Casper Ruud and Holger Rune will play each other in the quarter of the French Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 8:15 pm on Court Philippe-CHATRIER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.75
Casper Ruud -> 2.08
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Holger Rune
This will be the 6th time that Casper Ruud and Holger Rune face off. The head to head is 4-1 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Rune won 6-7(2) 6-4 6-2 in the semifinal in Rome back in May 2023.
Highlights Holger Rune vs Casper Ruud – Rome 20-May-2023
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-6 | 6-3 | 6-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-25 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Ruud reached the quarter after beating Elias Ymer 6-4 6-3 6-2, Giulio Zeppieri 6-3 6-2 4-6 7-5, Zhizhen Zhang 4-6 6-4 6-1 6-4 and Nicolas Jarry 7-63 7-5 7-5.
In the 4th round, Casper had a good straight sets win against Jarry (7-63 7-5 7-5). During the match, Ruud scored 137 points vs Jarry’s 123. Casper was pretty aggressive to blast 57 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ruud bagged 10 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Casper Ruud lost the serve 3 times and he saved 14 break points. Furthermore, Ruud put 63% of his first serves in, winning 71% (57/80) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (23/46) on the 2nd serve. Ruud broke Jarry 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oGqCE3Xsunk
Overall Performance in this tournament
Casper has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Ruud has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 65% of his matches (336-181). 15-5 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ruud has an overall205-92 record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Estoril where he overcame Miomir Kecmanovic in the final 6-2 7-6(3).
The Norwegian has a compiled 20-11 win-loss record in 2023, 15-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-10 | 9-5 | 5-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-24 | 21-12 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6 (career-high), Rune reached the quarter after defeating Christopher Eubanks 6-4 3-6 7-62 6-2, Gael Monfils w/o, Genaro Alberto Olivieri 6-4 6-1 6-3 and Francisco Cerundolo 7-63 3-6 6-4 1-6 7-67.
In the 4th round, Rune had a tough win against Cerundolo to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (7-63 3-6 6-4 1-6 7-67).During the match Rune scored less points (11) than Cerundolo. In fact, the world no. 4 won 164 points vs Cerundolo’s. That means that Rune was more focused during the important points. The Dane was pretty aggressive to blast 67 winners.
About the serving games, Rune blasted 8 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Holger Rune lost the serve 7 times and he saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Rune put 59% of his first serves in, winning 66% (67/102) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (39/71) on the 2nd serve. Rune broke Cerundolo 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Dane has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Munich where he overcame Botic Van De Zandschulp in the final 6-4 1-6 7-6(3).
The Dane has a composed 30-10 win-loss record in 2023, 16-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 14 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 140 | 118 |
| Pts | 474-402 | 386-355 |
| Total Points | 876 | 741 |
| Winners | 188 | 162 |
| %Winners | 40% | 42% |
Ruud played 4 matches while Rune competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Casper Ruud surrendered 2 sets, while Holger Rune dropped 3 sets. Ruud has played 2 sets more than Rune (14 vs 12). Therefore, Ruud played 22 games more than Rune. Casper scored 188 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Dane scored 162 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 4.7 |
| 1st in | 268/433 | 228/370 |
| %1st in | 62% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 188/268 | 162/228 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 95/165 | 71/142 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 50% |
Ruud bagged 22 aces (5.5 per match). Rune scored 14 aces (4.7 per match). Ruud won 70% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Rune won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 24 | 17 |
| Converted | 24/53 | 17/36 |
| % Converted | 45% | 47% |
| Conceded | 38 | 33 |
| Saved | 27 | 20 |
| % Saved | 71% | 61% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 13 |
Ruud broke his opponents 24 times with a 45% conversion rate. Ruud surrendered his serve 11 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Rune broke his opponents 17 times with a 47% conversion rate. Holger conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | ||||||
| R1 Ymer |
R2 Zeppieri |
R3 Zhang |
R4 Jarry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 4-6 7-5 | 4-6 6-4 6-1 6-4 | 7-63 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 39 | 37 | 37 | 140 | |
| pts | 91-69 | 130-110 | 116-100 | 137-123 | 474-402 | |
| Total points | 160 | 240 | 216 | 260 | 876 | |
| Winners | 31 | 43 | 57 | 57 | 188 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 33% | 49% | 42% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 44/71 | 66/120 | 78/116 | 80/126 | 268/433 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 55% | 67% | 63% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 31/44 | 43/66 | 57/78 | 57/80 | 188/268 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 65% | 73% | 71% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 40/54 | 18/38 | 23/46 | 95/165 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 74% | 47% | 50% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 8 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | |
| Converted | 8/16 | 5/13 | 6/11 | 5/13 | 24/53 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 38% | 55% | 38% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 38 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 6/8 | 7/10 | 14/17 | 27 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 75% | 70% | 82% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Rune | ||||||
| R1 Eubanks |
R2 Monfils |
R3 Alberto |
R4 Cerundolo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 7-62 6-2 | w/o | 6-4 6-1 6-3 | 7-63 3-6 6-4 1-6 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | – | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 40 | – | 26 | 52 | 118 | |
| pts | 125-116 | – | 97-64 | 164-175 | 386-355 | |
| Total points | 241 | – | 161 | 339 | 741 | |
| Winners | 55 | – | 40 | 67 | 162 | |
| %Winners | 44% | – | 41% | 41% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | – | 4 | 8 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | – | 4 | 10 | 23 | |
| 1st in | 69/119 | – | 57/78 | 102/173 | 228/370 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | – | 73% | 59% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 55/69 | – | 40/57 | 67/102 | 162/228 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | – | 70% | 66% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/50 | – | 10/21 | 39/71 | 71/142 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | – | 48% | 55% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | – | 8 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | – | 8/20 | 4/8 | 17/36 | |
| Converted % | 63% | – | 40% | 50% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 5 | – | 8 | 20 | 33 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | – | 5/8 | 13/20 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 40% | – | 63% | 65% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | – | 3 | 7 | 13 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWLWLW
LWWWWWLLLW Tennis Scores – French Open
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski (6-3 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sander Gille/Joran VliegenGille/Joran Vliegen – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (8-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Casper RuudRuud (1-4) – H2H and prediction
