Gustavo Heide and Alex Rybakov will face off in the 2nd round of the Palmas del Mar Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 12:00 pm on Stadium Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gustavo Heide who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gustavo Heide is the pick to win this match.
Gustavo Heide -> 1.76
Alex Rybakov -> 1.98
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Prediction and head to head Gustavo Heide vs. Alex Rybakov
There is no head to head record between Gustavo Heide and Alex Rybakov since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Gustavo Heide
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 15-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-22 | 9-5 | 24-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-13 | 3-2 | 24-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-14 | 4-5 | 27-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 423, the Brazilian reached the 2nd round after beating Ji Sung Nam 6-4 6-4, Marius Copil 6-3 6-4 and Tristan Schoolkate 7-63 6-3.
In the 1st round, Heide had a good straight sets win against Schoolkate (7-63 6-3). During the match, Heide scored 76 points vs Schoolkate’s 61. Heide was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Heide fired 13 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Gustavo Heide was extremely efficient on serve to win 80% (36/45) of his 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Heide broke Schoolkate twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Heide has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 66% of his matches (81-42). 5-2 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Heide has an aggregate12-9 record in the last 6 years on hard.
The Brazilian has an aggregate 11-9 win-loss record in 2023, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Palmas del Mar Challenger
Gustavo has never competed in this tournament before.
Alex Rybakov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-13 | 4-4 | 12-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-25 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-23 | 5-7 | 20-12 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-26 | 4-4 | 35-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 24-9 | 12-5 | 9-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 424, Rybakov got to the 2nd round after beating Alfredo Perez 5-7 6-1 6-2 and Nicolas Moreno De Alboran 7-64 6-3.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Moreno De Alboran (7-64 6-3). During the match Rybakov scored 74 points vs Moreno De Alboran’s 64. Rybakov was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Rybakov recorded 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex Rybakov lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Rybakov put 76% of his first serves in, winning 67% (41/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Moreno De Alboran twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
The American has a composed 10-14 win-loss record in 2023, 3-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Heide | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 61 | 49 |
| Pts | 195-154 | 155-122 |
| Total Points | 349 | 277 |
| Winners | 87 | 82 |
| %Winners | 45% | 53% |
Heide played 3 matches while Rybakov competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Alex Rybakov lost 1 set while Gustavo Heide hasn’t conceded a set so far. Heide has played 1 set more than Rybakov (6 vs 5). Therefore, Heide played 12 games more than Rybakov. The Brazilian scored 87 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Alex recorded 82 winners (53%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Heide | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 8.3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 108/173 | 116/149 |
| %1st in | 62% | 78% |
| 1st pts | 87/108 | 82/116 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 42/65 | 22/33 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 67% |
Heide managed to score 25 aces (8.3 per match). Rybakov recorded 6 aces (3 per match). Heide won 81% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Rybakov won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Heide | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 7 |
| Converted | 7/10 | 7/12 |
| % Converted | 70% | 58% |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 |
| Saved | 2 | 6 |
| % Saved | 67% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Gustavo broke his opponents 7 times with a 70% conversion rate. Gustavo surrendered his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 7 times with a 58% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Heide | |||||
| Q1 Sung Nam |
Q3 Copil |
R1 Schoolkate |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 7-63 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 19 | 22 | 61 | |
| pts | 61-49 | 58-44 | 76-61 | 195-154 | |
| Total points | 110 | 102 | 137 | 349 | |
| Winners | 26 | 25 | 36 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | 47% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 33/50 | 30/49 | 45/74 | 108/173 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 61% | 61% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 26/33 | 25/30 | 36/45 | 87/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 83% | 80% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/17 | 12/19 | 16/29 | 42/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 82% | 63% | 55% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 3/3 | 2/3 | 7/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 100% | 67% | 70% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 67% | 22% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Rybakov | |||||
| Q1 Perez |
Q3 Zhu |
R1 Moreno De Alboran |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-1 6-2 | 7-65 4-6 6-3 | 7-64 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 32 | 22 | 81 | |
| pts | 81-58 | – | 74-64 | 155-122 | |
| Total points | 139 | 0 | 138 | 277 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | 82 | ||
| %Winners | 51% | 0% | 55% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | ||
| 1st in | 55/69 | / | 61/80 | 116/149 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 0% | 76% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 41/55 | / | 41/61 | 82/116 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 0% | 67% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/14 | / | 12/19 | 22/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 0% | 63% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | ||
| Converted | 5/7 | / | 2/5 | 7/12 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 0% | 40% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 9 | ||
| Saved | 2/4 | 0/ | 4/5 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 80% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | ||
Head 2 Head
WLLWWWLWLW
LLWLLWLLWL Tennis Scores in Palmas Del Mar Challenger
- Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva (7-62 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Michael ZhengZheng – Marius CopilCopil (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Evan ZhuZhu (4-6 7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Liam DraxlDraxl – Colin SinclairSinclair (7-60 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jose StathamStatham – Adam WaltonWalton (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mitchell KruegerKrueger – Kei NishikoriNishikori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Liam DraxlDraxl – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dane SweenySweeny – Bernard TomicTomic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
