H2H, prediction of Alexandre Muller vs Francesco Maestrelli in Montechiarugolo Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 24th June 2023

PREVIEW. Montechiarugolo Challenger. Muller and Maestrelli will face off in the final of the Montechiarugolo Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Saturday the 24th of June

Prediction and head to head Alexandre Muller vs. Francesco Maestrelli

Alexandre Muller and Francesco Maestrelli will fight against each other in the final of the Montechiarugolo Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexandre Muller who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Alexandre Muller is the pick to win this match.
Alexandre Muller -> 1.58
Francesco Maestrelli -> 2.31

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Prediction and head to head Alexandre Muller vs. Francesco Maestrelli

This will be the 2nd time that Alexandre Muller and Francesco Maestrelli face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Maestrelli (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Maestrelli won 3-6 7-6(2) 6-1 in the 1st round in the Todi Challenger back in 2022.

Alexandre Muller

Alexandre Muller
Alexandre Muller

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
68
High
68
LLLWLWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 35-32 11-14 20-12 3-5 1-1 0-0
2023 46-33 20-13 18-12 7-7 1-1 0-0
2022 38-31 6-6 27-20 4-4 1-1 0-0
2021 27-31 6-7 16-15 5-7 0-2 0-0
2020 21-13 3-2 15-9 3-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 103, Muller got to the final after defeating Alex Marti Pujolras 6-4 6-3, Federico Gaio 7-5 6-2, Alessandro Giannessi 3-6 6-3 6-1 and Stefano Travaglia 4-6 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal against Travaglia, Muller recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Muller scored 85 points vs Travaglia’s 75. Alexandre was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Muller struck 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alexandre Muller lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Muller put 54% of his first serves in, winning 67% (30/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 77% (30/39) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Travaglia 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Muller has conceded 2 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Muller has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (351-224). 17-9 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Muller has an overall211-130 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.

The French player best result of the year was getting to the final in the Waco Challenger and Marrakech.

Alexandre has an aggregate 34-18 win-loss record in 2023, 17-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Montechiarugolo Challenger

Alexandre has never competed in this tournament before.

Muller
Montechiarugolo Challenger
Muller's Record

Francesco Maestrelli

Francesco Maestrelli
Francesco Maestrelli

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
284
High
149
WWWLWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 36-35 11-7 21-23 4-4 0-1 0-0
2023 27-38 9-10 16-24 2-3 0-1 0-0
2022 44-24 5-4 34-12 5-8 0-0 0-0
2021 32-18 8-3 18-12 6-3 0-0 0-0
2020 3-5 3-3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 183, Francesco got to the final after beating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 7-5 6-3, Stefano Napolitano 7-63 6-3, Andrea Collarini 6-4 6-0 and Giulio Zeppieri 6-4 6-74 7-62.

In the semifinal, Maestrelli defeated Zeppieri (6-4 6-74 7-62). During the match Maestrelli scored 128 points vs Zeppieri’s 113. Maestrelli was extremely aggressive to blast 52 winners.

About the serving games, Maestrelli fired 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Francesco Maestrelli was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (52/68) of his 1st serve and 58% (25/43) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Zeppieri twice after converting 18% of his break points (2/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Maestrelli’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Tenerife 1 Challenger and the Montechiarugolo Challenger.

Maestrelli has an overall 18-19 win-loss record in 2023, 9-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Maestrelli
Montechiarugolo Challenger
Maestrelli's Record
Bonus
Rebelbetting

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Muller
F.Maestrelli
6h:56
6h:56
Time on court​
8h:36
8h:36
!
2h:05
2h:05
Last match​
!
2h:58
2h:58
4
4
Match played
4
4
93
93
Games Played​
95
95
10
10
Set played​​
9
9
300
300
Total points​
357
357
75
75
Avg point​
89.3
89.3
123
123
Winners
140
140
30.8
30.8
Avg Winners​
35
35
41%
41%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
14
14
Aces
22
22
3.5
3.5
Avg Aces
5.5
5.5
6
6
Double Faults
3
3
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
0.8
0.8
123/169
123/169
1st won total​
140/197
140/197
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
57/90
57/90
2nd won total​
70/122
70/122
!
63%
63%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
16/40
16/40
BP won
14/38
14/38
4/10
4/10
Avg BP won
3.5/9.5
3.5/9.5
40%
40%
Won
37%
37%
22
22
Conceded
22
22
5.5
5.5
Avg Conceded
5.5
5.5
7
7
Broken
6
6
1.8
1.8
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
15
15
Saved
16
16

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Muller Maestrelli
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 10 9
Tot Games 93 95
Pts 300-249 357-294
Total Points 549 651
Winners 123 140
%Winners 41% 39%

Both Muller and Maestrelli played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexandre Muller lost 2 sets, while Francesco Maestrelli surrendered 1 set. Muller has played 1 set more than Maestrelli (10 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Muller played 2 games less than Maestrelli. Muller scored 123 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian scored 140 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Muller Maestrelli
Aces 14 22
Avg per match 3.5 5.5
1st in 169/259 197/319
%1st in 65% 62%
1st pts 123/169 140/197
%1st pts 73% 71%
2nd pts 57/90 70/122
%2nd pts 63% 57%

Muller recorded 14 aces (3.5 per match). Maestrelli blasted 22 aces (5.5 per match). Muller won 73% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Maestrelli won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Muller Maestrelli
Won 16 14
Converted 16/40 14/38
% Converted 40% 37%
Conceded 22 22
Saved 15 16
% Saved 68% 73%
Times Broken 7 6

Alexandre broke his opponents 16 times with a 40% conversion rate. The French player lost his serve 7 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. Francesco broke his opponents 14 times with a 37% conversion rate. Maestrelli conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Muller
R1
Marti
R2
Gaio
1/4
Giannessi
1/2
Travaglia
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 7-5 6-2 3-6 6-3 6-1 4-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 3 3 10
Tot Games 19 20 25 29 93
pts 70-61 63-49 82-64 85-75 300-249
Total points 131 112 146 160 549
Winners 26 33 34 30 123
%Winners 37% 52% 41% 35% 41%
SERVE
Aces 2 3 6 3 14
Double Faults 4 1 0 1 6
1st in 36/53 42/54 46/68 45/84 169/259
% 1st in 68% 78% 68% 54% 65%
1st pts 26/36 33/42 34/46 30/45 123/169
% 1st pts 72% 79% 74% 67% 73%
2nd pts 6/17 6/12 15/22 30/39 57/90
% 2nd pts 35% 50% 68% 77% 63%
Breaks
Won 5 4 4 3 16
Converted 5/12 4/9 4/12 3/7 16/40
Converted % 42% 44% 33% 43% 40%
Conceded 5 3 4 10 22
Saved 3/5 2/3 2/4 8/10 15
Saved % 60% 67% 50% 80% 64%
Times Broken 2 1 2 2 7
Maestrelli
R1
Munar Clar
R2
Napolitano
1/4
Collarini
1/2
Zeppieri
Total
Score 7-5 6-3 7-63 6-3 6-4 6-0 6-4 6-74 7-62
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 9
Tot Games 21 22 16 36 95
pts 79-65 84-71 66-45 128-113 357-294
Total points 144 155 111 241 651
Winners 29 36 23 52 140
%Winners 37% 43% 35% 41% 39%
SERVE
Aces 4 8 3 7 22
Double Faults 0 1 1 1 3
1st in 47/77 51/82 31/49 68/111 197/319
% 1st in 61% 62% 63% 61% 62%
1st pts 29/47 36/51 23/31 52/68 140/197
% 1st pts 62% 71% 74% 76% 71%
2nd pts 17/30 18/31 10/18 25/43 70/122
% 2nd pts 57% 58% 56% 58% 57%
Breaks
Won 5 2 5 2 14
Converted 5/12 2/6 5/9 2/11 14/38
Converted % 42% 33% 56% 18% 37%
Conceded 8 5 4 5 22
Saved 5/8 4/5 3/4 4/5 16
Saved % 63% 80% 75% 80% 75%
Times Broken 3 1 1 1 6

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Muller
LLLWLWLWWL
Maestrelli
WWWLWLWWLW
2024 2023 2022
35 - 32
36 - 35
11-14
Hard
11-7
3-5
I Hard
4-4
20-12
Clay
21-23
1-1
Grass
0-1
See Updated Draw
Rebelbetting
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw