Madison Keys and Kayla Day will square off in the 2nd round of the French Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on Court Simonne-MATHIEU. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.23
Kayla Day -> 4.2

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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Kayla Day

This will be the 2nd time that Madison Keys and Kayla Day clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Keys won 6-1 6-1 in the 2nd round in New York back in 2016.

Madison Keys

Madison Keys

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
7
High
5
LLLLWWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 37-15 24-6 9-4 0-2 4-3 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 20, the American reached the 2nd round after defeating Kaia Kanepi 6-1 3-6 6-1.

In the 1st round, Madison defeated Kanepi (6-1 3-6 6-1). During the match, Keys scored 83 points vs Kanepi’s 65. The American was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Regarding the service games, Keys struck 7 aces and she was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Madison Keys was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (36/47) of her 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Madison broke Kanepi 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).

Keys has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (248-144). 5-2 on clay in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Keys has a composed 59-35 record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where she overcame Lucia Bronzetti in the final 6-3 6-2.

Madison has a compiled 16-7 win-loss record in 2023, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

French Open
Keys's Record

Kayla Day

Kayla Day

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
256
High
84
LWWLLWWLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 31-18 28-11 3-4 0-1 0-2 0-0
2024 25-30 8-17 12-8 3-1 2-4 0-0
2023 41-25 22-15 18-7 0-2 1-1 0-0
2022 41-21 26-14 13-6 2-1 0-0 0-0
2021 18-12 12-7 6-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 138, Kayla reached the 2nd round after defeating Dalila Jakupovic 6-1 6-1, Miriam Bianca Bulgaru 6-4 6-1, Elina Avanesyan 5-7 6-4 7-67 and Kristina Mladenovic 7-5 6-1.

In the 1st round, Day had a good straight sets win against Mladenovic (7-5 6-1). During the match Day scored 73 points vs Mladenovic’s 56. Day was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about serving, Day recorded 6 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Kayla Day lost the serve once and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Day put 71% of her first serves in, winning 71% (37/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (9/21) on the 2nd serve. The American was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Mladenovic 4 times.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title the W100 Bonita Springs where she overcame Ann Li in the final 6-2 6-2.

The American has a composed 21-12 win-loss record in 2023, 17-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2017. See her history.

French Open
Day's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Keys
K.Day
1h:41
1h:41
Time on court​
!
7h:27
7h:27
1h:41
1h:41
Last match​
1h:40
1h:40
1
1
Match played
!
4
4
23
23
Games Played​
85
85
3
3
Set played​​
9
9
83
83
Total points​
313
313
83
83
Avg point​
78.3
78.3
36
36
Winners
114
114
36
36
Avg Winners​
28.5
28.5
43%
43%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
10
10
7
7
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
0
0
Double Faults
7
7
0
0
Avg Double Faults
1.8
1.8
36/47
36/47
1st won total​
114/173
114/173
!
77%
77%
1st won %
66%
66%
14/27
14/27
2nd won total​
51/105
51/105
52%
52%
2nd won %
49%
49%
-- Break Points --
4/11
4/11
BP won
23/36
23/36
4/11
4/11
Avg BP won
5.8/9
5.8/9
36%
36%
Won
!
64%
64%
3
3
Conceded
27
27
3
3
Avg Conceded
6.8
6.8
1
1
Broken
12
12
1
1
Avg Broken
3
3
2
2
Saved
15
15
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Keys Day
Match played 1 4
Tot Set 3 9
Tot Games 23 85
Pts 83-65 313-245
Total Points 148 558
Winners 36 114
%Winners 43% 36%

Keys played 1 match while Day competed in 4 matches. Day started her run from the qualifications while Keys had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Madison Keys surrendered 1 set, while Kayla Day conceded 1 set. Keys has played 6 set(s) less than Day (3 vs 9). Therefore, Keys played 62 games less than Day. The American scored 36 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 114 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Keys Day
Aces 7 10
Avg per match 7 2.5
1st in 47/74 173/278
%1st in 64% 62%
1st pts 36/47 114/173
%1st pts 77% 66%
2nd pts 14/27 51/105
%2nd pts 52% 49%

Keys bagged 7 aces . Day fired 10 aces (2.5 per match). Keys won 77% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Day won 66% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Keys Day
Won 4 23
Converted 4/11 23/36
% Converted 36% 64%
Conceded 3 27
Saved 2 15
% Saved 67% 56%
Times Broken 1 12

The American broke her opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Keys surrendered her serve once and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 23 times with a 64% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded.

Keys
R1
Kanepi		 Total
Score 6-1 3-6 6-1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 23 23
pts 83-65 83-65
Total points 148 148
Winners 36 36
%Winners 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 47/74 47/74
% 1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 36/47 36/47
% 1st pts 77% 77%
2nd pts 14/27 14/27
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/11 4/11
Converted % 36% 36%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 2/3 2
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 1 1
Day
Q1
Jakupovic		 Q2
Bianca		 Q3
Avanesyan		 R1
Mladenovic		 Total
Score 6-1 6-1 6-4 6-1 5-7 6-4 7-67 7-5 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 3 2 9
Tot Games 14 17 35 19 85
pts 54-32 70-47 116-110 73-56 313-245
Total points 86 117 226 129 558
Winners 16 21 40 37 114
%Winners 30% 30% 34% 51% 36%
SERVE
Aces 0 2 2 6 10
Double Faults 0 1 1 5 7
1st in 25/41 33/57 63/107 52/73 173/278
% 1st in 61% 58% 59% 71% 62%
1st pts 16/25 21/33 40/63 37/52 114/173
% 1st pts 64% 64% 63% 71% 66%
2nd pts 12/16 10/24 20/44 9/21 51/105
% 2nd pts 75% 42% 45% 43% 49%
Breaks
Won 5 7 7 4 23
Converted 5/7 7/12 7/13 4/4 23/36
Converted % 71% 58% 54% 100% 64%
Conceded 0 7 13 7 27
Saved 0/0 3/7 6/13 6/7 15
Saved % – 43% 46% 86% 175%
Times Broken 0 4 7 1 12

Tennis Scores – French Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Keys
More Stats
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Day

Click for FULL STATS