Denis Shapovalov and Matteo Arnaldi will play each other in the 2^nd round of the French Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on Court 12. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.88
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.92

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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Matteo Arnaldi

There is no head to head record between Denis Shapovalov and Matteo Arnaldi since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Denis Shapovalov

Ranked no. 32, Denis got to the 2^nd round after beating Brandon Nakashima 6-4 7-5 4-6 3-6 6-3.

In the 1^st round, Denis had a tough win against Nakashima to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-4 7-5 4-6 3-6 6-3).During the match, Shapovalov scored less points (5) than Nakashima. In fact, the world no. 32 won 143 points vs Nakashima’s. That means that Shapovalov was more focused during the important points. The Canadian was pretty aggressive to blast 63 winners.

Regarding the service games, Shapovalov struck 6 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 15 double faults. Overall, Denis Shapovalov was very effective on serve to win 75% (63/84) of his 1st serve and 54% (35/65) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The Canadian broke Nakashima 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Shapovalov has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 60% of his matches (271-178). 2-2 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shapovalov has an overall69-38 record in the last 9 years on clay.

Shapovalov has a composed 8-9 win-loss record in 2023, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Matteo Arnaldi

Ranked no. 106, Arnaldi got to the 2^nd round after defeating Daniel Elahi Galan 2-6 6-3 6-0 6-2.

In the 1^st round against Elahi Galan Riveros, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-0 6-2). During the match Arnaldi scored 107 points vs Elahi Galan Riveros’s 82. Arnaldi was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about serving, Arnaldi managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Matteo Arnaldi was extremely efficient on serve to win 73% (41/56) of his 1st serve and 51% (23/45) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Arnaldi broke Elahi Galan Riveros 7 times after converting 64% of his break points (7/11).

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he beat Raul Brancaccio in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Murcia Challenger where he overcame Borna Gojo in the final 6-4 7-6(4).

The Italian has a composed 24-14 win-loss record in 2023, 14-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Matteo has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Shapovalov	Arnaldi
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	5	4
Tot Games	50	31
Pts	143-148	107-82
Total Points	291	189
Winners	63	41
%Winners	44%	38%

Both Shapovalov and Arnaldi played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Denis Shapovalov conceded 2 sets, while Matteo Arnaldi conceded 1 set. Shapovalov has played 1 set more than Arnaldi (5 vs 4). Therefore, Shapovalov played 19 games more than Arnaldi. Shapovalov scored 63 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian managed to score 41 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Shapovalov	Arnaldi
Aces	6	7
Avg per match	6	7
1st in	84/149	56/101
%1st in	56%	55%
1st pts	63/84	41/56
%1st pts	75%	73%
2nd pts	35/65	23/45
%2nd pts	54%	51%

Shapovalov scored 6 aces . Arnaldi blasted 7 aces . Shapovalov won 75% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Shapovalov	Arnaldi
Won	4	7
Converted	4/11	7/11
% Converted	36%	64%
Conceded	11	13
Saved	8	10
% Saved	73%	77%
Times Broken	3	3

The Canadian broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Canadian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Matteo broke his opponent 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. Matteo conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.

Shapovalov
	R1 Nakashima	Total
Score	6-4 7-5 4-6 3-6 6-3
Tot Set	5	5
Tot Games	50	50
pts	143-148	143-148
Total points	291	291
Winners	63	63
%Winners	44%	44%
SERVE
Aces	6	6
Double Faults	15	15
1st in	84/149	84/149
% 1st in	56%	56%
1st pts	63/84	63/84
% 1st pts	75%	75%
2nd pts	35/65	35/65
% 2nd pts	54%	54%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/11	4/11
Converted %	36%	36%
Conceded	11	11
Saved	8/11	8
Saved %	73%	73%
Times Broken	3	3

Arnaldi
	R1 Elahi Galan Riveros	Total
Score	2-6 6-3 6-0 6-2
Tot Set	4	4
Tot Games	31	31
pts	107-82	107-82
Total points	189	189
Winners	41	41
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	56/101	56/101
% 1st in	55%	55%
1st pts	41/56	41/56
% 1st pts	73%	73%
2nd pts	23/45	23/45
% 2nd pts	51%	51%
Breaks
Won	7	7
Converted	7/11	7/11
Converted %	64%	64%
Conceded	13	13
Saved	10/13	10
Saved %	77%	77%
Times Broken	3	3

Tennis Scores – French Open

• Nicolas JarryJarry – Hugo DellienDellien (6-4 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Dominic StrickerStricker (6-3 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Alex MolcanMolcan – Hugo GastonGaston (6-1 7-6⁴ 6-4) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Elias YmerYmer (6-4 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Jeff WolfWolf (1-6 3-6 6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Max PurcellPurcell – Jordan ThompsonThompson (7-5 1-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Fabio FogniniFognini – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-4 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-1 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Jack DraperDraper (6-4 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (6-3 6-2 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Borna CoricCoric – Federico CoriaCoria (7-6³ 6-7⁵ 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Juncheng ShangShang (4-6 2-6 6-2 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Arthur FilsFils (6-1 4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-2 4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Marcos GironGiron – Hamad Medjedovic
  Medjedovic (6-0 6-2 1-6 6-0) – See score progression
• Taro DanielDaniel – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-0 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-1 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Yibing WuWu (7-6⁴ 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-3 6-7⁴ 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-4 7-5 4-6 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (7-5 1-6 6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Benoit PairePaire (7-5 4-6 3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-0 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (1-6 6-7⁵ 6-2 6-0 6-4) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (6-1 5-7 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Pedro CachinCachin – Dominic ThiemThiem (6-3 6-2 6-7¹ 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Luca Van AsscheVan Assche – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (6-1 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (7-6⁵ 6-4 6-7² 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (1-6 6-3 6-4 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Arthur CazauxCazaux (6-1 6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 5-7 6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Oscar OtteOtte (7-5 4-6 6-1 7-6²) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (2-6 6-3 6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Laslo DjereDjere (6-1 3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-4 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Ben SheltonShelton (6-4 3-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Lucas PouillePouille – Jurij RodionovRodionov (6-2 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Constant LestienneLestienne (3-6 1-6 6-2 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Mikael YmerYmer (7-5 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-4 2-6 0-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – John IsnerIsner (6-4 5-7 7-6³ 4-6 7-6⁹) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jiri VeselyVesely (7-5 6-3 4-6 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Hugo GrenierGrenier (6-3 5-7 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Emilio NavaNava (7-6⁵ 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Daniel EvansEvans (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Maxime CressyCressy (6-4 7-6⁶ 6-2) – See score progression
• Radu AlbotAlbot – Patrick KypsonKypson (6-3 6-2 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (7-6(3) 4-6 4-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Dominic StrickerStricker (6-3 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Nicolas JarryJarry – Hugo DellienDellien (6-4 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Elias YmerYmer (6-4 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Lloyd HarrisHarris (7-6(6) 7-6(0) 6-1) – See score progression
• Alex MolcanMolcan – Hugo GastonGaston (6-1 7-6(4) 6-4) – See score progression
• Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Jeff WolfWolf (1-6 3-6 6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Max PurcellPurcell – Jordan ThompsonThompson (7-5 1-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Richard GasquetGasquet – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Fabio FogniniFognini – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Sebastian BaezBaez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (4-0) – H2H and prediction
• Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marcos GironGiron – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Lucas PouillePouille – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alex MolcanMolcan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Max PurcellPurcell (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Borna CoricCoric – Pedro CachinCachin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Quentin HalysHalys – Guido PellaPella (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Radu AlbotAlbot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Michael MmohMmoh – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Nicolas JarryJarry (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Andrea VavassoriVavassori – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Andrey RublevRublev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Timofey SkatovSkatov – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Taro DanielDaniel (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Christopher EubanksEubanks (0-0) – H2H and prediction