conceded | 11 | 9 |
| Saved | 9 | 4 |
| % Saved | 82% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Rune broke his opponents 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Holger conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | |||||
| R1 Cressy |
R2 Peniston |
1/4 Musetti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 7-63 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 19 | 22 | 67 | |
| pts | 87-81 | 65-56 | 82-69 | 234-206 | |
| Total points | 168 | 121 | 151 | 440 | |
| Winners | 47 | 37 | 37 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 57% | 45% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 5 | 6 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 61/82 | 41/62 | 53/81 | 155/225 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 66% | 65% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 47/61 | 37/41 | 37/53 | 121/155 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 90% | 70% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 7/21 | 15/28 | 33/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 33% | 54% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 1/3 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 40% | 60% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3/3 | 3/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 75% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| De Minaur | |||||
| R1 Murray |
R2 Schwartzman |
1/4 Mannarino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | 30 | 62 | |
| pts | 65-47 | 57-29 | 96-88 | 218-164 | |
| Total points | 112 | 86 | 184 | 382 | |
| Winners | 27 | 13 | 33 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 23% | 34% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 42/60 | 16/43 | 47/91 | 105/194 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 37% | 52% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 27/42 | 13/16 | 33/47 | 73/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 81% | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 16/27 | 26/44 | 54/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 59% | 59% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 6/9 | 4/10 | 14/27 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 67% | 40% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 0/2 | 1/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 25% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWWLL
LWWLWWLWWL Tennis Scores in London
- Taylor Harry Fritz/Jiri LeheckaHarry Fritz/Jiri Lehecka – Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski (6-3 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Sebastian KordaKorda (2-1) – H2H and prediction
