Holger Rune and Alexei Popyrin will face off in the 4th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 11:00 am on GRAND STAND ARENA. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.188
Alexei Popyrin -> 4.75
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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Alexei Popyrin
There is no head to head record between Holger Rune and Alexei Popyrin since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-22 | 20-10 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-24 | 21-12 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7 (career-high), Holger reached the 4th round after beating Arthur Fils 6-3 6-3 and Fabio Fognini 6-4 6-2.
In the 3rd round, The Dane had a good straight sets win against Fognini (6-4 6-2). During the match, Rune scored 59 points vs Fognini’s 45. Holger was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rune struck 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Holger Rune was very effective on serve to win 79% (22/28) of his 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Holger broke Fognini 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Holger hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points he played.
Rune has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 67% of his matches (186-91). 10-2 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Rune has a compiled105-47 record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Munich where he overcame Botic Van De Zandschulp in the final 6-4 1-6 7-6(3).
Holger has a compiled 24-9 win-loss record in 2023, 10-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Alexei Popyrin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-24 | 7-10 | 9-6 | 0-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-22 | 17-8 | 4-8 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-29 | 18-14 | 15-6 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-31 | 7-16 | 7-4 | 3-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-26 | 13-11 | 8-6 | 10-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 77, Alexei got to the 4th round after beating Riccardo Bonadio 6-4 4-6 6-3, Andrea Pellegrino 6-0 7-63, Christopher O Connell 6-2 7-65, Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-4 4-6 7-5 and Roman Safiullin 7-5 7-5.
In the 3rd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Safiullin (7-5 7-5). During the match Popyrin scored 71 points vs Safiullin’s 63. The Australian was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Popyrin managed to score 6 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alexei Popyrin lost the serve once. Furthermore, Popyrin put 65% of his first serves in, winning 67% (29/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 74% (17/23) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Safiullin 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexei started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Popyrin has a composed 23-13 win-loss record in 2023, 10-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 125 |
| Pts | 128-92 | 411-355 |
| Total Points | 220 | 766 |
| Winners | 47 | 177 |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% |
Rune played 2 matches while Popyrin competed in 5 matches. Popyrin started his run from the qualifications while Rune had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Alexei Popyrin conceded 2 sets while Holger Rune hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Rune has played 8 set(s) less than Popyrin (4 vs 12). Therefore, Rune played 89 games less than Popyrin. The Dane scored 47 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian struck 177 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 39 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 7.8 |
| 1st in | 59/106 | 234/370 |
| %1st in | 56% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 47/59 | 177/234 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 26/47 | 87/136 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 64% |
Rune blasted 5 aces (2.5 per match). Popyrin scored 39 aces (7.8 per match). Rune won 80% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Popyrin won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 15 |
| Converted | 8/20 | 15/41 |
| % Converted | 40% | 37% |
| Conceded | 8 | 18 |
| Saved | 6 | 13 |
| % Saved | 75% | 72% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Rune broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Rune lost his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Alexei broke his opponents 15 times with a 37% conversion rate. Popyrin conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | ||||
| R2 Fils |
R3 Fognini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | 36 | |
| pts | 69-47 | 59-45 | 128-92 | |
| Total points | 116 | 104 | 220 | |
| Winners | 25 | 22 | 47 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 31/53 | 28/53 | 59/106 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 53% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 25/31 | 22/28 | 47/59 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 79% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/22 | 13/25 | 26/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 52% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/8 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Popyrin | |||||||
| Q1 Bonadio |
Q3 Pellegrino |
R1 O |
R2 Auger-Aliassime |
R3 Safiullin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | 6-0 7-63 | 6-2 7-65 | 6-4 4-6 7-5 | 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 19 | 21 | 32 | 24 | 125 | |
| pts | 93-96 | 66-44 | 71-52 | 110-100 | 71-63 | 411-355 | |
| Total points | 189 | 110 | 123 | 210 | 134 | 766 | |
| Winners | 35 | 31 | 36 | 46 | 29 | 177 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 47% | 51% | 42% | 41% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 5 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 39 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 52/93 | 36/54 | 42/62 | 61/95 | 43/66 | 234/370 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 67% | 68% | 64% | 65% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 35/52 | 31/36 | 36/42 | 46/61 | 29/43 | 177/234 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 86% | 86% | 75% | 67% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/41 | 12/18 | 11/20 | 21/34 | 17/23 | 87/136 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 67% | 55% | 62% | 74% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/7 | 3/4 | 3/16 | 3/4 | 15/41 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 43% | 75% | 19% | 75% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3/3 | 5/6 | 2/4 | 0/1 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 83% | 50% | 0% | 154% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWLWW
LLLLLWLWLW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (3-6 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (7-68 6-3) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (7-63 6-1) – See score progression
- Laslo DjereDjere – Cristian GarinGarin (6-3 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-3 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (6-70 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-3 6-74 6-2) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Alexander BublikBublik (6-1 4-6 7-60) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Cameron NorrieNorrie (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Borna CoricCoric – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Laslo DjereDjere (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jeff WolfWolf – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (2-2) – H2H and prediction
