Grigor Dimitrov and Nicolas Jarry will clash against each other in the final of the Gonet Geneva Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Grigor Dimitrov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Grigor Dimitrov is the pick to win this match.
Grigor Dimitrov -> 1.56
Nicolas Jarry -> 2.43
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Prediction and head to head Grigor Dimitrov vs. Nicolas Jarry
This will be the 2nd time that Grigor Dimitrov and Nicolas Jarry square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Jarry (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Jarry won 2-6 6-4 7-6(2) in the 3rd round in Barcelona back in 2019.
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-10 | 9-6 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 33, the Bulgarian reached the final after beating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-1 6-4, Christopher O Connell 6-75 7-5 6-4 and Taylor Fritz 3-6 7-5 7-62.
In the semifinal against Fritz, Grigor recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 7-62).During the match, Dimitrov scored less points (8) than Fritz. In fact, the world no. 33 won 113 points vs Fritz’s. That means that Dimitrov was more focused during the important points. Dimitrov was pretty aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Regarding the service games, Dimitrov blasted 8 aces and he was not very solid on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Dimitrov put 53% of his first serves in, winning 69% (48/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (29/61) on the 2nd serve. The Bulgarian broke Fritz 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Bulgarian has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Dimitrov has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (303-185). 7-3 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Dimitrov has a compiled 71-45 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Dimitrov’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Rotterdam and Geneva.
Dimitrov has a compiled 15-9 win-loss record in 2023, 7-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Geneva
Nicolas Jarry
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-16 | 2-2 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 19-24 | 8-11 | 9-9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 14-7 | 21-8 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 8-5 | 30-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-22 | 13-4 | 32-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 54, the Chilean reached the final after beating Dusan Lajovic 6-4 6-2, Tallon Griekspoor w/o, Casper Ruud 3-6 7-62 7-5 and Alexander Zverev 7-63 6-3.
In the semifinal, Nicolas had a good straight sets win against Zverev (7-63 6-3). During the match Jarry scored 74 points vs Zverev’s 60. Jarry was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Jarry struck 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nicolas Jarry conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Jarry put 70% of his first serves in, winning 90% (43/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (9/21) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean broke Zverev once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chilean has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Santiago where he beat Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the final 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 6-2.
The Chilean has a compiled 21-9 win-loss record in 2023, 17-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Dimitrov | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 86 | 74 |
| Pts | 285-260 | 233-192 |
| Total Points | 545 | 425 |
| Winners | 123 | 112 |
| %Winners | 43% | 48% |
Both Dimitrov and Jarry played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Grigor Dimitrov conceded 2 sets, while Nicolas Jarry lost 1 set. Dimitrov has played 1 set more than Jarry (8 vs 7). Therefore, Dimitrov played 12 games more than Jarry. The Bulgarian scored 123 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Jarry blasted 112 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Dimitrov | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 29 |
| Avg per match | 8.3 | 9.7 |
| 1st in | 160/286 | 131/198 |
| %1st in | 56% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 123/160 | 112/131 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 65/126 | 41/67 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 61% |
Dimitrov blasted 25 aces (8.3 per match). Jarry scored 29 aces (9.7 per match). Dimitrov won 77% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Jarry won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Dimitrov | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 6 |
| Converted | 11/23 | 6/14 |
| % Converted | 48% | 43% |
| Conceded | 21 | 5 |
| Saved | 15 | 3 |
| % Saved | 71% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 |
Grigor broke his opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. Dimitrov dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Chilean broke his opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Jarry conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Dimitrov | |||||
| R2 Carballes Baena |
1/4 O |
1/2 Fritz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-75 7-5 6-4 | 3-6 7-5 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 35 | 34 | 86 | |
| pts | 54-37 | 118-102 | 113-121 | 285-260 | |
| Total points | 91 | 220 | 234 | 545 | |
| Winners | 23 | 52 | 48 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 44% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 13 | 8 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 27/48 | 63/107 | 70/131 | 160/286 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 59% | 53% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 23/27 | 52/63 | 48/70 | 123/160 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 83% | 69% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 22/44 | 29/61 | 65/126 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 50% | 48% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/10 | 4/8 | 11/23 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 40% | 50% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 8 | 13 | 21 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 6/8 | 9/13 | 15 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 69% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Jarry | ||||||
| R1 Lajovic |
R2 Griekspoor |
1/4 Ruud |
1/2 Zverev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | w/o | 3-6 7-62 7-5 | 7-63 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | – | 34 | 22 | 74 | |
| pts | 59-38 | – | 100-94 | 74-60 | 233-192 | |
| Total points | 97 | – | 194 | 134 | 425 | |
| Winners | 27 | – | 42 | 43 | 112 | |
| %Winners | 46% | – | 42% | 58% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 10 | – | 12 | 7 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | – | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 32/42 | – | 51/87 | 48/69 | 131/198 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | – | 59% | 70% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 27/32 | – | 42/51 | 43/48 | 112/131 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | – | 82% | 90% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/10 | – | 23/36 | 9/21 | 41/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 90% | – | 64% | 43% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | – | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | – | 2/5 | 1/3 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 50% | – | 40% | 33% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 0 | – | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | – | 2/4 | 1/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 50% | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-0) – H2H and prediction
