Holger Rune and Lorenzo Musetti will clash against each other in the quarter of the cinch Championships for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.444
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.78
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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Lorenzo Musetti
There is no head to head record between Holger Rune and Lorenzo Musetti since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-13 | 9-5 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-24 | 21-12 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6 (career-high), Holger got to the quarter after defeating Maxime Cressy 7-64 7-63 and Ryan Peniston 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Dane had a good straight sets win against Peniston (6-3 6-4). During the match, Rune scored 65 points vs Peniston’s 56. The Dane was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rune blasted 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Holger Rune conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Rune put 66% of his first serves in, winning 90% (37/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 33% (7/21) on the 2nd serve. Rune broke Peniston twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Dane hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.
Rune has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 68% of his matches (194-93). 2-0 on grass in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rune has an overall2-3 win-loss record in the last 6 years on grass.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Munich where he overcame Botic Van De Zandschulp in the final 6-4 1-6 7-6(3).
The Dane has an aggregate 32-11 win-loss record in 2023, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in London
Holger has never competed in this tournament before.
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-8 | 6-4 | 19-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16 (career-high), Musetti got to the quarter after defeating Jan Choinski 6-4 6-2 and Ben Shelton 6-4 4-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Musetti defeated Shelton (6-4 4-6 6-4). During the match Musetti scored 92 points vs Shelton’s 86. Musetti was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Musetti blasted 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (41/53) of his 1st serve and 63% (20/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Shelton twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Musetti has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Musetti’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Australia.
Lorenzo has an overall 20-14 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in London
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 48 |
| Pts | 152-137 | 151-128 |
| Total Points | 289 | 279 |
| Winners | 84 | 61 |
| %Winners | 55% | 40% |
Both Rune and Musetti played 2 matches. At the moment, Lorenzo Musetti dropped 1 set while Holger Rune hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rune has played 1 set(s) less than Musetti (4 vs 5). Therefore, Rune played 3 games less than Musetti. The Dane scored 84 winners (55% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian recorded 61 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 102/144 | 78/133 |
| %1st in | 71% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 84/102 | 61/78 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 18/42 | 35/55 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 64% |
Rune scored 15 aces (7.5 per match). Musetti scored 11 aces (5.5 per match). Rune won 82% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 6 |
| Converted | 3/8 | 6/15 |
| % Converted | 38% | 40% |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 |
| Saved | 6 | 1 |
| % Saved | 86% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
The Dane broke his opponents 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Rune lost his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | ||||
| R1 Cressy |
R2 Peniston |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 7-63 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 19 | 45 | |
| pts | 87-81 | 65-56 | 152-137 | |
| Total points | 168 | 121 | 289 | |
| Winners | 47 | 37 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 57% | 55% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 5 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 61/82 | 41/62 | 102/144 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 66% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 47/61 | 37/41 | 84/102 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 90% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 7/21 | 18/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 33% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Converted | 1/3 | 2/5 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 40% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Musetti | ||||
| R1 Choinski |
R2 Shelton |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 30 | 48 | |
| pts | 59-42 | 92-86 | 151-128 | |
| Total points | 101 | 178 | 279 | |
| Winners | 20 | 41 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 45% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 25/48 | 53/85 | 78/133 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 62% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 20/25 | 41/53 | 61/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 77% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 20/32 | 35/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 63% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 2/10 | 6/15 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 20% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWLWL
LWWWWWLWWW 
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