Elena Rybakina and Jelena Ostapenko will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 7:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.6
Jelena Ostapenko -> 2.34
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Jelena Ostapenko
This will be the 4th time that Elena Rybakina and Jelena Ostapenko face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Ostapenko (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Rybakina won 6-2 6-4 in the quarter in at the Australian Open back in January 2023.
Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Jelena Ostapenko – Australian Open 24-January-2023
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-7 | 22-4 | 12-2 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6 (career-high), Rybakina reached the semifinal after beating Jasmine Paolini 7-64 6-1, Anna Kalinskaya 4-3 ret., Marketa Vondrousova 6-3 6-3 and Iga Swiatek 2-6 7-63 2-2 ret..
In the quarter against Swiatek, Elena had a free pass after Swiatek retired on a 2-6 7-63 2-2 . scoreline.
Rybakina has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (270-124). 7-2 on clay in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Rybakina has an overall71-34 record in the last 9 years on clay.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Indian Wells where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-6(11) 6-4.
Elena has an overall 28-7 win-loss record in 2023, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Jelena Ostapenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-13 | 13-6 | 8-5 | 4-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, the Latvian reached the semifinal after beating Sorana Cirstea 6-3 3-6 6-2, Barbora Krejcikova 7-62 6-0, Daria Kasatkina 6-4 4-6 6-0 and Paula Badosa Gibert 6-2 4-6 6-3.
In the quarter, Jelena defeated Badosa (6-2 4-6 6-3). During the match Ostapenko scored 87 points vs Badosa’s 74. Ostapenko was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Ostapenko struck 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 61% of her first serves in, winning 64% (30/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (16/30) on the 2nd serve. Jelena broke Badosa 7 times after converting 54% of her break points (7/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Latvian has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
The Latvian has an overall 18-10 win-loss record in 2023, 6-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2018 and 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 70 | 98 |
| Pts | 243-221 | 362-289 |
| Total Points | 464 | 651 |
| Winners | 106 | 120 |
| %Winners | 44% | 33% |
Both Rybakina and Ostapenko played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina lost 1 set, while Jelena Ostapenko lost 3 sets. Rybakina has played 1 set(s) less than Ostapenko (10 vs 11). Therefore, Rybakina played 28 games less than Ostapenko. The Kazakhstani scored 106 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Latvian blasted 120 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 23 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 5.8 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 151/261 | 185/314 |
| %1st in | 58% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 106/151 | 120/185 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 47/110 | 75/129 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 58% |
Rybakina bagged 23 aces (5.8 per match). Ostapenko blasted 14 aces (3.5 per match). Rybakina won 70% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Ostapenko won 65% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 24 |
| Converted | 12/20 | 24/53 |
| % Converted | 60% | 45% |
| Conceded | 32 | 36 |
| Saved | 23 | 23 |
| % Saved | 72% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 13 |
Elena broke her opponents 12 times with a 60% conversion rate. Rybakina conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 72% of the break points that she conceded. Jelena broke her opponents 24 times with a 45% conversion rate. Jelena conceded her serve 13 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | ||||||
| R2 Paolini |
R3 Kalinskaya |
R4 Vondrousova |
1/4 Swiatek |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-1 | 4-3 ret. | 6-3 6-3 | 2-6 7-63 2-2 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 70 | |
| pts | 74-59 | 25-23 | 63-51 | 81-88 | 243-221 | |
| Total points | 133 | 48 | 114 | 169 | 464 | |
| Winners | 28 | 11 | 27 | 40 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 44% | 43% | 49% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 44/77 | 16/28 | 37/60 | 54/96 | 151/261 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | 62% | 56% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 28/44 | 11/16 | 27/37 | 40/54 | 106/151 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 69% | 73% | 74% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 5/12 | 9/23 | 17/42 | 47/110 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 42% | 39% | 40% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 1/5 | 5/7 | 1/1 | 12/20 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 20% | 71% | 100% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 4/5 | 6/8 | 7/10 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 80% | 75% | 70% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Ostapenko | ||||||
| R2 Cirstea |
R3 Krejcikova |
R4 Kasatkina |
1/4 Badosa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-2 | 7-62 6-0 | 6-4 4-6 6-0 | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 19 | 26 | 27 | 98 | |
| pts | 111-94 | 61-40 | 103-81 | 87-74 | 362-289 | |
| Total points | 205 | 101 | 184 | 161 | 651 | |
| Winners | 36 | 21 | 33 | 30 | 120 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 34% | 32% | 34% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 61/99 | 28/52 | 49/86 | 47/77 | 185/314 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 54% | 57% | 61% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 36/61 | 21/28 | 33/49 | 30/47 | 120/185 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 75% | 67% | 64% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/38 | 14/24 | 22/37 | 16/30 | 75/129 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 58% | 59% | 53% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | |
| Converted | 6/17 | 5/6 | 6/17 | 7/13 | 24/53 | |
| Converted % | 35% | 83% | 35% | 54% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 36 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 1/3 | 7/10 | 6/10 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 33% | 70% | 60% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWLWWWW
WWWLWLLWLW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Cori Gauff/Jessica PegulaGauff/Jessica Pegula – Desirae Krawczyk/Demi SchuursKrawczyk/Demi Schuurs (4-6 7-65 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tomislav BrkicBrkic – Pascal MeisMeis (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (1-1) – H2H and prediction
