Daria Kasatkina and Elina Svitolina will clash against each other in the 4th round of the French Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on Court Suzanne-LENGLEN. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.78
Elina Svitolina -> 2.04
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Elina Svitolina
This will be the 7th time that Daria Kasatkina and Elina Svitolina square off. The head to head is 6-0 for Svitolina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Svitolina won 6-4 6-2 in the 3rd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2021.
Highlights Elina Svitolina vs Daria Kasatkina – U.S. Open 03-September-2021
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-13 | 12-8 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, the Russian got to the 4th round after defeating Jule Niemeier 6-3 6-4, Marketa Vondrousova 6-3 6-4 and Peyton Stearns 6-0 6-1.
In the 3rd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Stearns (6-0 6-1). During the match, Kasatkina scored 59 points vs Stearns’s 28. Darya was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kasatkina wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was quite consistent in conceding no double faults. Daria Kasatkina conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 93% of her first serves in, win 85% (23/27) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (1/2) on the 2nd serve. Darya broke Stearns 6 times after converting 75% of her break points (6/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kasatkina hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points she played.
Kasatkina has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (317-179). 10-4 on clay in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kasatkina has an overall 117-48 match record in the last years on clay.
Darya’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Adelaide.
Kasatkina has a composed 15-12 win-loss record in 2023, 10-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Elina Svitolina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-12 | 10-5 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-12 | 4-3 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-20 | 31-13 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-9 | 9-5 | 10-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 192, Elina reached the 4th round after defeating Martina Trevisan 6-2 6-2, Storm Hunter 2-6 6-3 6-1 and Anna Blinkova 2-6 6-2 7-5.
In the 3rd round against Blinkova, Svitolina recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 7-5). During the match Svitolina scored 97 points vs Blinkova’s 89. Svitolina was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Svitolina blasted 5 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Elina Svitolina lost the serve 6 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Svitolina put 59% of her first serves in, winning 60% (33/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (16/38) on the 2nd serve. Elina broke Blinkova 7 times after converting 58% of her break points (7/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Svitolina has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Strasbourg where she defeated Anna Blinkova in the final 6-2 6-3.
The Ukrainian has an overall 11-6 win-loss record in 2023, 11-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2015, 2017 and 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 68 |
| Pts | 212-153 | 244-202 |
| Total Points | 365 | 446 |
| Winners | 92 | 83 |
| %Winners | 43% | 34% |
Both Kasatkina and Svitolina played 3 matches. At the moment, Elina Svitolina conceded 2 sets while Daria Kasatkina hasn’t conceded a set so far. Kasatkina has played 2 set(s) less than Svitolina (6 vs 8). Therefore, Kasatkina played 17 games less than Svitolina. Kasatkina scored 92 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Elina bagged 83 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 4.7 |
| 1st in | 141/175 | 134/213 |
| %1st in | 81% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 92/141 | 83/134 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 11/34 | 40/79 |
| %2nd pts | 32% | 51% |
Kasatkina didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Svitolina scored 14 aces (4.7 per match). Kasatkina won 65% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 32% of the points. On the other side, Svitolina won 62% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 18 |
| Converted | 18/31 | 18/34 |
| % Converted | 58% | 53% |
| Conceded | 20 | 24 |
| Saved | 13 | 13 |
| % Saved | 65% | 54% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 11 |
Kasatkina broke her opponents 18 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Russian lost her serve 7 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded. Elina broke her opponents 18 times with a 53% conversion rate. Svitolina conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | |||||
| R1 Niemeier |
R2 Vondrousova |
R3 Stearns |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-0 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | 13 | 51 | |
| pts | 68-53 | 85-72 | 59-28 | 212-153 | |
| Total points | 121 | 157 | 87 | 365 | |
| Winners | 24 | 45 | 23 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 53% | 39% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 2 | 0 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 39/59 | 75/87 | 27/29 | 141/175 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 86% | 93% | 81% | |
| 1st pts | 24/39 | 45/75 | 23/27 | 92/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 60% | 85% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/20 | 5/12 | 1/2 | 11/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 25% | 42% | 50% | 32% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 8 | 4 | 6 | 18 | |
| Converted | 8/12 | 4/11 | 6/8 | 18/31 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 36% | 75% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 12 | 0 | 20 | |
| Saved | 3/8 | 10/12 | 0/0 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 38% | 83% | – | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
| Svitolina | |||||
| R1 Trevisan |
R2 Sanders |
R3 Blinkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 2-6 6-3 6-1 | 2-6 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 24 | 28 | 68 | |
| pts | 57-37 | 90-76 | 97-89 | 244-202 | |
| Total points | 94 | 166 | 186 | 446 | |
| Winners | 26 | 24 | 33 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 27% | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 35/49 | 44/71 | 55/93 | 134/213 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 62% | 59% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 24/44 | 33/55 | 83/134 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 55% | 60% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 15/27 | 16/38 | 40/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 56% | 42% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 7/16 | 7/12 | 18/34 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 44% | 58% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 12 | 12 | 24 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 7/12 | 6/12 | 13 | |
| Saved % | – | 58% | 50% | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWLWLWLW
LLWWWLWLWW Tennis Scores – French Open
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Elena RybakinaRybakina (w/o) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Jessica PegulaPegula (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Peyton StearnsStearns (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (4-6 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (2-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Clara TausonTauson (3-6 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Sloane StephensStephens – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Elena RybakinaRybakina (w/o) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova – Kayla DayDay (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Bernarda PeraPera (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Olga DanilovicDanilovic – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Elise MertensMertens (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (6-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-3) – H2H and prediction
