Alex Michelsen and Juan Bautista Otegui will square off in the qualifications of the Blois Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:30 pm on COURT 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.26
Juan Bautista Otegui -> 3.58
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Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Juan Bautista Otegui
There is no head to head record between Alex Michelsen and Juan Bautista Otegui since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Alex Michelsen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-19 | 13-9 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-34 | 26-14 | 4-9 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 246 (career-high), the American got to the qualifications after beating Axel Garcian 6-3 6-3.
In the qualifications, Alex had a good straight sets win against Garcian (6-3 6-3). During the match, Michelsen scored 58 points vs Garcian’s 43. Alex was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Michelsen managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Alex Michelsen was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (29/38) of his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Michelsen broke Garcian 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Michelsen has a fantastic record in the last 2 years having won 72% of his matches (54-21). 3-2 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Michelsen has a composed3-3 win-loss record in the last 2 years on clay.
The American’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Malibu,M15 Edmond,the Rome Challenger and M25 Calabasas.
Alex has a compiled 31-11 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Blois Challenger
Michelsen has never competed in this tournament before.
Juan Bautista Otegui
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-22 | 0-0 | 28-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-32 | 4-7 | 14-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-26 | 2-1 | 43-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-16 | 1-2 | 19-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 431, Bautista got to the qualifications after defeating Arklon Huertas Del Pino 2-6 6-3 7-66.
In the qualifications against Huertas Del Pino, Juan recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 7-66).During the match Bautista scored less points (4) than Huertas Del Pino. In fact, the world no. 246 won 96 points vs Huertas Del Pino’s. That means that Bautista was more focused during the important points. Bautista was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.
About the serving games, Bautista blasted 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Juan Bautista Otegui lost the serve 5 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Bautista put 63% of his first serves in, winning 68% (44/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (16/39) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Huertas Del Pino 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Bautista has an aggregate 5-14 win-loss record in 2023, 5-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Michelsen | Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 30 |
| Pts | 58-43 | 96-100 |
| Total Points | 101 | 196 |
| Winners | 29 | 44 |
| %Winners | 50% | 46% |
Both Michelsen and Bautista played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Juan Bautista Otegui surrendered 1 set while Alex Michelsen hasn’t conceded a set so far. Michelsen has played 1 set(s) less than Bautista (2 vs 3). Therefore, Michelsen played 12 games less than Bautista. The American scored 29 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Bautista blasted 44 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Michelsen | Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 38/50 | 65/104 |
| %1st in | 76% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 44/65 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 16/39 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 41% |
Michelsen struck 3 aces . Bautista recorded 5 aces . Michelsen won 76% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Bautista won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Michelsen | Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/8 |
| % Converted | 80% | 50% |
| Conceded | 2 | 10 |
| Saved | 1 | 5 |
| % Saved | 50% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
Michelsen broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Michelsen dropped his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Bautista conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Michelsen | |||
| Q1 Garcian |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 58-43 | 58-43 | |
| Total points | 101 | 101 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 38/50 | 38/50 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 29/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 7/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Bautista | |||
| Q1 Huertas Del Pino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-3 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 96-100 | 96-100 | |
| Total points | 196 | 196 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 65/104 | 65/104 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 44/65 | 44/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/39 | 16/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/10 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLLWWL
LWLWLWWLWL 
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