Cameron Norrie and Sebastian Baez will clash against each other in the quarter of the Open Parc for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cameron Norrie who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cameron Norrie is the pick to win this match.
Cameron Norrie -> 1.48
Sebastian Baez -> 2.65
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Prediction and head to head Cameron Norrie vs. Sebastian Baez
This will be the 2nd time that Cameron Norrie and Sebastian Baez clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Norrie (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Norrie won 6-4 4-6 7-5 in the quarter in Lyon back in 2022.
Cameron Norrie
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15-14 | 7-4 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-25 | 14-12 | 18-7 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 26-11 | 11-5 | 6-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-25 | 25-11 | 16-5 | 9-7 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-15 | 9-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, Cameron reached the quarter after defeating David Goffin 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Norrie had a good straight sets win against Goffin (6-3 6-4). During the match, Norrie scored 68 points vs Goffin’s 55. Norrie was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Norrie managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Cameron Norrie lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Norrie put 63% of his first serves in, winning 76% (31/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. Cameron broke Goffin 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Norrie has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (324-182). 15-5 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Norrie has an aggregate 57-34 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Rio de Janeiro where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 5-7 6-4 7-5.
The Brit has an overall 26-9 win-loss record in 2023, 15-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Lyon
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-15 | 3-5 | 20-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-13 | 10-3 | 18-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 44, Baez got to the quarter after beating Marton Fucsovics 6-4 7-65 and Pedro Cachin 3-6 7-5 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Cachin, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-2). During the match Baez scored 105 points vs Cachin’s 99. Baez was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Baez couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Sebastian Baez lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 71% of his first serves in, winning 67% (44/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (11/27) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Cachin 6 times after converting 38% of his break points (6/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Cordoba where he overcame Federico Coria in the final 6-1 3-6 6-3.
Baez has a compiled 17-14 win-loss record in 2023, 16-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Lyon
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Norrie | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 52 |
| Pts | 68-55 | 193-174 |
| Total Points | 123 | 367 |
| Winners | 31 | 75 |
| %Winners | 46% | 39% |
Norrie played 1 match while Baez competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Sebastian Baez dropped 1 set while Cameron Norrie hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Norrie has played 3 set(s) less than Baez (2 vs 5). Therefore, Norrie played 33 games less than Baez. Norrie scored 31 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Baez struck 75 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Norrie | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 41/65 | 113/164 |
| %1st in | 63% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 31/41 | 75/113 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 28/51 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 55% |
Norrie scored 5 aces . Baez fired 1 ace (0.5 per match). Norrie won 76% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 66% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Norrie | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 9 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 9/26 |
| % Converted | 50% | 35% |
| Conceded | 6 | 17 |
| Saved | 5 | 11 |
| % Saved | 83% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 |
The Brit broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Brit lost his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Sebastian broke his opponents 9 times with a 35% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Norrie | |||
| R2 Goffin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 68-55 | 68-55 | |
| Total points | 123 | 123 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 41/65 | 41/65 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 31/41 | 31/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 12/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Baez | ||||
| R1 Fucsovics |
R2 Cachin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-65 | 3-6 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 29 | 52 | |
| pts | 88-75 | 105-99 | 193-174 | |
| Total points | 163 | 204 | 367 | |
| Winners | 31 | 44 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 42% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 47/71 | 66/93 | 113/164 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 71% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 31/47 | 44/66 | 75/113 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 67% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/24 | 11/27 | 28/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 41% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 6/16 | 9/26 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 38% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 10 | 17 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 6/10 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 60% | 131% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLLWLWL
LLLWLWWLWW Tennis Scores in Lyon
- Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Aleksandr Nedovyesov/Miguel-Angel Reyes-VarelaNedovyesov/Miguel-Angel Reyes-Varela (4-6 6-3 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nicolas Barrientos/Albano OlivettiBarrientos/Albano Olivetti – Sander Gille/Joran VliegenGille/Joran Vliegen (6-3 6-79 12-10) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Tommy PaulPaul – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
