Alexandre Muller and Stefano Travaglia will play each other in the semifinal of the Montechiarugolo Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexandre Muller who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexandre Muller is the pick to win this match.
Alexandre Muller -> 1.49
Stefano Travaglia -> 2.53
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Prediction and head to head Alexandre Muller vs. Stefano Travaglia
This will be the 4th time that Alexandre Muller and Stefano Travaglia play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Muller (see full H2H stats), but Travaglia has a winning record of 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Muller won 6-1 7-6(2) in the 1st round in the Bengalaru 1 Challenger back in 2022.
Alexandre Muller
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-32 | 11-14 | 20-12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-33 | 20-13 | 18-12 | 7-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-31 | 6-6 | 27-20 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 6-7 | 16-15 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-13 | 3-2 | 15-9 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 103, Muller reached the semifinal after beating Alex Marti Pujolras 6-4 6-3, Federico Gaio 7-5 6-2 and Alessandro Giannessi 3-6 6-3 6-1.
In the quarter against Giannessi, Alexandre recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-1). During the match, Muller scored 82 points vs Giannessi’s 64. Muller was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Muller struck 6 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Alexandre Muller was quite effective on serve to win 74% (34/46) of his 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Muller broke Giannessi 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has conceded 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Muller has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (350-224). 16-9 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Muller has an aggregate210-130 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
Alexandre’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Waco Challenger and Marrakech.
The French player has a compiled 33-18 win-loss record in 2023, 16-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Montechiarugolo Challenger
The French player has never competed in this tournament before.
Stefano Travaglia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-32 | 5-6 | 24-22 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-37 | 9-7 | 29-24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-27 | 5-8 | 2-11 | 10-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-28 | 7-7 | 20-14 | 4-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-14 | 9-7 | 8-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 256, Travaglia reached the semifinal after defeating Edoardo Lavagno 6-2 ret., Matteo Gigante 6-4 7-62 and Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-3 7-65.
In the 2nd round, Stefano had a good straight sets win against Gigante (6-4 7-62). During the match Travaglia scored 70 points vs Gigante’s 61. Travaglia was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Travaglia struck 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Stefano Travaglia lost the serve 4 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Travaglia put 62% of his first serves in, winning 65% (24/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Gigante 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Stefano’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Tenerife 3 Challenger and M25 Palmanova.
Stefano has an aggregate 31-20 win-loss record in 2023, 23-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Muller | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 64 | 53 |
| Pts | 215-174 | 173-142 |
| Total Points | 389 | 315 |
| Winners | 93 | 67 |
| %Winners | 43% | 39% |
Both Muller and Travaglia played 3 matches. At the moment, Alexandre Muller surrendered 1 set while Stefano Travaglia hasn’t lost a set so far. Muller has played 1 set more than Travaglia (7 vs 6). Therefore, Muller played 11 games more than Travaglia. Muller scored 93 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Stefano scored 67 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Muller | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 3.7 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 124/175 | 90/149 |
| %1st in | 71% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 93/124 | 67/90 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 27/51 | 34/59 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 58% |
Muller recorded 11 aces (3.7 per match). Travaglia blasted 10 aces (3.3 per match). Muller won 75% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Travaglia won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Muller | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 9 |
| Converted | 13/33 | 9/19 |
| % Converted | 39% | 47% |
| Conceded | 12 | 10 |
| Saved | 7 | 5 |
| % Saved | 58% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 |
The French player broke his opponents 13 times with a 39% conversion rate. Alexandre surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. Travaglia conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Muller | |||||
| R1 Marti |
R2 Gaio |
1/4 Giannessi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-5 6-2 | 3-6 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 25 | 64 | |
| pts | 70-61 | 63-49 | 82-64 | 215-174 | |
| Total points | 131 | 112 | 146 | 389 | |
| Winners | 26 | 33 | 34 | 93 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 52% | 41% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 36/53 | 42/54 | 46/68 | 124/175 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 78% | 68% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 26/36 | 33/42 | 34/46 | 93/124 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 79% | 74% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/17 | 6/12 | 15/22 | 27/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 50% | 68% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/9 | 4/12 | 13/33 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 44% | 33% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 2/3 | 2/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 67% | 50% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Travaglia | |||||
| R1 Lavagno |
R2 Gigante |
Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 ret. | 6-4 7-62 | |||
| Tot Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | ||
| Tot Games | 8 | 23 | 31 | ||
| pts | 27-19 | 70-61 | 97-80 | ||
| Total points | 46 | 131 | 177 | ||
| Winners | 6 | 24 | 30 | ||
| %Winners | 22% | 34% | 31% | ||
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 4 | ||
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | ||
| 1st in | 9/23 | 37/60 | 46/83 | ||
| % 1st in | 39% | 62% | 55% | ||
| 1st pts | 6/9 | 24/37 | 30/46 | ||
| % 1st pts | 67% | 65% | 65% | ||
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 13/23 | 20/37 | ||
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 57% | 54% | ||
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | ||
| Converted | 3/4 | 5/8 | 8/12 | ||
| Converted % | 75% | 63% | 67% | ||
| Conceded | 2 | 5 | 7 | ||
| Saved | 1/2 | 1/5 | 2 | ||
| Saved % | 50% | 20% | 23% | ||
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | ||
Head 2 Head
LLLWLWLWWL
LWLWLWWLWW Tennis Scores in Montechiarugolo Challenger
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Alessandro GiannessiGiannessi (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Alessandro GiannessiGiannessi (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-3 7-6(5)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Stefano TravagliaTravaglia (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Andrea CollariniCollarini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
