Elise Mertens and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova will clash against each other in the 4th round of the French Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on Court Philippe-CHATRIER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elise Mertens is the pick to win this match.
Elise Mertens -> 1.82
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova -> 1.99
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
This will be the 3rd time that Elise Mertens and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Pavlyuchenkova won 3-6 6-4 6-1 in the 2nd round in Eastbourne back in 2017.
Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-20 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 5-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-25 | 18-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 28, Mertens reached the 4th round after beating Viktoria Hruncakova 6-1 6-4, Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 6-3 7-63 and Jessica Pegula 6-1 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Elise had a good straight sets win against Pegula (6-1 6-3). During the match, Mertens scored 63 points vs Pegula’s 45. Elise was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mertens scored just 1 ace in the encounter and she committed only 6 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 52% of her first serves in, winning 74% (23/31) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. Elise was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Pegula 5 times.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QiRdnDPKFL0
Overall Performance in this tournament
Elise hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Mertens has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (375-218). 5-3 on clay in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mertens has an aggregate 98-53 record in the last years on clay.
Elise’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Monterrey.
The Belgian has an overall 18-11 win-loss record in 2023, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-14 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-19 | 20-11 | 3-5 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-17 | 6-8 | 15-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-20 | 12-11 | 10-3 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 333, Anastasia got to the 4th round after beating Linda Fruhvirtova 6-2 6-2, Liudmila Samsonova 4-6 7-5 7-5 and Anastasia Potapova 4-6 6-3 6-0.
In the 3rd round against Potapova, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-0). During the match Pavlyuchenkova scored 88 points vs Potapova’s 71. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Pavlyuchenkova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 6 double faults. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova lost the serve 4 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Pavlyuchenkova put 62% of her first serves in, winning 60% (29/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (13/29) on the 2nd serve. Pavlyuchenkova broke Potapova 8 times after converting 73% of her break points (8/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Anastasia has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
The Russian has a compiled 11-9 win-loss record in 2023, 8-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mertens | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 55 | 75 |
| Pts | 211-163 | 261-214 |
| Total Points | 374 | 475 |
| Winners | 67 | 94 |
| %Winners | 32% | 36% |
Both Mertens and Pavlyuchenkova played 3 matches. At the moment, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova conceded 2 sets while Elise Mertens hasn’t dropped a set so far. Mertens has played 2 set(s) less than Pavlyuchenkova (6 vs 8). Therefore, Mertens played 20 games less than Pavlyuchenkova. Mertens scored 67 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Anastasia managed to score 94 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mertens | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 95/197 | 141/229 |
| %1st in | 48% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 67/95 | 94/141 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 42/102 | 39/88 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 44% |
Mertens blasted 9 aces (3 per match). Pavlyuchenkova struck 4 aces (1.3 per match). Mertens won 71% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Pavlyuchenkova won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mertens | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 21 |
| Converted | 20/30 | 21/41 |
| % Converted | 67% | 51% |
| Conceded | 31 | 27 |
| Saved | 21 | 15 |
| % Saved | 68% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 12 |
Elise broke her opponents 20 times with a 67% conversion rate. Mertens dropped her serve 10 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 21 times with a 51% conversion rate. Pavlyuchenkova conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded.
| Mertens | |||||
| R1 Kuzmova |
R2 Camila Osorio Serrano |
R3 Pegula |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 7-63 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 22 | 16 | 55 | |
| pts | 68-51 | 80-67 | 63-45 | 211-163 | |
| Total points | 119 | 147 | 108 | 374 | |
| Winners | 20 | 24 | 23 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 30% | 37% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 6 | 6 | 23 | |
| 1st in | 25/54 | 39/83 | 31/60 | 95/197 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 47% | 52% | 48% | |
| 1st pts | 20/25 | 24/39 | 23/31 | 67/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 62% | 74% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/29 | 20/44 | 14/29 | 42/102 | |
| % 2nd pts | 28% | 45% | 48% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 8 | 7 | 5 | 20 | |
| Converted | 8/13 | 7/12 | 5/5 | 20/30 | |
| Converted % | 62% | 58% | 100% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 14 | 6 | 31 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 9/14 | 5/6 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 64% | 83% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10 | |
| Pavlyuchenkova | |||||
| R1 Fruhvirtova |
R2 Samsonova |
R3 Potapova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 4-6 7-5 7-5 | 4-6 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 34 | 25 | 75 | |
| pts | 56-34 | 117-109 | 88-71 | 261-214 | |
| Total points | 90 | 226 | 159 | 475 | |
| Winners | 23 | 42 | 29 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 36% | 33% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 7 | 6 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 29/42 | 64/110 | 48/77 | 141/229 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 58% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 23/29 | 42/64 | 29/48 | 94/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 66% | 60% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/13 | 21/46 | 13/29 | 39/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 46% | 45% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 7/19 | 8/11 | 21/41 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 37% | 73% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 16 | 9 | 27 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 10/16 | 5/9 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 63% | 56% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLLWWLW
LWLLLLWWWW Tennis Scores – French Open
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Elena RybakinaRybakina (w/o) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Jessica PegulaPegula (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Clara TausonTauson (3-6 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Sloane StephensStephens – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (2-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Peyton StearnsStearns (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (4-6 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Elena RybakinaRybakina (w/o) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova – Kayla DayDay (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Bernarda PeraPera (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Olga DanilovicDanilovic – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Elise MertensMertens (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (6-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-3) – H2H and prediction
