Iga Swiatek and Donna Vekic will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 8:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.022
Donna Vekic -> 13.5

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Donna Vekic

This will be the 4th time that Iga Swiatek and Donna Vekic clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Swiatek won 6-3 3-6 6-0 in the final in San Diego back in 2022.

Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Donna Vekic – San Diego 16-October-2022

Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0

Currently world no. 1 Swiatek got to the 4th round after defeating Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-0 6-0 and Lesya Tsurenko 6-2 6-0.

In the 3rd round, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Tsurenko (6-2 6-0). During the match, Swiatek scored 56 points vs Tsurenko’s 34. Iga was very aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Regarding the service games, Swiatek scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve once. Furthermore, Swiatek put 65% of her first serves in, winning 68% (19/28) of the points behind her 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the 2nd serve. Swiatek broke Tsurenko 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Swiatek hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 64% of the points she played.

Swiatek has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 80% of her matches (244-61). 11-1 on clay in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has a compiled103-15 match record in the last 8 years on clay.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Doha where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Stuttgart where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 6-4.

Swiatek has an aggregate 27-5 win-loss record in 2023, 11-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Rome
Swiatek's Record

Donna Vekic

Donna Vekic

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
70
High
17
LWWLLLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-23 9-15 3-4 0-0 2-4 0-0
2024 32-20 12-10 8-5 2-1 10-4 0-0
2023 29-20 16-9 4-5 2-3 7-3 0-0
2022 28-20 10-9 9-6 2-1 7-4 0-0
2021 19-16 10-12 0-1 5-0 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 24, Donna got to the 4th round after beating Aliaksandra Sasnovich 3-6 6-3 6-3 and Liudmila Samsonova 2-6 7-65 6-2.

In the 3rd round against Samsonova, Donna recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-65 6-2).During the match Vekic scored less points (1) than Samsonova. In fact, the world no. 1 won 100 points vs Samsonova’s. That means that Vekic was more focused during the important points. The Croatian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.

About the serving games, Vekic bagged 4 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Donna Vekic lost the serve 3 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Vekic put 47% of her first serves in, winning 67% (39/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 51% (33/65) on the 2nd serve. Donna was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Samsonova 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Donna has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Monterrey where she overcame Caroline Garcia in the final 6-4 3-6 7-5.

Donna has an aggregate 18-6 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018. See her history.

Rome
Vekic's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

I.Swiatek
D.Vekic
2h:23
2h:23
Time on court​
!
4h:54
4h:54
1h:16
1h:16
Last match​
!
2h:38
2h:38
2
2
Match played
2
2
26
26
Games Played​
56
56
4
4
Set played​​
6
6
113
113
Total points​
199
199
56.5
56.5
Avg point​
99.5
99.5
40
40
Winners
68
68
20
20
Avg Winners​
34
34
35%
35%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
6
6
1.5
1.5
Avg Aces
3
3
3
3
Double Faults
12
12
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
!
6
6
40/56
40/56
1st won total​
68/103
68/103
!
71%
71%
1st won %
66%
66%
16/30
16/30
2nd won total​
49/99
49/99
53%
53%
2nd won %
49%
49%
-- Break Points --
12/26
12/26
BP won
9/23
9/23
6/13
6/13
Avg BP won
4.5/11.5
4.5/11.5
46%
46%
Won
39%
39%
2
2
Conceded
18
18
1
1
Avg Conceded
9
9
1
1
Broken
7
7
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
3.5
3.5
1
1
Saved
11
11

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Swiatek Vekic
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 6
Tot Games 26 56
Pts 113-63 199-193
Total Points 176 392
Winners 40 68
%Winners 35% 34%

Both Swiatek and Vekic played 2 matches. At the moment, Donna Vekic conceded 2 sets while Iga Swiatek hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Swiatek has played 2 set(s) less than Vekic (4 vs 6). Therefore, Swiatek played 30 games less than Vekic. The Pole scored 40 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Vekic bagged 68 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Swiatek Vekic
Aces 3 6
Avg per match 1.5 3
1st in 56/86 103/202
%1st in 65% 51%
1st pts 40/56 68/103
%1st pts 71% 66%
2nd pts 16/30 49/99
%2nd pts 53% 49%

Swiatek scored 3 aces (1.5 per match). Vekic made 6 aces (3 per match). Swiatek won 71% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Vekic won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Swiatek Vekic
Won 12 9
Converted 12/26 9/23
% Converted 46% 39%
Conceded 2 18
Saved 1 11
% Saved 50% 61%
Times Broken 1 7

Swiatek broke her opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. Swiatek lost her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Vekic broke her opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. Vekic conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
R2
Pavlyuchenkova
R3
Tsurenko
Total
Score 6-0 6-0 6-2 6-0
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 12 14 26
pts 57-29 56-34 113-63
Total points 86 90 176
Winners 21 19 40
%Winners 37% 34% 35%
SERVE
Aces 2 1 3
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 28/43 28/43 56/86
% 1st in 65% 65% 65%
1st pts 21/28 19/28 40/56
% 1st pts 75% 68% 71%
2nd pts 7/15 9/15 16/30
% 2nd pts 47% 60% 53%
Breaks
Won 6 6 12
Converted 6/16 6/10 12/26
Converted % 38% 60% 46%
Conceded 1 1 2
Saved 1/1 0/1 1
Saved % 100% 0% 50%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Vekic
R2
Sasnovich
R3
Samsonova
Total
Score 3-6 6-3 6-3 2-6 7-65 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 27 29 56
pts 99-92 100-101 199-193
Total points 191 201 392
Winners 29 39 68
%Winners 29% 39% 34%
SERVE
Aces 2 4 6
Double Faults 4 8 12
1st in 45/79 58/123 103/202
% 1st in 57% 47% 51%
1st pts 29/45 39/58 68/103
% 1st pts 64% 67% 66%
2nd pts 16/34 33/65 49/99
% 2nd pts 47% 51% 49%
Breaks
Won 6 3 9
Converted 6/20 3/3 9/23
Converted % 30% 100% 39%
Conceded 7 11 18
Saved 3/7 8/11 11
Saved % 43% 73% 58%
Times Broken 4 3 7

Tennis Scores in Rome

Upcoming matches in the draw