Maria Sakkari and Marketa Vondrousova will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on PIETRANGELI. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marketa Vondrousova who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Marketa Vondrousova is the pick to win this match.
Marketa Vondrousova -> 1.57
Maria Sakkari -> 2.41

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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Marketa Vondrousova

There is no head to head record between Maria Sakkari and Marketa Vondrousova since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Maria Sakkari

Maria Sakkari

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
52
High
3
LWWLLWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-29 14-19 7-5 1-1 3-4 0-0
2024 25-17 12-8 11-6 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 38-25 26-17 5-4 3-1 4-3 0-0
2022 40-23 21-12 8-5 4-2 7-4 0-0
2021 38-20 23-13 9-4 5-2 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 8, the Greek got to the 3rd round after defeating Barbora Strycova 6-1 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Strycova (6-1 6-3). During the match, Sakkari scored 59 points vs Strycova’s 43. The Greek was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sakkari fired 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Maria Sakkari lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 59% of her first serves in, winning 76% (25/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 30% (7/23) on the 2nd serve. Sakkari broke Strycova 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).

Sakkari has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (361-217). 5-2 on clay in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Sakkari has a composed 148-77 match record in the last years on clay.

Sakkari’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Australia, Linz, Doha, Indian Wells and Madrid.

Maria has an overall 20-9 win-loss record in 2023, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Rome
Sakkari's Record

Marketa Vondrousova

Marketa Vondrousova

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
34
High
6
LLWWWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-10 10-8 2-1 0-0 6-1 0-0
2024 16-11 5-4 10-5 0-0 1-2 0-0
2023 41-18 19-12 9-3 4-2 9-1 0-0
2022 21-7 11-3 2-1 8-3 0-0 0-0
2021 34-19 21-10 4-4 8-2 1-3 0-0

Ranked no. 70, the Czech got to the 3rd round after beating Kaia Kanepi 6-0 4-6 6-2 and Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-0 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Marketa had a good straight sets win against Andreescu (6-0 6-1). During the match Vondrousova scored 56 points vs Andreescu’s 27. Vondrousova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about serving, Vondrousova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Marketa Vondrousova was very efficient on serve to win 91% (20/22) of her 1st serve and 57% (4/7) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Marketa broke Andreescu 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Vondrousova has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 61% of the points she played.

Marketa’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Linz.

Marketa has a compiled 20-7 win-loss record in 2023, 7-1 on clay (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2020. See her history.

Rome
Vondrousova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Sakkari
M.Vondrousova
1h:20
1h:20
Time on court​
!
2h:48
2h:48
1h:20
1h:20
Last match​
!
0h:55
0h:55
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
16
16
Games Played​
37
37
2
2
Set played​​
5
5
59
59
Total points​
148
148
59
59
Avg point​
74
74
25
25
Winners
52
52
25
25
Avg Winners​
26
26
42%
42%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
5
5
4
4
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
2
2
Double Faults
14
14
2
2
Avg Double Faults
!
7
7
25/33
25/33
1st won total​
52/76
52/76
!
76%
76%
1st won %
68%
68%
7/23
7/23
2nd won total​
22/44
22/44
!
30%
30%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
6/10
6/10
BP won
14/26
14/26
6/10
6/10
Avg BP won
7/13
7/13
!
60%
60%
Won
!
54%
54%
8
8
Conceded
12
12
8
8
Avg Conceded
6
6
2
2
Broken
4
4
2
2
Avg Broken
2
2
6
6
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sakkari Vondrousova
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 5
Tot Games 16 37
Pts 59-43 148-96
Total Points 102 244
Winners 25 52
%Winners 42% 35%

Sakkari played 1 match while Vondrousova competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Marketa Vondrousova surrendered 1 set while Maria Sakkari hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sakkari has played 3 set(s) less than Vondrousova (2 vs 5). Therefore, Sakkari played 21 games less than Vondrousova. Maria scored 25 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Vondrousova recorded 52 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sakkari Vondrousova
Aces 4 5
Avg per match 4 2.5
1st in 33/56 76/120
%1st in 59% 63%
1st pts 25/33 52/76
%1st pts 76% 68%
2nd pts 7/23 22/44
%2nd pts 30% 50%

Sakkari blasted 4 aces . Vondrousova scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Sakkari won 76% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 30% of the points. On the other side, Vondrousova won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sakkari Vondrousova
Won 6 14
Converted 6/10 14/26
% Converted 60% 54%
Conceded 8 12
Saved 6 8
% Saved 75% 67%
Times Broken 2 4

The Greek broke her opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Greek conceded her serve twice and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. The Czech broke her opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Czech conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Sakkari
R2
Strycova
Total
Score 6-1 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 59-43 59-43
Total points 102 102
Winners 25 25
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 33/56 33/56
% 1st in 59% 59%
1st pts 25/33 25/33
% 1st pts 76% 76%
2nd pts 7/23 7/23
% 2nd pts 30% 30%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/10 6/10
Converted % 60% 60%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 6/8 6
Saved % 75% 75%
Times Broken 2 2
Vondrousova
R1
Kanepi
R2
Andreescu
Total
Score 6-0 4-6 6-2 6-0 6-1
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 24 13 37
pts 92-69 56-27 148-96
Total points 161 83 244
Winners 32 20 52
%Winners 35% 36% 35%
SERVE
Aces 4 1 5
Double Faults 13 1 14
1st in 54/91 22/29 76/120
% 1st in 59% 76% 63%
1st pts 32/54 20/22 52/76
% 1st pts 59% 91% 68%
2nd pts 18/37 4/7 22/44
% 2nd pts 49% 57% 50%
Breaks
Won 8 6 14
Converted 8/14 6/12 14/26
Converted % 57% 50% 54%
Conceded 12 0 12
Saved 8/12 0/0 8
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 4 0 4

Tennis Scores in Rome

Upcoming matches in the draw