Paula Badosa Gibert and Marta Kostyuk will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa Gibert who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Paula Badosa Gibert is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 1.26
Marta Kostyuk -> 3.86
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Prediction and head to head Paula Badosa Gibert vs. Marta Kostyuk
This will be the 3rd time that Paula Badosa Gibert and Marta Kostyuk play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Badosa (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Badosa won 6-2 5-7 6-4 in the 3rd round in at the Australian Open back in 2022.
Highlights Paula Badosa Gibert vs Marta Kostyuk – Australian Open 21-January-2022
Paula Badosa Gibert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-16 | 20-9 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-9 | 7-6 | 6-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, Badosa reached the 3rd round after defeating Anna-Lena Friedsam 4-6 6-2 7-62 and Ons Jabeur 6-1 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Badosa had a good straight sets win against Jabeur (6-1 6-4). During the match, Badosa scored 60 points vs Jabeur’s 45. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Badosa fired 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 63% of her first serves in, winning 67% (24/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Jabeur 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paula has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Badosa has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (296-167). 9-3 on clay in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Badosa has an aggregate 136-71 record in the last years on clay.
Paula’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.
The Spaniard has a compiled 15-7 win-loss record in 2023, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Marta Kostyuk
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-19 | 23-11 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-22 | 22-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-20 | 18-11 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-17 | 8-9 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-12 | 16-6 | 7-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 40, Marta got to the 3rd round after defeating Claire Liu 6-0 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Kostyuk had a good straight sets win against Liu (6-0 6-4). During the match Kostyuk scored 65 points vs Liu’s 49. Marta was quite aggressive to blast 15 winners.
About the serving games, Kostyuk scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Marta Kostyuk was pretty efficient on serve to win 71% (15/21) of her 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Marta broke Liu 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Austin where she beat Varvara Gracheva in the final 6-3 7-5.
Kostyuk has a compiled 18-10 win-loss record in 2023, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021 and 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Badosa | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 16 |
| Pts | 169-144 | 65-49 |
| Total Points | 313 | 114 |
| Winners | 62 | 15 |
| %Winners | 37% | 23% |
Badosa played 2 matches while Kostyuk competed in 1 match. At the moment, Paula Badosa Gibert lost 1 set while Marta Kostyuk hasn’t conceded a set so far. Badosa has played 3 sets more than Kostyuk (5 vs 2). Therefore, Badosa played 32 games more than Kostyuk. Badosa scored 62 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Marta scored 15 winners (23%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Badosa | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 96/165 | 21/53 |
| %1st in | 58% | 40% |
| 1st pts | 62/96 | 15/21 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 37/69 | 17/32 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 53% |
Badosa struck 7 aces (3.5 per match). Kostyuk blasted 1 ace . Badosa won 65% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Badosa | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 5 |
| Converted | 10/20 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 50% | 63% |
| Conceded | 13 | 7 |
| Saved | 7 | 6 |
| % Saved | 54% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 1 |
The Spaniard broke her opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Badosa dropped her serve 6 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded. Marta broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve once and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded.
| Badosa | ||||
| R1 Friedsam |
R2 Jabeur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 7-62 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 17 | 48 | |
| pts | 109-99 | 60-45 | 169-144 | |
| Total points | 208 | 105 | 313 | |
| Winners | 38 | 24 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 40% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 60/108 | 36/57 | 96/165 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 63% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 38/60 | 24/36 | 62/96 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 67% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/48 | 10/21 | 37/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 48% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/9 | 10/20 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 56% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 3 | 13 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 1/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 33% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Kostyuk | ||||
| R2 Liu |
Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-4 | |||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | ||
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | ||
| pts | 65-49 | 65-49 | ||
| Total points | 114 | 114 | ||
| Winners | 15 | 15 | ||
| %Winners | 23% | 23% | ||
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | ||
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | ||
| 1st in | 21/53 | 21/53 | ||
| % 1st in | 40% | 40% | ||
| 1st pts | 15/21 | 15/21 | ||
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | ||
| 2nd pts | 17/32 | 17/32 | ||
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | ||
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | ||
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | ||
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | ||
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | ||
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | ||
| Saved % | 86% | 43% | ||
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | ||
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLWW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Sofia KeninKenin (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Magda LinetteLinette (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (7-5 3-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Xiyu WangWang – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-2 0-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Anna BondarBondar (7-62 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Elena RybakinaRybakina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Marta KostyukKostyuk (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Julia GrabherGrabher – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Madison KeysKeys (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Xiyu WangWang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
