Daria Kasatkina and Julia Grabher will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on COURT 12. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.15
Julia Grabher -> 5.45
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Julia Grabher
There is no head to head record between Daria Kasatkina and Julia Grabher since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-10 | 12-8 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Darya reached the 3rd round after defeating Lisa Pigato 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Darya had a good straight sets win against Pigato (6-1 6-2). During the match, Kasatkina scored 64 points vs Pigato’s 36. Kasatkina was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kasatkina couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 3 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 80% of her first serves in, winning 62% (28/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 18% (2/11) on the 2nd serve. Kasatkina broke Pigato 8 times after converting 80% of her break points (8/10).
Kasatkina has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (313-178). 6-3 on clay in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Kasatkina has a composed 113-47 record in the last years on clay.
Darya’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Adelaide.
Darya has an aggregate 11-11 win-loss record in 2023, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Julia Grabher
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-26 | 5-9 | 17-11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 55-32 | 3-6 | 46-22 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 5-4 | 21-13 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-13 | 0-3 | 5-4 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 89, Julia reached the 3rd round after beating Nuria Brancaccio 6-4 3-6 6-2 and Jil Teichmann 7-64 5-7 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Austrian defeated Belen Teichmann (7-64 5-7 6-3).During the match Grabher scored less points (12) than Belen Teichmann. In fact, the world no. 9 won 101 points vs Belen Teichmann’s. That means that Grabher was more focused during the important points. Grabher was very aggressive to blast 56 winners.
Talking about serving, Grabher scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she was not very solid on her 2nd serve to score 13 double faults. Julia Grabher lost the serve 6 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Grabher put 67% of her first serves in, winning 64% (56/87) of the points behind her 1st serve and 31% (13/42) on the 2nd serve. The Austrian broke Belen Teichmann 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Julia has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 49% of the points she played.
Julia has a compiled 11-17 win-loss record in 2023, 6-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Julia has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Grabher |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 61 |
| Pts | 64-36 | 192-197 |
| Total Points | 100 | 389 |
| Winners | 28 | 95 |
| %Winners | 44% | 49% |
Kasatkina played 1 match while Grabher competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Julia Grabher lost 2 sets while Daria Kasatkina hasn’t conceded a set so far. Kasatkina has played 4 set(s) less than Grabher (2 vs 6). Therefore, Kasatkina played 46 games less than Grabher. The Russian scored 28 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Grabher blasted 95 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Grabher |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 45/56 | 150/221 |
| %1st in | 80% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 28/45 | 95/150 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 2/11 | 24/71 |
| %2nd pts | 18% | 34% |
Kasatkina didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Grabher recorded 1 ace (0.5 per match). Kasatkina won 62% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 18% of the points. On the other side, Grabher won 63% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 34% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Grabher |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 13 |
| Converted | 8/10 | 13/21 |
| % Converted | 80% | 62% |
| Conceded | 10 | 27 |
| Saved | 7 | 16 |
| % Saved | 70% | 59% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 11 |
Darya broke her opponent 8 times with a 80% conversion rate. Kasatkina dropped her serve 3 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded. The Austrian broke her opponents 13 times with a 62% conversion rate. Julia conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | |||
| R2 Pigato |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 64-36 | 64-36 | |
| Total points | 100 | 100 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 45/56 | 45/56 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 80% | |
| 1st pts | 28/45 | 28/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 2/11 | 2/11 | |
| % 2nd pts | 18% | 18% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 8 | 8 | |
| Converted | 8/10 | 8/10 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Grabher | ||||
| R1 Brancaccio |
R2 Belen Teichmann |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 6-2 | 7-64 5-7 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 34 | 61 | |
| pts | 91-84 | 101-113 | 192-197 | |
| Total points | 175 | 214 | 389 | |
| Winners | 39 | 56 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 55% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 13 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 63/92 | 87/129 | 150/221 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 67% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 39/63 | 56/87 | 95/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 64% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/29 | 13/42 | 24/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 31% | 34% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Converted | 7/12 | 6/9 | 13/21 | |
| Converted % | 58% | 67% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 14 | 27 | |
| Saved | 8/13 | 8/14 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 62% | 57% | 119% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWWLW
LLLLL Tennis Scores in Rome
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- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Anna BondarBondar (7-62 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Sofia KeninKenin (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Magda LinetteLinette (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (7-5 3-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Julia GrabherGrabher – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Madison KeysKeys (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Xiyu WangWang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
