Sebastian Baez and Federico Gaio will square off in the semifinal of the Turin Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.22
Federico Gaio -> 4.05
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Federico Gaio
There is no head to head record between Sebastian Baez and Federico Gaio since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-16 | 3-5 | 20-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-13 | 10-3 | 18-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 40, Sebastian got to the semifinal after defeating Riccardo Bonadio 6-4 6-2 and Thiago Seyboth Wild 6-4 3-6 6-3.
In the quarter, Baez defeated Seyboth Wild (6-4 3-6 6-3). During the match, Baez scored 98 points vs Seyboth Wild’s 91. The Argentine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about the service games, Baez bagged 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Sebastian Baez lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 62% of his first serves in, winning 69% (43/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (22/38) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Seyboth Wild twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has lost 1 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.
Baez has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (202-107). 14-8 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Baez has an aggregate178-73 record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Cordoba where he beat Federico Coria in the final 6-1 3-6 6-3.
The Argentine has an overall 15-13 win-loss record in 2023, 14-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Turin Challenger
Sebastian has never competed in this tournament before.
Federico Gaio
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-15 | 2-7 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 14-12 | 25-15 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-28 | 9-9 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-38 | 6-8 | 14-16 | 13-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-19 | 5-4 | 10-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 337, the Italian reached the semifinal after defeating Andrea Gola 6-2 6-3, Oscar Otte 6-4 7-5, Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-1 4-6 5-2 ret. and Andrea Collarini 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Collarini (6-4 6-3). During the match Gaio scored 63 points vs Collarini’s 48. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Gaio recorded 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Federico Gaio was quite effective on serve to win 76% (31/41) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Federico broke Collarini 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Federico started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Gaio’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Monastir and M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio.
Federico has an overall 29-13 win-loss record in 2023, 19-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Baez | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 46 | 82 |
| Pts | 161-143 | 279-217 |
| Total Points | 304 | 496 |
| Winners | 69 | 120 |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% |
Baez played 2 matches while Gaio competed in 4 matches. Gaio started his run from the qualifications while Baez had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Sebastian Baez surrendered 1 set, while Federico Gaio lost 1 set. Baez has played 5 set(s) less than Gaio (5 vs 10). Therefore, Baez played 36 games less than Gaio. Sebastian scored 69 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian scored 120 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Baez | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 97/157 | 159/254 |
| %1st in | 62% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 69/97 | 120/159 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 34/60 | 53/95 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 56% |
Baez scored 4 aces (2 per match). Gaio struck 17 aces (4.3 per match). Baez won 71% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Gaio won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Baez | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 15 |
| Converted | 6/14 | 15/27 |
| % Converted | 43% | 56% |
| Conceded | 15 | 20 |
| Saved | 13 | 15 |
| % Saved | 87% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Baez dropped his serve twice and he saved 87% of the break points that he conceded. Gaio broke his opponents 15 times with a 56% conversion rate. Gaio conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Baez | ||||
| R2 Bonadio |
1/4 Seyboth |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 28 | 46 | |
| pts | 63-52 | 98-91 | 161-143 | |
| Total points | 115 | 189 | 304 | |
| Winners | 26 | 43 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 44% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 35/57 | 62/100 | 97/157 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 43/62 | 69/97 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 69% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 22/38 | 34/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 58% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 2/5 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 40% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 5 | 15 | |
| Saved | 9/10 | 4/5 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 90% | 80% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Gaio | ||||||
| Q3 Gola |
R1 Otte |
R2 Ugo |
1/4 Collarini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-1 4-6 5-2 ret. | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 22 | 24 | 19 | 82 | |
| pts | 56-36 | 75-65 | 85-68 | 63-48 | 279-217 | |
| Total points | 92 | 140 | 153 | 111 | 496 | |
| Winners | 23 | 28 | 38 | 31 | 120 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 37% | 45% | 49% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 25/46 | 35/62 | 58/87 | 41/59 | 159/254 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 56% | 67% | 69% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 23/25 | 28/35 | 38/58 | 31/41 | 120/159 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 80% | 66% | 76% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 12/27 | 17/29 | 10/18 | 53/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 44% | 59% | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/11 | 5/7 | 3/4 | 15/27 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 36% | 71% | 75% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 20 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/3 | 8/10 | 5/6 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | 80% | 83% | 148% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLWWLW
WWLWWWLLWW Tennis Scores in Turin Challenger
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Edoardo LavagnoLavagno (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Federico GaioGaio – Andrea CollariniCollarini (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Federico GaioGaio (0-0) – H2H and prediction
