Alexandre Muller and Alessandro Giannessi will play each other in the quarter of the Montechiarugolo Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexandre Muller who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexandre Muller is the pick to win this match.
Alexandre Muller -> 1.33
Alessandro Giannessi -> 3.18
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Prediction and head to head Alexandre Muller vs. Alessandro Giannessi
This will be the 3rd time that Alexandre Muller and Alessandro Giannessi clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Muller (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Muller won 5-7 6-0 6-2 in the 2nd round in the Campinas Challenger back in 2022.
Alexandre Muller
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-32 | 11-14 | 20-12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-33 | 20-13 | 18-12 | 7-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-31 | 6-6 | 27-20 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 6-7 | 16-15 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-13 | 3-2 | 15-9 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 103, the French player reached the quarter after defeating Alex Marti Pujolras 6-4 6-3 and Federico Gaio 7-5 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Alexandre had a good straight sets win against Gaio (7-5 6-2). During the match, Muller scored 63 points vs Gaio’s 49. Muller was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Muller blasted 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alexandre Muller lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Muller put 78% of his first serves in, winning 79% (33/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (6/12) on the 2nd serve. Alexandre broke Gaio 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexandre hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Muller has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (349-224). 15-9 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Muller has a composed209-130 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
Muller’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Waco Challenger and Marrakech.
Muller has an overall 32-18 win-loss record in 2023, 15-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Montechiarugolo Challenger
Muller has never competed in this tournament before.
Alessandro Giannessi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-25 | 0-5 | 13-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-33 | 3-5 | 33-27 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-30 | 2-1 | 18-28 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-27 | 0-2 | 31-20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 254, the Italian got to the quarter after defeating Maxime Janvier 6-4 4-6 6-1 and Oriol Roca Batalla 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Roca Batalla (6-4 6-2). During the match Giannessi scored 63 points vs Roca Batalla’s 45. Giannessi was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Giannessi blasted 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alessandro Giannessi was very efficient on serve to win 78% (29/37) of his 1st serve and 73% (8/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Giannessi broke Roca Batalla 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Giannessi has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Zadar Challenger where he beat Sebastian Ofner in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(6).
The Italian has an aggregate 27-17 win-loss record in 2023, 25-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Muller | Giannessi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 45 |
| Pts | 133-110 | 156-131 |
| Total Points | 243 | 287 |
| Winners | 59 | 71 |
| %Winners | 44% | 46% |
Both Muller and Giannessi played 2 matches. At the moment, Alessandro Giannessi conceded 1 set while Alexandre Muller hasn’t lost a set so far. Muller has played 1 set(s) less than Giannessi (4 vs 5). Therefore, Muller played 6 games less than Giannessi. Alexandre scored 59 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Giannessi bagged 71 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Muller | Giannessi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 78/107 | 111/154 |
| %1st in | 73% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 59/78 | 71/111 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 12/29 | 24/43 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 56% |
Muller blasted 5 aces (2.5 per match). Giannessi struck 5 aces (2.5 per match). Muller won 76% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Giannessi won 64% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Muller | Giannessi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 10 |
| Converted | 9/21 | 10/20 |
| % Converted | 43% | 50% |
| Conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Saved | 5 | 8 |
| % Saved | 63% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Muller broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Muller lost his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| Muller | ||||
| R1 Marti |
R2 Gaio |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 39 | |
| pts | 70-61 | 63-49 | 133-110 | |
| Total points | 131 | 112 | 243 | |
| Winners | 26 | 33 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 52% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 36/53 | 42/54 | 78/107 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 78% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 26/36 | 33/42 | 59/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 79% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/17 | 6/12 | 12/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 50% | 41% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/9 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 44% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 2/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 67% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Giannessi | ||||
| R1 Janvier |
R2 Roca Batalla |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 18 | 45 | |
| pts | 93-86 | 63-45 | 156-131 | |
| Total points | 179 | 108 | 287 | |
| Winners | 42 | 29 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 74/106 | 37/48 | 111/154 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 77% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 42/74 | 29/37 | 71/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 57% | 78% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/32 | 8/11 | 24/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 73% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 7/13 | 3/7 | 10/20 | |
| Converted % | 54% | 43% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 1 | 13 | |
| Saved | 7/12 | 1/1 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 58% | 100% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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