Francesco Maestrelli and Stefano Travaglia will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Perugia Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:00 pm on Center Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stefano Travaglia who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Stefano Travaglia is the pick to win this match.
Stefano Travaglia -> 1.87
Francesco Maestrelli -> 1.87
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Prediction and head to head Francesco Maestrelli vs. Stefano Travaglia
This will be the 2nd time that Francesco Maestrelli and Stefano Travaglia face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Travaglia (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Travaglia won 2-6 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in the Ortisei Challenger back in 2022.
Francesco Maestrelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-19 | 5-5 | 14-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 8-3 | 18-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 197, Maestrelli got to the 2nd round after beating Renzo Olivo 6-4 7-5.
In the 1st round, Francesco had a good straight sets win against Olivo (6-4 7-5). During the match, Maestrelli scored 70 points vs Olivo’s 56. Maestrelli was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Maestrelli scored 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Francesco Maestrelli lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Maestrelli put 77% of his first serves in, winning 72% (34/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Olivo 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Maestrelli has a winning match record in the last 6 years having won 58% of his matches (98-72). 4-10 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Maestrelli has a composed62-41 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.
Francesco’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Tenerife 1 Challenger.
Francesco has an overall 13-18 win-loss record in 2023, 4-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Perugia Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Stefano Travaglia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15-17 | 4-5 | 8-10 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-37 | 9-7 | 29-24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-27 | 5-8 | 2-11 | 10-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-28 | 7-7 | 20-14 | 4-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-14 | 9-7 | 8-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 260, Travaglia reached the 2nd round after beating Kenny de Schepper 6-75 6-4 6-3 and Dominic Thiem 2-6 7-66 6-1.
In the 1st round against Thiem, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-66 6-1). During the match Travaglia scored 96 points vs Thiem’s 93. Stefano was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Travaglia scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Stefano Travaglia lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Travaglia put 79% of his first serves in, winning 65% (41/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the 2nd serve. Stefano broke Thiem 3 times after converting 21% of his break points (3/14).
Travaglia’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Tenerife 3 Challenger and M25 Palmanova.
The Italian has an aggregate 29-19 win-loss record in 2023, 21-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Maestrelli | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 60 |
| Pts | 70-56 | 202-189 |
| Total Points | 126 | 391 |
| Winners | 34 | 84 |
| %Winners | 49% | 42% |
Maestrelli played 1 match while Travaglia competed in 2 matches. Travaglia started his run from the qualifications while Maestrelli had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Stefano Travaglia lost 2 sets while Francesco Maestrelli hasn’t lost a set so far. Maestrelli has played 4 set(s) less than Travaglia (2 vs 6). Therefore, Maestrelli played 38 games less than Travaglia. Francesco scored 34 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Travaglia blasted 84 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Maestrelli | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 47/61 | 118/179 |
| %1st in | 77% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 34/47 | 84/118 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 33/61 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 54% |
Maestrelli struck 3 aces . Travaglia bagged 8 aces (4 per match). Maestrelli won 72% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Travaglia won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Maestrelli | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 8 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 8/22 |
| % Converted | 67% | 36% |
| Conceded | 3 | 14 |
| Saved | 1 | 10 |
| % Saved | 33% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Maestrelli broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Maestrelli dropped his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. Stefano conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Maestrelli | |||
| R1 Olivo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 70-56 | 70-56 | |
| Total points | 126 | 126 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 47/61 | 47/61 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 77% | |
| 1st pts | 34/47 | 34/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 7/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Travaglia | |||||
| Q1 de Schepper |
Q3 Arnaboldi |
R1 Thiem |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-4 6-3 | 6-4 1-6 6-2 | 2-6 7-66 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 25 | 28 | 85 | |
| pts | 106-96 | – | 96-93 | 202-189 | |
| Total points | 202 | 0 | 189 | 391 | |
| Winners | 43 | 41 | 84 | ||
| %Winners | 41% | 0% | 43% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | ||
| 1st in | 55/99 | / | 63/80 | 118/179 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 0% | 79% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 43/55 | / | 41/63 | 84/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 0% | 65% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/44 | / | 11/17 | 33/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 0% | 65% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | ||
| Converted | 5/8 | / | 3/14 | 8/22 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 0% | 21% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | 14 | ||
| Saved | 5/7 | 0/ | 5/7 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 71% | – | 71% | 142% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | ||
Head 2 Head
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