Jelena Ostapenko and Paula Badosa Gibert will face off in the quarter of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa Gibert who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Paula Badosa Gibert is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 1.48
Jelena Ostapenko -> 2.65
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Paula Badosa Gibert
This will be the 4th time that Jelena Ostapenko and Paula Badosa Gibert fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Badosa (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Badosa won 7-6(1) 6-1 in the 1st round in Sydney back in 2022.
Highlights Paula Badosa Gibert vs Jelena Ostapenko – Sydney 10-January-2022
Jelena Ostapenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-19 | 14-10 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, the Latvian reached the quarter after defeating Sorana Cirstea 6-3 3-6 6-2, Barbora Krejcikova 7-62 6-0 and Daria Kasatkina 6-4 4-6 6-0.
In the 4th round, Jelena defeated Kasatkina (6-4 4-6 6-0). During the match, Ostapenko scored 103 points vs Kasatkina’s 81. The Latvian was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ostapenko scored 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 3 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 57% of her first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (22/37) on the 2nd serve. The Latvian broke Kasatkina 6 times after converting 35% of her break points (6/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jelena has dropped 2 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Ostapenko has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (305-195). 5-2 on clay in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ostapenko has an overall 87-42 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Jelena has a compiled 17-10 win-loss record in 2023, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Paula Badosa Gibert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-18 | 26-11 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-9 | 7-6 | 6-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, the Spaniard got to the quarter after beating Anna-Lena Friedsam 4-6 6-2 7-62, Ons Jabeur 6-1 6-4, Marta Kostyuk 6-4 6-2 and Karolina Muchova 6-4 6-74 6-2.
In the 4th round, The Spaniard defeated Muchova (6-4 6-74 6-2). During the match Badosa scored 119 points vs Muchova’s 109. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 48 winners.
About the serving games, Badosa bagged 2 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve 4 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 62% of her first serves in, winning 66% (48/73) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (20/44) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Muchova 7 times after converting 64% of her break points (7/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Badosa has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Badosa’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.
Badosa has an overall 17-7 win-loss record in 2023, 11-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 71 | 97 |
| Pts | 275-215 | 362-315 |
| Total Points | 490 | 677 |
| Winners | 90 | 131 |
| %Winners | 33% | 36% |
Ostapenko played 3 matches while Badosa competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jelena Ostapenko lost 2 sets, while Paula Badosa Gibert surrendered 2 sets. Ostapenko has played 2 set(s) less than Badosa (8 vs 10). Therefore, Ostapenko played 26 games less than Badosa. Ostapenko scored 90 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard struck 131 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 138/237 | 206/349 |
| %1st in | 58% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 90/138 | 131/206 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 59/99 | 70/143 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 49% |
Ostapenko bagged 10 aces (3.3 per match). Badosa made 10 aces (2.5 per match). Ostapenko won 65% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 64% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 24 |
| Converted | 17/40 | 24/45 |
| % Converted | 43% | 53% |
| Conceded | 26 | 37 |
| Saved | 17 | 23 |
| % Saved | 65% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 14 |
Ostapenko broke her opponents 17 times with a 43% conversion rate. Jelena surrendered her serve 9 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded. Paula broke her opponents 24 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded her serve 14 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | |||||
| R2 Cirstea |
R3 Krejcikova |
R4 Kasatkina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-2 | 7-62 6-0 | 6-4 4-6 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 19 | 26 | 71 | |
| pts | 111-94 | 61-40 | 103-81 | 275-215 | |
| Total points | 205 | 101 | 184 | 490 | |
| Winners | 36 | 21 | 33 | 90 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 34% | 32% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 61/99 | 28/52 | 49/86 | 138/237 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 54% | 57% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 36/61 | 21/28 | 33/49 | 90/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 75% | 67% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/38 | 14/24 | 22/37 | 59/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 58% | 59% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17 | |
| Converted | 6/17 | 5/6 | 6/17 | 17/40 | |
| Converted % | 35% | 83% | 35% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 3 | 10 | 26 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 1/3 | 7/10 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 33% | 70% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Badosa | ||||||
| R1 Friedsam |
R2 Jabeur |
R3 Kostyuk |
R4 Muchova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 7-62 | 6-1 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-74 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 17 | 18 | 31 | 97 | |
| pts | 109-99 | 60-45 | 74-62 | 119-109 | 362-315 | |
| Total points | 208 | 105 | 136 | 228 | 677 | |
| Winners | 38 | 24 | 21 | 48 | 131 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 40% | 28% | 40% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 60/108 | 36/57 | 37/67 | 73/117 | 206/349 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 63% | 55% | 62% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 38/60 | 24/36 | 21/37 | 48/73 | 131/206 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 67% | 57% | 66% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/48 | 10/21 | 13/30 | 20/44 | 70/143 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 48% | 43% | 45% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 24 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/9 | 7/14 | 7/11 | 24/45 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 56% | 50% | 64% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 37 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 1/3 | 6/10 | 10/14 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 33% | 60% | 71% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLLWWW
Tennis Scores in Rome
- Adelchi VirgiliVirgili – Riccardo BalzeraniBalzerani (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jacopo StefaniniStefanini – Roberto MarcoraMarcora (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tomislav BrkicBrkic – Tobias SimonSimon (3-6 6-3 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (0-3) – H2H and prediction
