Iga Swiatek and Donna Vekic will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 8:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.022
Donna Vekic -> 13.5
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Donna Vekic
This will be the 4th time that Iga Swiatek and Donna Vekic clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Swiatek won 6-3 3-6 6-0 in the final in San Diego back in 2022.
Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Donna Vekic – San Diego 16-October-2022
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 64-17 | 40-10 | 11-4 | 3-2 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Swiatek got to the 4th round after defeating Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-0 6-0 and Lesya Tsurenko 6-2 6-0.
In the 3rd round, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Tsurenko (6-2 6-0). During the match, Swiatek scored 56 points vs Tsurenko’s 34. Iga was very aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Swiatek scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve once. Furthermore, Swiatek put 65% of her first serves in, winning 68% (19/28) of the points behind her 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the 2nd serve. Swiatek broke Tsurenko 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Swiatek hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 64% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 80% of her matches (244-61). 11-1 on clay in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has a compiled103-15 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Doha where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Stuttgart where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 6-4.
Swiatek has an aggregate 27-5 win-loss record in 2023, 11-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Donna Vekic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-23 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-20 | 12-10 | 8-5 | 2-1 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-20 | 16-9 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-20 | 10-9 | 9-6 | 2-1 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-16 | 10-12 | 0-1 | 5-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, Donna got to the 4th round after beating Aliaksandra Sasnovich 3-6 6-3 6-3 and Liudmila Samsonova 2-6 7-65 6-2.
In the 3rd round against Samsonova, Donna recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-65 6-2).During the match Vekic scored less points (1) than Samsonova. In fact, the world no. 1 won 100 points vs Samsonova’s. That means that Vekic was more focused during the important points. The Croatian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
About the serving games, Vekic bagged 4 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Donna Vekic lost the serve 3 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Vekic put 47% of her first serves in, winning 67% (39/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 51% (33/65) on the 2nd serve. Donna was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Samsonova 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Donna has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Monterrey where she overcame Caroline Garcia in the final 6-4 3-6 7-5.
Donna has an aggregate 18-6 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 56 |
| Pts | 113-63 | 199-193 |
| Total Points | 176 | 392 |
| Winners | 40 | 68 |
| %Winners | 35% | 34% |
Both Swiatek and Vekic played 2 matches. At the moment, Donna Vekic conceded 2 sets while Iga Swiatek hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Swiatek has played 2 set(s) less than Vekic (4 vs 6). Therefore, Swiatek played 30 games less than Vekic. The Pole scored 40 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Vekic bagged 68 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 56/86 | 103/202 |
| %1st in | 65% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 40/56 | 68/103 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 16/30 | 49/99 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 49% |
Swiatek scored 3 aces (1.5 per match). Vekic made 6 aces (3 per match). Swiatek won 71% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Vekic won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 9 |
| Converted | 12/26 | 9/23 |
| % Converted | 46% | 39% |
| Conceded | 2 | 18 |
| Saved | 1 | 11 |
| % Saved | 50% | 61% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 7 |
Swiatek broke her opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. Swiatek lost her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Vekic broke her opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. Vekic conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | ||||
| R2 Pavlyuchenkova | R3 Tsurenko | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-0 | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 12 | 14 | 26 | |
| pts | 57-29 | 56-34 | 113-63 | |
| Total points | 86 | 90 | 176 | |
| Winners | 21 | 19 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 34% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 28/43 | 28/43 | 56/86 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 19/28 | 40/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 68% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 9/15 | 16/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 60% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 6/10 | 12/26 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 60% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Vekic | ||||
| R2 Sasnovich | R3 Samsonova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-3 | 2-6 7-65 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 29 | 56 | |
| pts | 99-92 | 100-101 | 199-193 | |
| Total points | 191 | 201 | 392 | |
| Winners | 29 | 39 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 39% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 8 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 45/79 | 58/123 | 103/202 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 47% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 29/45 | 39/58 | 68/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 67% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/34 | 33/65 | 49/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 51% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 6/20 | 3/3 | 9/23 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 100% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 11 | 18 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 8/11 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 73% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
Tennis Scores in Rome
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (7-62 6-0) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (4-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (w/o) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Cori GauffGauff (4-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (2-6 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Julia GrabherGrabher (7-5 4-6 7-62) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Maria SakkariSakkari (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Sofia KeninKenin (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Magda LinetteLinette (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (7-5 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Anna BondarBondar (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Xiyu WangWang – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-2 0-6 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Donna VekicVekic (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Xiyu WangWang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (0-2) – H2H and prediction