Evan Zhu and Alex Rybakov will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Palmas del Mar Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Rybakov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Rybakov is the pick to win this match.
Alex Rybakov -> 1.74
Evan Zhu -> 2.01
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Prediction and head to head Evan Zhu vs. Alex Rybakov
This will be the 3rd time that Evan Zhu and Alex Rybakov clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Zhu won 5-2 ret. in the 1st round in M25 Naples back in 2021.
Evan Zhu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-32 | 21-21 | 9-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-31 | 14-13 | 25-12 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 13-20 | 9-15 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 6-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 358, Zhu reached the qualifications after defeating Tristan Mccormick 4-6 6-3 7-5.
In the qualifications against Mccormick, Evan recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-5). During the match, Zhu scored 101 points vs Mccormick’s 84. The American was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about the service games, Zhu blasted 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Evan Zhu lost the serve 3 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Zhu put 69% of his first serves in, winning 70% (46/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (20/30) on the 2nd serve. Zhu broke Mccormick 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Zhu has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 52% of his matches (168-158). 12-9 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Zhu has a composed99-99 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Evan’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in M25 Xalapa.
Evan has a compiled 15-16 win-loss record in 2023, 12-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Palmas del Mar Challenger
Evan has never competed in this tournament before.
Alex Rybakov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-13 | 4-4 | 12-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-25 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-23 | 5-7 | 20-12 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-26 | 4-4 | 35-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 24-9 | 12-5 | 9-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 422, the American reached the qualifications after defeating Alfredo Perez 5-7 6-1 6-2.
In the qualifications against Perez, Alex recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-1 6-2). During the match Rybakov scored 81 points vs Perez’s 58. Alex was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Rybakov bagged 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Alex Rybakov was exceptionally effective on serve to win 75% (41/55) of his 1st serve and 71% (10/14) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The American broke Perez 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Rybakov has an aggregate 9-13 win-loss record in 2023, 2-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zhu | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 27 |
| Pts | 101-84 | 81-58 |
| Total Points | 185 | 139 |
| Winners | 46 | 41 |
| %Winners | 46% | 51% |
Both Zhu and Rybakov played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Evan Zhu lost 1 set, while Alex Rybakov surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Zhu and Rybakov have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Zhu played 4 games more than Rybakov. Zhu scored 46 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Rybakov made 41 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zhu | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 3 |
| 1st in | 66/96 | 55/69 |
| %1st in | 69% | 80% |
| 1st pts | 46/66 | 41/55 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 20/30 | 10/14 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 71% |
Zhu bagged 7 aces . Rybakov managed to score 3 aces . Zhu won 70% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Rybakov won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 71% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zhu | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 5/7 |
| % Converted | 57% | 71% |
| Conceded | 12 | 4 |
| Saved | 9 | 2 |
| % Saved | 75% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Evan broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The American surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Rybakov conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Zhu | |||
| Q1 Mccormick |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 101-84 | 101-84 | |
| Total points | 185 | 185 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 66/96 | 66/96 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 46/66 | 46/66 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/30 | 20/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 9/12 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Rybakov | |||
| Q1 Perez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 81-58 | 81-58 | |
| Total points | 139 | 139 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 55/69 | 55/69 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 80% | |
| 1st pts | 41/55 | 41/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/14 | 10/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLLWLWL
LLWLLWLLWL 
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