Carlos Alcaraz and Stefanos Tsitsipas will face off in the quarter of the French Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 8:15 pm on Court Philippe-CHATRIER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.21
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 4.45
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
This will be the 5th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Stefanos Tsitsipas play each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Alcaraz won 6-3 6-4 in the final in Barcelona back in April 2023.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Stefanos Tsitsipas – Barcelona 23-April-2023
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-5 | 10-4 | 9-1 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Carlos reached the quarter after defeating Flavio Cobolli 6-0 6-2 7-5, Taro Daniel 6-1 3-6 6-1 6-2, Denis Shapovalov 6-1 6-4 6-2 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 6-2 6-2.
In the 4th round, Alcaraz had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-3 6-2 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 99 points vs Musetti’s 66. Alcaraz was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz bagged 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 73% of his first serves in, winning 77% (43/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. Alcaraz broke Musetti 7 times after converting 50% of his break points (7/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 60% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 6 years having won 79% of his matches (202-54). 24-2 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has an aggregate123-30 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he defeated Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3.
The Spaniard has a composed 34-3 win-loss record in 2023, 24-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Stefanos Tsitsipas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-9 | 9-5 | 5-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-22 | 13-11 | 22-6 | 8-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-24 | 19-9 | 17-5 | 11-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 61-24 | 18-8 | 17-4 | 18-9 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-19 | 26-8 | 23-5 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, the Greek got to the quarter after beating Jiri Vesely 7-5 6-3 4-6 7-67, Roberto Carballes Baena 6-3 7-64 6-2, Diego Schwartzman 6-2 6-2 6-3 and Sebastian Ofner 7-5 6-3 6-0.
In the 4th round, Tsitsipas had a good straight sets win against Ofner (7-5 6-3 6-0). During the match Tsitsipas scored 93 points vs Ofner’s 66. The Greek was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Tsitsipas made 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Stefanos Tsitsipas was very efficient on serve to win 76% (45/59) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Greek broke Ofner 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Greek has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Stefanos’s best result of the season was getting to the final in at the Australian Open and Barcelona.
The Greek has a compiled 31-8 win-loss record in 2023, 17-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 13 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 107 | 126 |
| Pts | 401-267 | 427-328 |
| Total Points | 668 | 755 |
| Winners | 157 | 196 |
| %Winners | 39% | 46% |
Both Alcaraz and Tsitsipas played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz dropped 1 set, while Stefanos Tsitsipas lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Tsitsipas have played the same amount of sets 13. However, Alcaraz played 19 games less than Tsitsipas. The Spaniard scored 157 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Tsitsipas made 196 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 27 |
| Avg per match | 2.8 | 6.8 |
| 1st in | 218/317 | 250/378 |
| %1st in | 69% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 157/218 | 196/250 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 61/99 | 69/128 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 54% |
Alcaraz blasted 11 aces (2.8 per match). Tsitsipas made 27 aces (6.8 per match). Alcaraz won 72% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Tsitsipas won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 28 | 22 |
| Converted | 28/59 | 22/49 |
| % Converted | 47% | 45% |
| Conceded | 20 | 18 |
| Saved | 13 | 11 |
| % Saved | 65% | 61% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 7 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 28 times with a 47% conversion rate. Alcaraz conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. The Greek broke his opponents 22 times with a 45% conversion rate. Tsitsipas conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||||
| R1 Cobolli |
R2 Daniel |
R3 Shapovalov |
R4 Musetti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 7-5 | 6-1 3-6 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 31 | 25 | 25 | 107 | |
| pts | 96-64 | 105-71 | 101-66 | 99-66 | 401-267 | |
| Total points | 160 | 176 | 167 | 165 | 668 | |
| Winners | 31 | 45 | 38 | 43 | 157 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 43% | 38% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 42/74 | 62/86 | 58/80 | 56/77 | 218/317 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 72% | 73% | 73% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 31/42 | 45/62 | 38/58 | 43/56 | 157/218 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 73% | 66% | 77% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/32 | 15/24 | 15/22 | 10/21 | 61/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 66% | 63% | 68% | 48% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 | |
| Converted | 7/18 | 7/11 | 7/16 | 7/14 | 28/59 | |
| Converted % | 39% | 64% | 44% | 50% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 20 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/3 | 4/6 | 5/7 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 33% | 67% | 71% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tsitsipas | ||||||
| R1 Vesely |
R2 Carballes Baena |
R3 Schwartzman |
R4 Ofner |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 4-6 7-67 | 6-3 7-64 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 44 | 30 | 25 | 27 | 126 | |
| pts | 135-112 | 96-82 | 103-68 | 93-66 | 427-328 | |
| Total points | 247 | 178 | 171 | 159 | 755 | |
| Winners | 71 | 46 | 34 | 45 | 196 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 48% | 33% | 48% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 12 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 86/120 | 60/91 | 45/84 | 59/83 | 250/378 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 66% | 54% | 71% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 71/86 | 46/60 | 34/45 | 45/59 | 196/250 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 77% | 76% | 76% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 14/31 | 23/39 | 13/24 | 69/128 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 45% | 59% | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 22 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 6/9 | 6/18 | 6/11 | 22/49 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 67% | 33% | 55% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 1/3 | 4/5 | 2/3 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 33% | 80% | 67% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWWW
LWLWWLWWLW Tennis Scores – French Open
- Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek – Francisco Cabral/Rafael MatosCabral/Rafael Matos (6-73 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Marcelo Melo/John PeersMelo/John Peers (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (3-6 7-68 2-6 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-4 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Jean-Julien RojerArevalo/Jean-Julien Rojer – Jamie Murray/Michael VenusMurray/Michael Venus (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski – Aleksandr Nedovyesov/Miguel-Angel Reyes-VarelaNedovyesov/Miguel-Angel Reyes-Varela (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Sander Gille/Joran VliegenGille/Joran Vliegen – Santiago Gonzalez/Edouard Roger-VasselinGonzalez/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (7-5 6-73 7-65) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (3-6 7-63 6-1 7-65) – See score progression
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Borna CoricCoric (6-3 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni – Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury (6-1 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Marcos GironGiron (6-2 6-3 6-77 6-3) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (4-6 6-4 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Taylor FritzFritz (3-6 6-3 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (6-4 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-1 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Andrey RublevRublev (5-7 0-6 6-3 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman (6-2 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (3-6 6-3 7-63 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (7-64 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-4 6-1 3-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Fabio FogniniFognini (5-7 6-3 7-5 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-1 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (8-1) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-1) – H2H and prediction
