Aslan Karatsev and Nicolas Moreno De Alboran will square off in the qualifications of the French Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on Court 7. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aslan Karatsev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aslan Karatsev is the pick to win this match.
Aslan Karatsev -> 1.28
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran -> 3.5
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Prediction and head to head Aslan Karatsev vs. Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
There is no head to head record between Aslan Karatsev and Nicolas Moreno De Alboran since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Aslan Karatsev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-11 | 14-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 12-18 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-22 | 13-10 | 14-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-31 | 8-9 | 5-9 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 23-9 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 62, the Russian got to the qualifications after beating Pierre-Hugues Herbert 7-62 7-61 and Nick Hardt 7-5 6-3.
In the qualifications, Aslan had a good straight sets win against Hardt (7-5 6-3). During the match, Karatsev scored 80 points vs Hardt’s 66. Aslan was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Karatsev struck 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Aslan Karatsev lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Karatsev put 67% of his first serves in, winning 71% (32/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (8/22) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Hardt 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
Karatsev has good match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (319-218). 12-4 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Karatsev has a composed 113-79 record in the last years on clay.
Aslan’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Pune and Madrid.
The Russian has a compiled 17-9 win-loss record in 2023, 12-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-35 | 21-12 | 27-19 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-30 | 25-16 | 10-8 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-20 | 8-2 | 28-17 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-20 | 22-11 | 22-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 187, the Spaniard got to the qualifications after beating Yu Hsiou Hsu 6-1 3-6 6-1 and Aleksandar Vukic 4-6 7-64 6-2.
In the qualifications against Vukic, The Spaniard recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-64 6-2). During the match Moreno De Alboran scored 107 points vs Vukic’s 99. Moreno De Alboran was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Moreno De Alboran fired 5 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Nicolas Moreno De Alboran lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Moreno De Alboran put 56% of his first serves in, winning 71% (41/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (22/45) on the 2nd serve. Moreno De Alboran broke Vukic 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Moreno De Alboran started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Spaniard’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Chennai Challenger.
Moreno De Alboran has an aggregate 20-14 win-loss record in 2023, 10-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Moreno De Alboran has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Karatsev | Moreno De Alboran |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 47 | 54 |
| Pts | 172-143 | 198-176 |
| Total Points | 315 | 374 |
| Winners | 72 | 72 |
| %Winners | 42% | 36% |
Both Karatsev and Moreno De Alboran played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Nicolas Moreno De Alboran surrendered 2 sets while Aslan Karatsev hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Karatsev has played 2 set(s) less than Moreno De Alboran (4 vs 6). Therefore, Karatsev played 7 games less than Moreno De Alboran. Karatsev scored 72 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard made 72 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Karatsev | Moreno De Alboran |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 99/156 | 110/190 |
| %1st in | 63% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 72/99 | 72/110 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 26/57 | 40/80 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 50% |
Karatsev recorded 5 aces (2.5 per match). Moreno De Alboran recorded 10 aces (5 per match). Karatsev won 73% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Moreno De Alboran won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Karatsev | Moreno De Alboran |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 12 |
| Converted | 7/15 | 12/28 |
| % Converted | 47% | 43% |
| Conceded | 7 | 19 |
| Saved | 3 | 12 |
| % Saved | 43% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 |
Aslan broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. Aslan lost his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. Nicolas broke his opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. Nicolas conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Karatsev | ||||
| Q1 Herbert |
Q2 Hardt |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 7-61 | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 21 | 47 | |
| pts | 92-77 | 80-66 | 172-143 | |
| Total points | 169 | 146 | 315 | |
| Winners | 40 | 32 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 54/89 | 45/67 | 99/156 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 67% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 40/54 | 32/45 | 72/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 71% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/35 | 8/22 | 26/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 36% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 5/12 | 7/15 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 42% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 2/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 50% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Moreno De Alboran | ||||
| Q1 Hsiou Hsu |
Q2 Vukic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 3-6 6-1 | 4-6 7-64 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 31 | 54 | |
| pts | 91-77 | 107-99 | 198-176 | |
| Total points | 168 | 206 | 374 | |
| Winners | 31 | 41 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 38% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 52/87 | 58/103 | 110/190 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 56% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 31/52 | 41/58 | 72/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 71% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/35 | 22/45 | 40/80 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 49% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 7/17 | 5/11 | 12/28 | |
| Converted % | 41% | 45% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 8 | 19 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 4/8 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 50% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWLWLLW
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