Novak Djokovic and Casper Ruud will square off in the final of the French Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:30 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.23
Casper Ruud -> 4.2
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Casper Ruud
This will be the 5th time that Novak Djokovic and Casper Ruud face off. The head to head is 4-0 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Djokovic won 7-5 6-3 in the final in Nitto atp finals back in 2022.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Casper Ruud – Nitto atp finals 20-November-2022
Novak Djokovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-6 | 8-3 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-5 | 26-1 | 11-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Djokovic reached the final after beating Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-3 6-2 7-61, Marton Fucsovics 7-62 6-0 6-3, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-64 7-65 6-2, Juan Pablo Varillas 6-3 6-2 6-2, Karen Khachanov 4-6 7-60 6-2 6-4 and Carlos Alcaraz 6-3 5-7 6-1 6-1.
In the semifinal, Novak defeated Alcaraz (6-3 5-7 6-1 6-1). During the match, Djokovic scored 128 points vs Alcaraz’s 100. The Serbian was extremely aggressive to blast 63 winners.
Regarding the service games, Djokovic recorded 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Novak Djokovic lost the serve twice and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Djokovic put 70% of his first serves in, winning 72% (63/88) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (16/37) on the 2nd serve. Novak broke Alcaraz 7 times after converting 58% of his break points (7/12).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JjbWqtnAbxY
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Serbian has conceded 2 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Djokovic has a tremendous record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (514-78). 11-3 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Djokovic has an aggregate 138-28 match record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Adelaide where he beat Sebastian Korda in the final 6-7(8) 7-6(3) 6-4 and at the Australian Open where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(5).
The Serbian has an aggregate 26-4 win-loss record in 2023, 11-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-11 | 17-5 | 21-5 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-13 | 4-5 | 17-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Casper got to the final after defeating Elias Ymer 6-4 6-3 6-2, Giulio Zeppieri 6-3 6-2 4-6 7-5, Zhizhen Zhang 4-6 6-4 6-1 6-4, Nicolas Jarry 7-63 7-5 7-5, Holger Rune 6-1 6-2 3-6 6-3 and Alexander Zverev 6-3 6-4 6-0.
In the semifinal, The Norwegian had a good straight sets win against Zverev (6-3 6-4 6-0). During the match Ruud scored 90 points vs Zverev’s 68. Ruud was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
About the serving games, Ruud bagged 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Casper Ruud was pretty effective on serve to win 71% (39/55) of his 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Norwegian broke Zverev 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qd8E8va-Fhs
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Norwegian has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Estoril where he beat Miomir Kecmanovic in the final 6-2 7-6(3).
Ruud has an aggregate 22-11 win-loss record in 2023, 17-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Djokovic | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 20 | 21 |
| Tot Games | 193 | 198 |
| Pts | 705-546 | 687-570 |
| Total Points | 1251 | 1257 |
| Winners | 295 | 277 |
| %Winners | 42% | 40% |
Both Djokovic and Ruud played 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic surrendered 2 sets, while Casper Ruud lost 3 sets. Djokovic has played 1 set(s) less than Ruud (20 vs 21). Therefore, Djokovic played 5 games less than Ruud. Djokovic scored 295 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Casper managed to score 277 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Djokovic | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 39 | 32 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 5.3 |
| 1st in | 406/620 | 392/632 |
| %1st in | 65% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 295/406 | 277/392 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 112/214 | 137/240 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 57% |
Djokovic managed to score 39 aces (6.5 per match). Ruud bagged 32 aces (5.3 per match). Djokovic won 73% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Ruud won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Djokovic | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 37 | 35 |
| Converted | 37/73 | 35/76 |
| % Converted | 51% | 46% |
| Conceded | 50 | 54 |
| Saved | 35 | 41 |
| % Saved | 70% | 76% |
| Times Broken | 15 | 13 |
Novak broke his opponents 37 times with a 51% conversion rate. Djokovic surrendered his serve 15 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Casper broke his opponents 35 times with a 46% conversion rate. Ruud conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.
| Djokovic | ||||||||
| R1 Kovacevic |
R2 Fucsovics |
R3 Davidovich Fokina |
R4 Pablo Patino-Samudio |
1/4 Khachanov |
1/2 Alcaraz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 7-61 | 7-62 6-0 6-3 | 7-64 7-65 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 6-2 | 4-6 7-60 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 5-7 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 28 | 34 | 25 | 41 | 35 | 193 | |
| pts | 107-78 | 112-86 | 124-110 | 88-54 | 146-118 | 128-100 | 705-546 | |
| Total points | 185 | 198 | 234 | 142 | 264 | 228 | 1251 | |
| Winners | 37 | 40 | 48 | 47 | 60 | 63 | 295 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 36% | 39% | 53% | 41% | 49% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 39 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 45/81 | 65/99 | 74/114 | 56/70 | 78/131 | 88/125 | 406/620 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 66% | 65% | 80% | 60% | 70% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 37/45 | 40/65 | 48/74 | 47/56 | 60/78 | 63/88 | 295/406 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 62% | 65% | 84% | 77% | 72% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/36 | 20/34 | 16/40 | 5/14 | 32/53 | 16/37 | 112/214 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 59% | 40% | 36% | 60% | 43% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 37 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 8/12 | 7/17 | 6/12 | 4/8 | 7/12 | 37/73 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 67% | 41% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 50 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 9/12 | 3/8 | 2/3 | 8/10 | 10/12 | 35 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 75% | 38% | 67% | 80% | 83% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | |
| Ruud | ||||||||
| R1 Ymer |
R2 Zeppieri |
R3 Zhang |
R4 Jarry |
1/4 Rune |
1/2 Zverev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 4-6 7-5 | 4-6 6-4 6-1 6-4 | 7-63 7-5 7-5 | 6-1 6-2 3-6 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 21 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 39 | 37 | 37 | 33 | 25 | 198 | |
| pts | 91-69 | 130-110 | 116-100 | 137-123 | 123-100 | 90-68 | 687-570 | |
| Total points | 160 | 240 | 216 | 260 | 223 | 158 | 1257 | |
| Winners | 31 | 43 | 57 | 57 | 50 | 39 | 277 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 33% | 49% | 42% | 41% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 44/71 | 66/120 | 78/116 | 80/126 | 69/110 | 55/89 | 392/632 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 55% | 67% | 63% | 63% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 31/44 | 43/66 | 57/78 | 57/80 | 50/69 | 39/55 | 277/392 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 65% | 73% | 71% | 72% | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 40/54 | 18/38 | 23/46 | 24/41 | 18/34 | 137/240 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 74% | 47% | 50% | 59% | 53% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 8 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 35 | |
| Converted | 8/16 | 5/13 | 6/11 | 5/13 | 5/13 | 6/10 | 35/76 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 38% | 55% | 38% | 38% | 60% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 54 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 6/8 | 7/10 | 14/17 | 6/7 | 8/9 | 41 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 75% | 70% | 82% | 86% | 89% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | |
Head 2 Head
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