Pavel Kotov and Pedro Martinez Portero will face off in the quarter of the Heilbronn Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pedro Martinez Portero who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pedro Martinez Portero is the pick to win this match.
Pedro Martinez Portero -> 1.81
Pavel Kotov -> 1.95
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Prediction and head to head Pavel Kotov vs. Pedro Martinez Portero
This will be the 3rd time that Pavel Kotov and Pedro Martinez Portero play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Kotov (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Kotov won 6-2 1-6 7-6(5) in the 1st round in Marrakech back in April 2023.
Pavel Kotov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-25 | 9-11 | 11-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 121, the Russian got to the quarter after defeating Andrea Pellegrino 7-66 6-2 and Dan Added 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Pavel had a good straight sets win against Added (6-2 6-2). During the match, Kotov scored 55 points vs Added’s 34. Kotov was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kotov blasted 3 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Pavel Kotov was extremely effective on serve to win 75% (21/28) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Pavel broke Added 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pavel hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.
Kotov has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (229-144). 12-7 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kotov has a compiled102-66 record in the last 8 years on clay.
Kotov’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Marrakech and the Troisdorf Challenger.
Kotov has an aggregate 22-16 win-loss record in 2023, 12-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Heilbronn Challenger
Pavel has never competed in this tournament before.
Pedro Martinez Portero
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-31 | 7-9 | 27-13 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-35 | 6-9 | 33-25 | 5-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-30 | 7-12 | 13-13 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-25 | 4-5 | 21-13 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 35-13 | 6-5 | 29-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 135, the Spaniard reached the quarter after defeating Henri Squire 6-4 6-2 and Dominic Thiem 2-6 6-3 6-1.
In the 2nd round against Thiem, Martinez Portero recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-1). During the match Martinez Portero scored 80 points vs Thiem’s 67. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Martinez Portero scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Pedro Martinez Portero lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Martinez Portero put 75% of his first serves in, winning 63% (36/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the 2nd serve. Martinez Portero was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Thiem 5 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Spaniard’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Girona Challenger.
The Spaniard has a compiled 16-18 win-loss record in 2023, 13-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kotov | Martinez Portero |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 42 |
| Pts | 123-91 | 146-121 |
| Total Points | 214 | 267 |
| Winners | 48 | 65 |
| %Winners | 39% | 45% |
Both Kotov and Martinez Portero played 2 matches. At the moment, Pedro Martinez Portero surrendered 1 set while Pavel Kotov hasn’t lost a set so far. Kotov has played 1 set(s) less than Martinez Portero (4 vs 5). Therefore, Kotov played 5 games less than Martinez Portero. Kotov scored 48 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Martinez Portero fired 65 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kotov | Martinez Portero |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 66/108 | 93/135 |
| %1st in | 61% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 48/66 | 65/93 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 24/42 | 22/42 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 52% |
Kotov struck 11 aces (5.5 per match). Martinez Portero struck 2 aces (1 per match). Kotov won 73% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Martinez Portero won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kotov | Martinez Portero |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 8 |
| Converted | 9/17 | 8/11 |
| % Converted | 53% | 73% |
| Conceded | 5 | 13 |
| Saved | 2 | 10 |
| % Saved | 40% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Kotov broke his opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. Kotov lost his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded. Pedro broke his opponents 8 times with a 73% conversion rate. Pedro conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kotov | ||||
| R1 Pellegrino |
R2 Added |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 16 | 37 | |
| pts | 68-57 | 55-34 | 123-91 | |
| Total points | 125 | 89 | 214 | |
| Winners | 27 | 21 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 38/62 | 28/46 | 66/108 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 27/38 | 21/28 | 48/66 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 75% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 10/18 | 24/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 56% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 5/7 | 9/17 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 71% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 50% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Martinez Portero | ||||
| R1 Squire |
R2 Thiem |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 2-6 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 24 | 42 | |
| pts | 66-54 | 80-67 | 146-121 | |
| Total points | 120 | 147 | 267 | |
| Winners | 29 | 36 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 36/59 | 57/76 | 93/135 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 75% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 29/36 | 36/57 | 65/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 63% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/23 | 11/19 | 22/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 58% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/5 | 8/11 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 100% | 73% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 11 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 8/11 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 73% | 87% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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- Akira SantillanSantillan – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (2-0) – H2H and prediction
