Elena Rybakina and Anhelina Kalinina will fight against each other in the final of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.34
Anhelina Kalinina -> 3.26
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Anhelina Kalinina
This will be the 2nd time that Elena Rybakina and Anhelina Kalinina face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kalinina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Kalinina won 6-4 2-6 6-4 in the 2nd round in Charleston back in 2022.
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-9 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6 (career-high), Rybakina got to the final after defeating Jasmine Paolini 7-64 6-1, Anna Kalinskaya 4-3 ret., Marketa Vondrousova 6-3 6-3, Iga Swiatek 2-6 7-63 2-2 ret. and Jelena Ostapenko 6-2 6-4.
In the semifinal, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Ostapenko (6-2 6-4). During the match, Rybakina scored 71 points vs Ostapenko’s 54. The Kazakhstani was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rybakina struck 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 60% of her first serves in, winning 78% (31/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (11/27) on the 2nd serve. Rybakina broke Ostapenko 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rybakina hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Rybakina has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (271-124). 8-2 on clay in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has a composed72-34 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Indian Wells where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-6(11) 6-4.
Rybakina has a compiled 29-7 win-loss record in 2023, 8-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Anhelina Kalinina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-24 | 8-14 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-25 | 18-16 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 8-10 | 8-5 | 13-3 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 47-15 | 5-6 | 31-4 | 9-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-11 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 47, Kalinina got to the final after defeating Anna Blinkova 6-2 6-2, Sofia Kenin 6-4 6-2, Madison Keys 2-6 6-2 6-4, Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-72 7-66 6-3 and Veronika Kudermetova 7-5 5-7 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Ukrainian defeated Kudermetova (7-5 5-7 6-2). During the match Kalinina scored 102 points vs Kudermetova’s 100. The Ukrainian was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Kalinina blasted 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Anhelina Kalinina lost the serve 3 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Kalinina put 59% of her first serves in, winning 65% (39/60) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (22/42) on the 2nd serve. Kalinina broke Kudermetova 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Anhelina has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Anhelina’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Rome.
Kalinina has a composed 15-10 win-loss record in 2023, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Kalinina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 12 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 88 | 127 |
| Pts | 314-275 | 450-400 |
| Total Points | 589 | 850 |
| Winners | 137 | 181 |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% |
Both Rybakina and Kalinina played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina lost 1 set, while Anhelina Kalinina surrendered 3 sets. Rybakina has played 1 set(s) less than Kalinina (12 vs 13). Therefore, Rybakina played 39 games less than Kalinina. The Kazakhstani scored 137 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Anhelina recorded 181 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Kalinina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 29 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 5.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st in | 191/328 | 289/446 |
| %1st in | 58% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 137/191 | 181/289 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 58/137 | 78/157 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 50% |
Rybakina managed to score 29 aces (5.8 per match). Kalinina recorded 14 aces (2.8 per match). Rybakina won 72% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Kalinina won 63% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Kalinina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 27 |
| Converted | 16/29 | 27/53 |
| % Converted | 55% | 51% |
| Conceded | 36 | 46 |
| Saved | 26 | 31 |
| % Saved | 72% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 15 |
Elena broke her opponents 16 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani lost her serve 10 times and she saved 72% of the break points that she conceded. The Ukrainian broke her opponents 27 times with a 51% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve 15 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||||||
| R2 Paolini |
R3 Kalinskaya |
R4 Vondrousova |
1/4 Swiatek |
1/2 Ostapenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-1 | 4-3 ret. | 6-3 6-3 | 2-6 7-63 2-2 ret. | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 18 | 88 | |
| pts | 74-59 | 25-23 | 63-51 | 81-88 | 71-54 | 314-275 | |
| Total points | 133 | 48 | 114 | 169 | 125 | 589 | |
| Winners | 28 | 11 | 27 | 40 | 31 | 137 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 44% | 43% | 49% | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 44/77 | 16/28 | 37/60 | 54/96 | 40/67 | 191/328 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | 62% | 56% | 60% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 28/44 | 11/16 | 27/37 | 40/54 | 31/40 | 137/191 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 69% | 73% | 74% | 78% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 5/12 | 9/23 | 17/42 | 11/27 | 58/137 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 42% | 39% | 40% | 41% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 1/5 | 5/7 | 1/1 | 4/9 | 16/29 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 20% | 71% | 100% | 44% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 36 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 4/5 | 6/8 | 7/10 | 3/4 | 26 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 80% | 75% | 70% | 75% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | |
| Kalinina | |||||||
| R2 Blinkova |
R3 Kenin |
R4 Keys |
1/4 Haddad Maia |
1/2 Kudermetova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | 2-6 6-2 6-4 | 6-72 7-66 6-3 | 7-5 5-7 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 18 | 26 | 35 | 32 | 127 | |
| pts | 67-46 | 67-52 | 88-81 | 126-121 | 102-100 | 450-400 | |
| Total points | 113 | 119 | 169 | 247 | 202 | 850 | |
| Winners | 27 | 29 | 41 | 45 | 39 | 181 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 43% | 47% | 36% | 38% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 40/59 | 45/65 | 65/99 | 79/121 | 60/102 | 289/446 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 69% | 66% | 65% | 59% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 27/40 | 29/45 | 41/65 | 45/79 | 39/60 | 181/289 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 64% | 63% | 57% | 65% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 12/20 | 12/34 | 20/42 | 22/42 | 78/157 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 60% | 35% | 48% | 52% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 27 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/7 | 6/11 | 8/15 | 5/10 | 27/53 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 57% | 55% | 53% | 50% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 46 | |
| Saved | 7/7 | 4/5 | 6/11 | 5/11 | 9/12 | 31 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 80% | 55% | 45% | 75% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 15 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLWWWWWLW
LLLWLLLWWL Tennis Scores in Rome
- Tomislav BrkicBrkic – Adelchi VirgiliVirgili (7-62 4-6 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
