Carlos Alcaraz and Denis Shapovalov will square off in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 8:15 pm on Court Philippe-CHATRIER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.004
Denis Shapovalov -> 17.5
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Denis Shapovalov
There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Denis Shapovalov since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-6 | 13-2 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Carlos reached the 3rd round after defeating Flavio Cobolli 6-0 6-2 7-5 and Taro Daniel 6-1 3-6 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Spaniard defeated Daniel (6-1 3-6 6-1 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 105 points vs Daniel’s 71. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz made 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (45/62) of his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Spaniard broke Daniel 7 times after converting 64% of his break points (7/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 60% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 6 years having won 79% of his matches (200-54). 22-2 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has an aggregate121-30 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he beat Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3.
The Spaniard has a compiled 32-3 win-loss record in 2023, 22-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Denis Shapovalov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-18 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-15 | 8-6 | 5-2 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32, Denis got to the 3rd round after beating Brandon Nakashima 6-4 7-5 4-6 3-6 6-3 and Matteo Arnaldi 6-2 3-6 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Denis defeated Arnaldi (6-2 3-6 6-3 6-3). During the match Shapovalov scored 123 points vs Arnaldi’s 101. The Canadian was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about serving, Shapovalov struck 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Denis Shapovalov was extremely effective on serve to win 80% (43/54) of his 1st serve and 63% (27/43) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Canadian broke Arnaldi 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Denis has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The Canadian has an aggregate 9-9 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018 and 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 57 | 85 |
| Pts | 201-135 | 266-249 |
| Total Points | 336 | 515 |
| Winners | 76 | 106 |
| %Winners | 38% | 40% |
Both Alcaraz and Shapovalov played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz dropped 1 set, while Denis Shapovalov surrendered 3 sets. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Shapovalov (7 vs 9). Therefore, Alcaraz played 28 games less than Shapovalov. Carlos scored 76 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian bagged 106 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 104/160 | 138/246 |
| %1st in | 65% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 76/104 | 106/138 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 36/56 | 62/108 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 57% |
Alcaraz managed to score 5 aces (2.5 per match). Shapovalov bagged 8 aces (4 per match). Alcaraz won 73% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Shapovalov won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 9 |
| Converted | 14/29 | 9/27 |
| % Converted | 48% | 33% |
| Conceded | 7 | 12 |
| Saved | 4 | 8 |
| % Saved | 57% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Alcaraz broke his opponents 14 times with a 48% conversion rate. Carlos dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Shapovalov broke his opponents 9 times with a 33% conversion rate. Shapovalov conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||
| R1 Cobolli |
R2 Daniel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 7-5 | 6-1 3-6 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 31 | 57 | |
| pts | 96-64 | 105-71 | 201-135 | |
| Total points | 160 | 176 | 336 | |
| Winners | 31 | 45 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 43% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 42/74 | 62/86 | 104/160 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 72% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 31/42 | 45/62 | 76/104 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/32 | 15/24 | 36/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 66% | 63% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 7 | 14 | |
| Converted | 7/18 | 7/11 | 14/29 | |
| Converted % | 39% | 64% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 33% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Shapovalov | ||||
| R1 Nakashima |
R2 Arnaldi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 4-6 3-6 6-3 | 6-2 3-6 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 50 | 35 | 85 | |
| pts | 143-148 | 123-101 | 266-249 | |
| Total points | 291 | 224 | 515 | |
| Winners | 63 | 43 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 35% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 15 | 5 | 20 | |
| 1st in | 84/149 | 54/97 | 138/246 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 63/84 | 43/54 | 106/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 80% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 35/65 | 27/43 | 62/108 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 63% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 5/16 | 9/27 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 31% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 1 | 12 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 0/1 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 0% | 37% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWL
WWLLWWLWLL Tennis Scores – French Open
- Jamie Murray/Michael VenusMurray/Michael Venus – Juan-Sebastian Cabal/Robert FarahCabal/Robert Farah (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Gael MonfilsMonfils (w/o) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (7-64 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Pedro CachinCachin (6-3 4-6 4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri Heliovaara – Ilya Ivashka/Alexei PopyrinIvashka/Alexei Popyrin (7-63 7-5) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (6-3 6-2 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (6-4 6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-3 7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Taro DanielDaniel (6-1 3-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-4 6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Lucas PouillePouille (6-1 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman – Nuno BorgesBorges (7-63 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-3 7-61 6-4) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-1 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (1-6 4-6 6-3 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Radu AlbotAlbot (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (3-6 7-5 6-3 6-74 6-3) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 5-7 6-713 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (7-62 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (6-4 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-2 3-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Gael MonfilsMonfils (w/o) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (6-3 6-2 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (7-6(4) 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Pedro CachinCachin (6-3 4-6 4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 7-6(2) 6-3) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Max PurcellPurcell (4-6 6-2 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – Andrea VavassoriVavassori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Nicolas JarryJarry (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alex MolcanMolcan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Guido PellaPella – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Andrey RublevRublev (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Borna CoricCoric – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (0-1) – H2H and prediction
