Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti will fight against each other in the 4th round of the French Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:30 pm on Court Philippe-CHATRIER. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.147
Lorenzo Musetti -> 5.55
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Lorenzo Musetti
This will be the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Alcaraz and Musetti (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Musetti won 6-4 6-7(6) 6-4 in the final in Hamburg back in 2022.
Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz – Hamburg 24-July-2022
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 67-8 | 28-4 | 22-1 | 6-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Spaniard got to the 4th round after beating Flavio Cobolli 6-0 6-2 7-5, Taro Daniel 6-1 3-6 6-1 6-2 and Denis Shapovalov 6-1 6-4 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Alcaraz had a good straight sets win against Shapovalov (6-1 6-4 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 101 points vs Shapovalov’s 66. Alcaraz was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz was unable to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 73% of his first serves in, winning 66% (38/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the 2nd serve. Carlos broke Shapovalov 7 times after converting 44% of his break points (7/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carlos has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 60% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 6 years having won 79% of his matches (201-54). 23-2 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has a compiled122-30 record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he overcame Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3.
Alcaraz has a composed 33-3 win-loss record in 2023, 23-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-19 | 18-11 | 19-4 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18 (career-high), Lorenzo got to the 4th round after beating Mikael Ymer 7-5 6-2 6-4, Alexander Shevchenko 6-1 6-1 6-2 and Cameron Norrie 6-1 6-2 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Musetti had a good straight sets win against Norrie (6-1 6-2 6-4). During the match Musetti scored 101 points vs Norrie’s 73. Musetti was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Musetti scored 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 62% of his first serves in, winning 83% (40/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. Lorenzo broke Norrie 6 times after converting 33% of his break points (6/18).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Musetti’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Australia.
Musetti has a compiled 16-12 win-loss record in 2023, 12-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 82 | 77 |
| Pts | 302-201 | 298-204 |
| Total Points | 503 | 502 |
| Winners | 114 | 101 |
| %Winners | 38% | 34% |
Both Alcaraz and Musetti played 3 matches. At the moment, Carlos Alcaraz surrendered 1 set while Lorenzo Musetti hasn’t dropped a set so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set more than Musetti (10 vs 9). Therefore, Alcaraz played 5 games more than Musetti. Carlos scored 114 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian bagged 101 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 162/240 | 128/215 |
| %1st in | 68% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 114/162 | 101/128 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 51/78 | 55/87 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 63% |
Alcaraz struck 5 aces (1.7 per match). Musetti scored 8 aces (2.7 per match). Alcaraz won 70% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 19 |
| Converted | 21/45 | 19/50 |
| % Converted | 47% | 38% |
| Conceded | 13 | 8 |
| Saved | 8 | 5 |
| % Saved | 62% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 |
Alcaraz broke his opponents 21 times with a 47% conversion rate. Carlos dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded. Lorenzo broke his opponents 19 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||||
| R1 Cobolli |
R2 Daniel |
R3 Shapovalov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 7-5 | 6-1 3-6 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 31 | 25 | 82 | |
| pts | 96-64 | 105-71 | 101-66 | 302-201 | |
| Total points | 160 | 176 | 167 | 503 | |
| Winners | 31 | 45 | 38 | 114 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 43% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 42/74 | 62/86 | 58/80 | 162/240 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 72% | 73% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 31/42 | 45/62 | 38/58 | 114/162 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 73% | 66% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/32 | 15/24 | 15/22 | 51/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 66% | 63% | 68% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | |
| Converted | 7/18 | 7/11 | 7/16 | 21/45 | |
| Converted % | 39% | 64% | 44% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/3 | 4/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 33% | 67% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| Musetti | |||||
| R1 Ymer |
R2 Shevchenko |
R3 Norrie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 6-4 | 6-1 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 22 | 25 | 77 | |
| pts | 109-80 | 88-51 | 101-73 | 298-204 | |
| Total points | 189 | 139 | 174 | 502 | |
| Winners | 34 | 27 | 40 | 101 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | 40% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 43/75 | 37/62 | 48/78 | 128/215 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 60% | 62% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 34/43 | 27/37 | 40/48 | 101/128 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 73% | 83% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/32 | 20/25 | 14/30 | 55/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 66% | 80% | 47% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19 | |
| Converted | 6/20 | 7/12 | 6/18 | 19/50 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 58% | 33% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 3/3 | 2/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | 67% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWLWW
LLWWWLWLWW Tennis Scores – French Open
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (3-6 7-68 2-6 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (6-4 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (4-6 6-4 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Andrey RublevRublev (5-7 0-6 6-3 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-4 6-1 3-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (7-64 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-1 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (3-6 6-3 7-63 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-1 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman (6-2 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Fabio FogniniFognini (5-7 6-3 7-5 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (6-4 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (4-6 6-4 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (3-6 7-6(8) 2-6 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Marcos GironGiron (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-1) – H2H and prediction
- Borna CoricCoric – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (2-1) – H2H and prediction
