Dominik Koepfer and Federico Gaio will play each other in the final of the Turin Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:00 pm on INDOOR 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dominik Koepfer who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Dominik Koepfer is the pick to win this match.
Dominik Koepfer -> 1.3
Federico Gaio -> 3.36
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Prediction and head to head Dominik Koepfer vs. Federico Gaio
This will be the 2nd time that Dominik Koepfer and Federico Gaio fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Koepfer (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Koepfer won 6-4 4-6 7-6(5) in the quarter in the Mexico City Challenger back in March 2023.
Dominik Koepfer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-15 | 10-5 | 4-7 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-19 | 7-6 | 24-5 | 6-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-14 | 12-9 | 0-0 | 7-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-30 | 10-12 | 10-9 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-12 | 3-4 | 8-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 149, Koepfer got to the final after beating Giulio Zeppieri 6-2 6-2, Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 5-7 7-5, Edoardo Lavagno 6-3 6-1 and Daniel Elahi Galan 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal, Koepfer had a good straight sets win against Elahi Galan Riveros (6-4 6-2). During the match, Koepfer scored 61 points vs Elahi Galan Riveros’s 44. Koepfer was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Koepfer bagged 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Dominik Koepfer was extremely efficient on serve to win 87% (27/31) of his 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Koepfer broke Elahi Galan Riveros 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Koepfer has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (256-167). 21-4 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Koepfer has an overall70-42 record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Mexico City Challenger where he defeated Thiago Agustin Tirante in the final 2-6 6-4 6-2.
Dominik has an overall 21-7 win-loss record in 2023, 21-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Turin Challenger
Dominik has never competed in this tournament before.
Federico Gaio
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-15 | 2-7 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 14-12 | 25-15 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-28 | 9-9 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-38 | 6-8 | 14-16 | 13-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-19 | 5-4 | 10-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 337, Gaio got to the final after beating Andrea Gola 6-2 6-3, Oscar Otte 6-4 7-5, Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-1 4-6 5-2 ret., Andrea Collarini 6-4 6-3 and Sebastian Baez 7-5 6-3.
In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Baez (7-5 6-3). During the match Gaio scored 62 points vs Baez’s 49. Federico was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Gaio scored 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Federico Gaio lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Gaio put 62% of his first serves in, winning 82% (32/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (10/24) on the 2nd serve. Gaio broke Baez 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Federico started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Gaio’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Monastir and M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio.
Federico has a compiled 30-13 win-loss record in 2023, 20-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Koepfer | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 84 | 103 |
| Pts | 296-225 | 341-266 |
| Total Points | 521 | 607 |
| Winners | 113 | 152 |
| %Winners | 38% | 45% |
Koepfer played 4 matches while Gaio competed in 5 matches. Gaio started his run from the qualifications while Koepfer had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Dominik Koepfer dropped 1 set, while Federico Gaio conceded 1 set. Koepfer has played 3 set(s) less than Gaio (9 vs 12). Therefore, Koepfer played 19 games less than Gaio. Dominik scored 113 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Federico made 152 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Koepfer | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 22 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| 1st in | 146/244 | 198/317 |
| %1st in | 60% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 113/146 | 152/198 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 52/98 | 63/119 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 53% |
Koepfer struck 17 aces (4.3 per match). Gaio struck 22 aces (4.4 per match). Koepfer won 77% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Gaio won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Koepfer | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 19 |
| Converted | 19/40 | 19/33 |
| % Converted | 48% | 58% |
| Conceded | 15 | 23 |
| Saved | 8 | 16 |
| % Saved | 53% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 7 |
Koepfer broke his opponents 19 times with a 48% conversion rate. Dominik dropped his serve 7 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded. Federico broke his opponents 19 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Koepfer | ||||||
| R1 Zeppieri |
R2 Pablo Patino-Samudio |
1/4 Lavagno |
1/2 Elahi Galan Riveros |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 5-7 7-5 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 84 | |
| pts | 57-33 | 115-108 | 63-40 | 61-44 | 296-225 | |
| Total points | 90 | 223 | 103 | 105 | 521 | |
| Winners | 22 | 42 | 22 | 27 | 113 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 37% | 35% | 44% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 25/42 | 61/111 | 29/46 | 31/45 | 146/244 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 55% | 63% | 69% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 22/25 | 42/61 | 22/29 | 27/31 | 113/146 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 69% | 76% | 87% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 24/50 | 10/17 | 9/14 | 52/98 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 48% | 59% | 64% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 6/17 | 5/8 | 3/5 | 19/40 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 35% | 63% | 60% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 15 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 8/13 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 62% | 0% | – | 16% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |
| Gaio | |||||||
| Q3 Gola |
R1 Otte |
R2 Ugo |
1/4 Collarini |
1/2 Baez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-1 4-6 5-2 ret. | 6-4 6-3 | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 22 | 24 | 19 | 21 | 103 | |
| pts | 56-36 | 75-65 | 85-68 | 63-48 | 62-49 | 341-266 | |
| Total points | 92 | 140 | 153 | 111 | 111 | 607 | |
| Winners | 23 | 28 | 38 | 31 | 32 | 152 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 37% | 45% | 49% | 52% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 25/46 | 35/62 | 58/87 | 41/59 | 39/63 | 198/317 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 56% | 67% | 69% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 23/25 | 28/35 | 38/58 | 31/41 | 32/39 | 152/198 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 80% | 66% | 76% | 82% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 12/27 | 17/29 | 10/18 | 10/24 | 63/119 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 44% | 59% | 56% | 42% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/11 | 5/7 | 3/4 | 4/6 | 19/33 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 36% | 71% | 75% | 67% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 23 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/3 | 8/10 | 5/6 | 1/3 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | 80% | 83% | 33% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Federico GaioGaio – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (0-1) – H2H and prediction
