Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Federico Gaio will square off in the 2nd round of the Turin Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Federico Gaio who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Federico Gaio is the pick to win this match.
Federico Gaio -> 1.87
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.87
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Federico Gaio
This will be the 2nd time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Federico Gaio fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Gaio (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Gaio won 6-4 5-7 6-4 in the 2nd round in the Santiago Challenger back in March 2023.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-15 | 2-1 | 25-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 152, Camilo reached the 2nd round after beating Nerman Fatic 4-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round against Fatic, Camilo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 96 points vs Fatic’s 84. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli fired 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Camilo Ugo Carabelli was exceptionally effective on serve to win 81% (47/58) of his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Ugo Carabelli broke Fatic twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Ugo Carabelli has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (264-156). 17-13 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate237-133 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
Ugo Carabelli’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Piracicaba Challenger.
The Argentine has an overall 17-14 win-loss record in 2023, 17-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Turin Challenger
Ugo Carabelli has never competed in this tournament before.
Federico Gaio
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 14-12 | 25-15 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-28 | 9-9 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-38 | 6-8 | 14-16 | 13-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-19 | 5-4 | 10-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 337, Federico got to the 2nd round after beating Andrea Gola 6-2 6-3 and Oscar Otte 6-4 7-5.
In the 1st round, Federico had a good straight sets win against Otte (6-4 7-5). During the match Gaio scored 75 points vs Otte’s 65. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Gaio bagged 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Federico Gaio lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Gaio put 56% of his first serves in, winning 80% (28/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Otte 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Federico’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Monastir and M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio.
The Italian has an overall 27-13 win-loss record in 2023, 17-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 39 |
| Pts | 96-84 | 131-101 |
| Total Points | 180 | 232 |
| Winners | 47 | 51 |
| %Winners | 49% | 39% |
Ugo Carabelli played 1 match while Gaio competed in 2 matches. Gaio started his run from the qualifications while Ugo Carabelli had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Camilo Ugo Carabelli conceded 1 set while Federico Gaio hasn’t lost a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set(s) less than Gaio (3 vs 4). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 10 games less than Gaio. Ugo Carabelli scored 47 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Federico managed to score 51 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 4 |
| 1st in | 58/87 | 60/108 |
| %1st in | 67% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 47/58 | 51/60 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 15/29 | 26/48 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 54% |
Ugo Carabelli managed to score 2 aces . Gaio struck 8 aces (4 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 81% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Gaio won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 7 |
| Converted | 2/8 | 7/16 |
| % Converted | 25% | 44% |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 |
| Saved | 3 | 2 |
| % Saved | 75% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
The Argentine broke his opponent twice with a 25% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli lost his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Federico broke his opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||
| R1 Fatic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 96-84 | 96-84 | |
| Total points | 180 | 180 | |
| Winners | 47 | 47 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 58/87 | 58/87 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 47/58 | 47/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/29 | 15/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 2/8 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Gaio | ||||
| Q3 Gola |
R1 Otte |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 22 | 39 | |
| pts | 56-36 | 75-65 | 131-101 | |
| Total points | 92 | 140 | 232 | |
| Winners | 23 | 28 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 37% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 25/46 | 35/62 | 60/108 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 23/25 | 28/35 | 51/60 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 80% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 12/27 | 26/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 44% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/11 | 7/16 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 36% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | 133% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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LWWWWLLLLW Tennis Scores in Turin Challenger
- Salvatore CarusoCaruso – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (2-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Federico GaioGaio – Oscar OtteOtte (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-1 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Nerman FaticFatic (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Francesco PassaroPassaro (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Taro DanielDaniel – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrea CollariniCollarini – Tomas MachacMachac (4-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Edoardo LavagnoLavagno – Luciano DarderiDarderi (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Riccardo BonadioBonadio – Gabriele PirainoPiraino (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Federico GaioGaio – Oscar OtteOtte (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Salvatore CarusoCaruso – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (2-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Aleksandr BrayninBraynin (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-1 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Salvatore CarusoCaruso – Edoardo LavagnoLavagno (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Taro DanielDaniel (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Edoardo LavagnoLavagno – Aleksandr BrayninBraynin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Gianluca MagerMager (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Federico GaioGaio (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Riccardo BonadioBonadio (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Andrea CollariniCollarini (3-1) – H2H and prediction
