Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina will play each other in the quarter of the French Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 12:30 pm on Court Philippe-CHATRIER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.31
Elina Svitolina -> 3.46
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elina Svitolina
This will be the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Svitolina won 6-2 4-6 6-4 in the semifinal in Strasbourg back in 2020.
Highlights Elina Svitolina vs Aryna Sabalenka – Strasbourg 25-September-2020
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-11 | 31-6 | 15-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the Belarussian got to the quarter after defeating Marta Kostyuk 6-3 6-2, Iryna Shymanovich 7-5 6-2, Kamilla Rakhimova 6-2 6-2 and Sloane Stephens 7-65 6-4.
In the 4th round, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Stephens (7-65 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 77 points vs Stephens’s 67. Aryna was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 62% of her first serves in, winning 77% (30/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Stephens 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sabalenka hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (296-145). 13-2 on clay in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has an overall61-34 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Adelaide where she beat Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she defeated Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3.
The Belarussian has an overall 33-5 win-loss record in 2023, 13-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Elina Svitolina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-18 | 16-9 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-12 | 4-3 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-20 | 31-13 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-9 | 9-5 | 10-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 192, Elina reached the quarter after beating Martina Trevisan 6-2 6-2, Storm Hunter 2-6 6-3 6-1, Anna Blinkova 2-6 6-2 7-5 and Daria Kasatkina 6-4 7-65.
In the 4th round, Svitolina had a good straight sets win against Kasatkina (6-4 7-65). During the match Svitolina scored 80 points vs Kasatkina’s 76. Elina was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Svitolina recorded 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Elina Svitolina lost the serve 5 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Svitolina put 52% of her first serves in, winning 61% (27/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (16/40) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Kasatkina 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Ukrainian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Strasbourg where she defeated Anna Blinkova in the final 6-2 6-3.
The Ukrainian has a compiled 12-6 win-loss record in 2023, 12-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2015, 2017 and 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 76 | 91 |
| Pts | 269-204 | 324-278 |
| Total Points | 473 | 602 |
| Winners | 122 | 110 |
| %Winners | 45% | 34% |
Both Sabalenka and Svitolina played 4 matches. At the moment, Elina Svitolina lost 2 sets while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t lost a set so far. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Svitolina (8 vs 10). Therefore, Sabalenka played 15 games less than Svitolina. Aryna scored 122 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Ukrainian recorded 110 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 2.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 155/226 | 178/297 |
| %1st in | 69% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 122/155 | 110/178 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 31/71 | 56/119 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 47% |
Sabalenka struck 11 aces (2.8 per match). Svitolina fired 17 aces (4.3 per match). Sabalenka won 79% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Svitolina won 62% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 24 |
| Converted | 17/35 | 24/46 |
| % Converted | 49% | 52% |
| Conceded | 15 | 33 |
| Saved | 9 | 17 |
| % Saved | 60% | 52% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 16 |
Sabalenka broke her opponents 17 times with a 49% conversion rate. Sabalenka conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. Svitolina broke her opponents 24 times with a 52% conversion rate. Svitolina conceded her serve 16 times and she saved 52% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||||
| R1 Kostyuk |
R2 Shymanovich |
R3 Rakhimova |
R4 Stephens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 7-5 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 | 16 | 23 | 76 | |
| pts | 62-45 | 72-53 | 58-39 | 77-67 | 269-204 | |
| Total points | 107 | 125 | 97 | 144 | 473 | |
| Winners | 29 | 33 | 30 | 30 | 122 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 46% | 52% | 39% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 40/57 | 39/55 | 37/51 | 39/63 | 155/226 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 71% | 73% | 62% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 29/40 | 33/39 | 30/37 | 30/39 | 122/155 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 85% | 81% | 77% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 5/16 | 6/14 | 11/24 | 31/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 31% | 43% | 46% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 5/10 | 4/7 | 4/9 | 17/35 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 50% | 57% | 44% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 2/5 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 50% | 100% | 40% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
| Svitolina | ||||||
| R1 Trevisan |
R2 Sanders |
R3 Blinkova |
R4 Kasatkina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 2-6 6-3 6-1 | 2-6 6-2 7-5 | 6-4 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 24 | 28 | 23 | 91 | |
| pts | 57-37 | 90-76 | 97-89 | 80-76 | 324-278 | |
| Total points | 94 | 166 | 186 | 156 | 602 | |
| Winners | 26 | 24 | 33 | 27 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 27% | 34% | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 35/49 | 44/71 | 55/93 | 44/84 | 178/297 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 62% | 59% | 52% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 24/44 | 33/55 | 27/44 | 110/178 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 55% | 60% | 61% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 15/27 | 16/38 | 16/40 | 56/119 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 56% | 42% | 40% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 7/16 | 7/12 | 6/12 | 24/46 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 44% | 58% | 50% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 33 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 7/12 | 6/12 | 4/9 | 17 | |
| Saved % | – | 58% | 50% | 44% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 16 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova – Cori GauffGauff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
